Table Data - Real Risk Premium
| Title | Real Risk Premium |
|---|---|
| Series ID | TENEXPCHAREARISPRE |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| Release | Inflation Expectations (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1982-01-01 to 2024-11-01 |
| Last Updated | 2024-11-13 3:03 PM CST |
| Notes | The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate. Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations. For more information, please visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1982-01-01 | 1.2368608 |
| 1982-02-01 | 1.2317813 |
| 1982-03-01 | 1.1657249 |
| 1982-04-01 | 1.2578395 |
| 1982-05-01 | 1.1575560 |
| 1982-06-01 | 1.1411042 |
| 1982-07-01 | 1.2513304 |
| 1982-08-01 | 1.1723375 |
| 1982-09-01 | 1.0997800 |
| 1982-10-01 | 1.0966023 |
| 1982-11-01 | 1.1637140 |
| 1982-12-01 | 1.2608313 |
| 1983-01-01 | 1.2138130 |
| 1983-02-01 | 1.2934019 |
| 1983-03-01 | 1.2272405 |
| 1983-04-01 | 1.2516150 |
| 1983-05-01 | 1.2071457 |
| 1983-06-01 | 1.2804237 |
| 1983-07-01 | 1.3026097 |
| 1983-08-01 | 1.4394496 |
| 1983-09-01 | 1.4245790 |
| 1983-10-01 | 1.3445740 |
| 1983-11-01 | 1.3561477 |
| 1983-12-01 | 1.3389832 |
| 1984-01-01 | 1.3194472 |
| 1984-02-01 | 1.2695955 |
| 1984-03-01 | 1.3442575 |
| 1984-04-01 | 1.3886424 |
| 1984-05-01 | 1.4228445 |
| 1984-06-01 | 1.5326237 |
| 1984-07-01 | 1.5154585 |
| 1984-08-01 | 1.3717457 |
| 1984-09-01 | 1.3728822 |
| 1984-10-01 | 1.3031195 |
| 1984-11-01 | 1.1909290 |
| 1984-12-01 | 1.1976941 |
| 1985-01-01 | 1.2221949 |
| 1985-02-01 | 1.1686435 |
| 1985-03-01 | 1.2922764 |
| 1985-04-01 | 1.2505305 |
| 1985-05-01 | 1.1922227 |
| 1985-06-01 | 1.2031861 |
| 1985-07-01 | 1.2402847 |
| 1985-08-01 | 1.3051207 |
| 1985-09-01 | 1.2682198 |
| 1985-10-01 | 1.2518228 |
| 1985-11-01 | 1.2086380 |
| 1985-12-01 | 1.1702904 |
| 1986-01-01 | 1.1386211 |
| 1986-02-01 | 1.1718210 |
| 1986-03-01 | 1.1209380 |
| 1986-04-01 | 1.0964864 |
| 1986-05-01 | 1.1165299 |
| 1986-06-01 | 1.3756669 |
| 1986-07-01 | 1.2814314 |
| 1986-08-01 | 1.2570825 |
| 1986-09-01 | 1.2057601 |
| 1986-10-01 | 1.2995179 |
| 1986-11-01 | 1.2552941 |
| 1986-12-01 | 1.2240470 |
| 1987-01-01 | 1.2122082 |
| 1987-02-01 | 1.2093870 |
| 1987-03-01 | 1.1741446 |
| 1987-04-01 | 1.2412331 |
| 1987-05-01 | 1.4457568 |
| 1987-06-01 | 1.4115333 |
| 1987-07-01 | 1.3652149 |
| 1987-08-01 | 1.3933172 |
| 1987-09-01 | 1.3994592 |
| 1987-10-01 | 1.4699546 |
| 1987-11-01 | 1.3098980 |
| 1987-12-01 | 1.3077499 |
| 1988-01-01 | 1.2807886 |
| 1988-02-01 | 1.2265382 |
| 1988-03-01 | 1.2130518 |
| 1988-04-01 | 1.3077990 |
| 1988-05-01 | 1.3195633 |
| 1988-06-01 | 1.3230759 |
| 1988-07-01 | 1.2755766 |
| 1988-08-01 | 1.2944214 |
| 1988-09-01 | 1.3242448 |
| 1988-10-01 | 1.2693917 |
| 1988-11-01 | 1.2388278 |
| 1988-12-01 | 1.3179001 |
| 1989-01-01 | 1.3576515 |
| 1989-02-01 | 1.3152199 |
| 1989-03-01 | 1.3584696 |
| 1989-04-01 | 1.2933644 |
| 1989-05-01 | 1.2448791 |
| 1989-06-01 | 1.1982318 |
| 1989-07-01 | 1.1655714 |
| 1989-08-01 | 1.1320191 |
| 1989-09-01 | 1.3813578 |
| 1989-10-01 | 1.3694802 |
| 1989-11-01 | 1.2964492 |
| 1989-12-01 | 1.2705620 |
| 1990-01-01 | 1.2400685 |
| 1990-02-01 | 1.3089052 |
| 1990-03-01 | 1.3158344 |
| 1990-04-01 | 1.3178255 |
| 1990-05-01 | 1.3765565 |
| 1990-06-01 | 1.2832770 |
| 1990-07-01 | 1.2621513 |
| 1990-08-01 | 1.2012863 |
| 1990-09-01 | 1.2685928 |
| 1990-10-01 | 1.2356491 |
| 1990-11-01 | 1.2008361 |
| 1990-12-01 | 1.1822384 |
| 1991-01-01 | 1.1584319 |
| 1991-02-01 | 1.1628351 |
| 1991-03-01 | 1.2593148 |
| 1991-04-01 | 1.2455880 |
| 1991-05-01 | 1.2133788 |
| 1991-06-01 | 1.2376717 |
| 1991-07-01 | 1.2551133 |
| 1991-08-01 | 1.2319479 |
| 1991-09-01 | 1.1920914 |
| 1991-10-01 | 1.1603064 |
| 1991-11-01 | 1.1447264 |
| 1991-12-01 | 1.1333078 |
| 1992-01-01 | 1.1103382 |
| 1992-02-01 | 1.3164416 |
| 1992-03-01 | 1.3109107 |
| 1992-04-01 | 1.3165834 |
| 1992-05-01 | 1.2866060 |
| 1992-06-01 | 1.2487062 |
| 1992-07-01 | 1.2047610 |
| 1992-08-01 | 1.1717759 |
| 1992-09-01 | 1.1526615 |
| 1992-10-01 | 1.1301904 |
| 1992-11-01 | 1.4375489 |
| 1992-12-01 | 1.4423493 |
| 1993-01-01 | 1.3632307 |
| 1993-02-01 | 1.2949589 |
| 1993-03-01 | 1.2341053 |
| 1993-04-01 | 1.2436588 |
| 1993-05-01 | 1.2146697 |
| 1993-06-01 | 1.2340816 |
| 1993-07-01 | 1.1997910 |
| 1993-08-01 | 1.2273243 |
| 1993-09-01 | 1.1880888 |
| 1993-10-01 | 1.1717020 |
| 1993-11-01 | 1.2172098 |
| 1993-12-01 | 1.2413972 |
| 1994-01-01 | 1.2553980 |
| 1994-02-01 | 1.2149225 |
| 1994-03-01 | 1.3349257 |
| 1994-04-01 | 1.5290367 |
| 1994-05-01 | 1.4826293 |
| 1994-06-01 | 1.4406124 |
| 1994-07-01 | 1.4373035 |
| 1994-08-01 | 1.3657941 |
| 1994-09-01 | 1.3559275 |
| 1994-10-01 | 1.4293506 |
| 1994-11-01 | 1.4304565 |
| 1994-12-01 | 1.4121225 |
| 1995-01-01 | 1.4047222 |
| 1995-02-01 | 1.3411806 |
| 1995-03-01 | 1.2740660 |
| 1995-04-01 | 1.2467378 |
| 1995-05-01 | 1.1928045 |
| 1995-06-01 | 1.1732997 |
| 1995-07-01 | 1.1978512 |
| 1995-08-01 | 1.2633617 |
| 1995-09-01 | 1.2334610 |
| 1995-10-01 | 1.2301618 |
| 1995-11-01 | 1.2002966 |
| 1995-12-01 | 1.1722757 |
| 1996-01-01 | 1.1463834 |
| 1996-02-01 | 1.1463859 |
| 1996-03-01 | 1.2123163 |
| 1996-04-01 | 1.2850024 |
| 1996-05-01 | 1.3264712 |
| 1996-06-01 | 1.3579119 |
| 1996-07-01 | 1.3175889 |
| 1996-08-01 | 1.2953274 |
| 1996-09-01 | 1.3245966 |
| 1996-10-01 | 1.2734870 |
| 1996-11-01 | 1.2299947 |
| 1996-12-01 | 1.1974524 |
| 1997-01-01 | 1.3013279 |
| 1997-02-01 | 1.2808118 |
| 1997-03-01 | 1.2956654 |
| 1997-04-01 | 1.3511825 |
| 1997-05-01 | 1.3124939 |
| 1997-06-01 | 1.2487939 |
| 1997-07-01 | 1.2346052 |
| 1997-08-01 | 1.2095454 |
| 1997-09-01 | 1.2280311 |
| 1997-10-01 | 1.2007877 |
| 1997-11-01 | 1.1941008 |
| 1997-12-01 | 1.1899752 |
| 1998-01-01 | 1.1730054 |
| 1998-02-01 | 1.1648698 |
| 1998-03-01 | 1.2084732 |
| 1998-04-01 | 1.2065972 |
| 1998-05-01 | 1.2064414 |
| 1998-06-01 | 1.1987847 |
| 1998-07-01 | 1.1852977 |
| 1998-08-01 | 1.1941355 |
| 1998-09-01 | 1.1636277 |
| 1998-10-01 | 1.1821559 |
| 1998-11-01 | 1.2734585 |
| 1998-12-01 | 1.2664617 |
| 1999-01-01 | 1.2811503 |
| 1999-02-01 | 1.2876870 |
| 1999-03-01 | 1.3904999 |
| 1999-04-01 | 1.3163159 |
| 1999-05-01 | 1.3163285 |
| 1999-06-01 | 1.3921296 |
| 1999-07-01 | 1.3480847 |
| 1999-08-01 | 1.3537567 |
| 1999-09-01 | 1.3296030 |
| 1999-10-01 | 1.3160987 |
| 1999-11-01 | 1.3099245 |
| 1999-12-01 | 1.3111523 |
| 2000-01-01 | 1.3412394 |
| 2000-02-01 | 1.3371627 |
| 2000-03-01 | 1.2866908 |
| 2000-04-01 | 1.2381495 |
| 2000-05-01 | 1.2850955 |
| 2000-06-01 | 1.1990852 |
| 2000-07-01 | 1.1860898 |
| 2000-08-01 | 1.2015475 |
| 2000-09-01 | 1.1735708 |
| 2000-10-01 | 1.1829336 |
| 2000-11-01 | 1.1831542 |
| 2000-12-01 | 1.1622569 |
| 2001-01-01 | 1.1383360 |
| 2001-02-01 | 1.1363542 |
| 2001-03-01 | 1.1397020 |
| 2001-04-01 | 1.1555527 |
| 2001-05-01 | 1.2058633 |
| 2001-06-01 | 1.2277710 |
| 2001-07-01 | 1.2288033 |
| 2001-08-01 | 1.1989245 |
| 2001-09-01 | 1.1587240 |
| 2001-10-01 | 1.1188325 |
| 2001-11-01 | 1.1137575 |
| 2001-12-01 | 1.2461506 |
| 2002-01-01 | 1.3580120 |
| 2002-02-01 | 1.3123732 |
| 2002-03-01 | 1.2880281 |
| 2002-04-01 | 1.3464267 |
| 2002-05-01 | 1.2756869 |
| 2002-06-01 | 1.2535915 |
| 2002-07-01 | 1.2169815 |
| 2002-08-01 | 1.1797419 |
| 2002-09-01 | 1.1568860 |
| 2002-10-01 | 1.1418255 |
| 2002-11-01 | 1.1829783 |
| 2002-12-01 | 1.2647531 |
| 2003-01-01 | 1.1969138 |
| 2003-02-01 | 1.1772516 |
| 2003-03-01 | 1.1518810 |
| 2003-04-01 | 1.1920924 |
| 2003-05-01 | 1.2140376 |
| 2003-06-01 | 1.1568499 |
| 2003-07-01 | 1.1886766 |
| 2003-08-01 | 1.4043515 |
| 2003-09-01 | 1.4043422 |
| 2003-10-01 | 1.3052642 |
| 2003-11-01 | 1.3863626 |
| 2003-12-01 | 1.3599259 |
| 2004-01-01 | 1.3131558 |
| 2004-02-01 | 1.2762915 |
| 2004-03-01 | 1.2376694 |
| 2004-04-01 | 1.2164152 |
| 2004-05-01 | 1.3867434 |
| 2004-06-01 | 1.3734061 |
| 2004-07-01 | 1.3415503 |
| 2004-08-01 | 1.3122118 |
| 2004-09-01 | 1.2401586 |
| 2004-10-01 | 1.2493974 |
| 2004-11-01 | 1.2183370 |
| 2004-12-01 | 1.2739643 |
| 2005-01-01 | 1.2570988 |
| 2005-02-01 | 1.2475411 |
| 2005-03-01 | 1.2800226 |
| 2005-04-01 | 1.2789227 |
| 2005-05-01 | 1.2218080 |
| 2005-06-01 | 1.2025153 |
| 2005-07-01 | 1.2140319 |
| 2005-08-01 | 1.2407981 |
| 2005-09-01 | 1.0781531 |
| 2005-10-01 | 1.1991322 |
| 2005-11-01 | 1.2688305 |
| 2005-12-01 | 1.2720147 |
| 2006-01-01 | 1.2359447 |
| 2006-02-01 | 1.2850912 |
| 2006-03-01 | 1.2783066 |
| 2006-04-01 | 1.2794002 |
| 2006-05-01 | 1.2906453 |
| 2006-06-01 | 1.2901259 |
| 2006-07-01 | 1.2772985 |
| 2006-08-01 | 1.2330468 |
| 2006-09-01 | 1.1990496 |
| 2006-10-01 | 1.2147361 |
| 2006-11-01 | 1.1784627 |
| 2006-12-01 | 1.1687616 |
| 2007-01-01 | 1.2025925 |
| 2007-02-01 | 1.2360165 |
| 2007-03-01 | 1.1947259 |
| 2007-04-01 | 1.2095120 |
| 2007-05-01 | 1.1994456 |
| 2007-06-01 | 1.2790326 |
| 2007-07-01 | 1.2798023 |
| 2007-08-01 | 1.2385483 |
| 2007-09-01 | 1.1986681 |
| 2007-10-01 | 1.1870789 |
| 2007-11-01 | 1.1258192 |
| 2007-12-01 | 1.1237103 |
| 2008-01-01 | 1.1340748 |
| 2008-02-01 | 1.1120286 |
| 2008-03-01 | 1.1047946 |
| 2008-04-01 | 1.1293766 |
| 2008-05-01 | 1.2405561 |
| 2008-06-01 | 1.2169889 |
| 2008-07-01 | 1.1970234 |
| 2008-08-01 | 1.1849590 |
| 2008-09-01 | 1.1731495 |
| 2008-10-01 | 1.2066017 |
| 2008-11-01 | 1.2455393 |
| 2008-12-01 | 1.1710135 |
| 2009-01-01 | 1.1591700 |
| 2009-02-01 | 1.1539969 |
| 2009-03-01 | 1.1647245 |
| 2009-04-01 | 1.1268905 |
| 2009-05-01 | 1.2259510 |
| 2009-06-01 | 1.2439714 |
| 2009-07-01 | 1.2420316 |
| 2009-08-01 | 1.2199233 |
| 2009-09-01 | 1.1875080 |
| 2009-10-01 | 1.1761974 |
| 2009-11-01 | 1.1927549 |
| 2009-12-01 | 1.1668623 |
| 2010-01-01 | 1.3275341 |
| 2010-02-01 | 1.2811064 |
| 2010-03-01 | 1.2516075 |
| 2010-04-01 | 1.3081659 |
| 2010-05-01 | 1.2817381 |
| 2010-06-01 | 1.2340777 |
| 2010-07-01 | 1.1848002 |
| 2010-08-01 | 1.1658476 |
| 2010-09-01 | 1.1467902 |
| 2010-10-01 | 1.1236226 |
| 2010-11-01 | 1.1177811 |
| 2010-12-01 | 1.2103835 |
| 2011-01-01 | 1.2715228 |
| 2011-02-01 | 1.2505481 |
| 2011-03-01 | 1.2381054 |
| 2011-04-01 | 1.2472274 |
| 2011-05-01 | 1.1916548 |
| 2011-06-01 | 1.1663034 |
| 2011-07-01 | 1.1992538 |
| 2011-08-01 | 1.1649313 |
| 2011-09-01 | 1.1440924 |
| 2011-10-01 | 1.1446024 |
| 2011-11-01 | 1.1647874 |
| 2011-12-01 | 1.1775767 |
| 2012-01-01 | 1.1758662 |
| 2012-02-01 | 1.1563519 |
| 2012-03-01 | 1.1826697 |
| 2012-04-01 | 1.2034739 |
| 2012-05-01 | 1.1667997 |
| 2012-06-01 | 1.1391610 |
| 2012-07-01 | 1.1662842 |
| 2012-08-01 | 1.1504595 |
| 2012-09-01 | 1.1308315 |
| 2012-10-01 | 1.1512764 |
| 2012-11-01 | 1.1812764 |
| 2012-12-01 | 1.1649553 |
| 2013-01-01 | 1.2165788 |
| 2013-02-01 | 1.2050741 |
| 2013-03-01 | 1.1534860 |
| 2013-04-01 | 1.1647183 |
| 2013-05-01 | 1.1759681 |
| 2013-06-01 | 1.2359215 |
| 2013-07-01 | 1.2924940 |
| 2013-08-01 | 1.2864123 |
| 2013-09-01 | 1.3064023 |
| 2013-10-01 | 1.2680435 |
| 2013-11-01 | 1.2602462 |
| 2013-12-01 | 1.2365995 |
| 2014-01-01 | 1.2914453 |
| 2014-02-01 | 1.2523933 |
| 2014-03-01 | 1.2399027 |
| 2014-04-01 | 1.2713635 |
| 2014-05-01 | 1.2451624 |
| 2014-06-01 | 1.2307904 |
| 2014-07-01 | 1.2255665 |
| 2014-08-01 | 1.2286231 |
| 2014-09-01 | 1.2179332 |
| 2014-10-01 | 1.2299821 |
| 2014-11-01 | 1.2211969 |
| 2014-12-01 | 1.1374824 |
| 2015-01-01 | 1.2003966 |
| 2015-02-01 | 1.1693660 |
| 2015-03-01 | 1.2316641 |
| 2015-04-01 | 1.1847672 |
| 2015-05-01 | 1.2105168 |
| 2015-06-01 | 1.2124344 |
| 2015-07-01 | 1.2396006 |
| 2015-08-01 | 1.2152095 |
| 2015-09-01 | 1.2110942 |
| 2015-10-01 | 1.2014385 |
| 2015-11-01 | 1.2153920 |
| 2015-12-01 | 1.2234686 |
| 2016-01-01 | 1.2456638 |
| 2016-02-01 | 1.2014762 |
| 2016-03-01 | 1.1836192 |
| 2016-04-01 | 1.1449932 |
| 2016-05-01 | 1.1676221 |
| 2016-06-01 | 1.1772199 |
| 2016-07-01 | 1.1481324 |
| 2016-08-01 | 1.1692884 |
| 2016-09-01 | 1.1757562 |
| 2016-10-01 | 1.1841811 |
| 2016-11-01 | 1.2044047 |
| 2016-12-01 | 1.3290649 |
| 2017-01-01 | 1.2897367 |
| 2017-02-01 | 1.2876996 |
| 2017-03-01 | 1.2920425 |
| 2017-04-01 | 1.2598127 |
| 2017-05-01 | 1.2578464 |
| 2017-06-01 | 1.1985039 |
| 2017-07-01 | 1.2285199 |
| 2017-08-01 | 1.2097536 |
| 2017-09-01 | 1.1819244 |
| 2017-10-01 | 1.2282870 |
| 2017-11-01 | 1.2272774 |
| 2017-12-01 | 1.1610032 |
| 2018-01-01 | 1.2183080 |
| 2018-02-01 | 1.2912536 |
| 2018-03-01 | 1.2306141 |
| 2018-04-01 | 1.2328859 |
| 2018-05-01 | 1.2843951 |
| 2018-06-01 | 1.2620296 |
| 2018-07-01 | 1.2543079 |
| 2018-08-01 | 1.2734675 |
| 2018-09-01 | 1.2468578 |
| 2018-10-01 | 1.2740029 |
| 2018-11-01 | 1.2667843 |
| 2018-12-01 | 1.2442892 |
| 2019-01-01 | 1.2070958 |
| 2019-02-01 | 1.2130935 |
| 2019-03-01 | 1.0207319 |
| 2019-04-01 | 1.0600166 |
| 2019-05-01 | 1.1371593 |
| 2019-06-01 | 1.1289913 |
| 2019-07-01 | 1.1479148 |
| 2019-08-01 | 1.1609962 |
| 2019-09-01 | 1.1464023 |
| 2019-10-01 | 1.1841650 |
| 2019-11-01 | 1.1995382 |
| 2019-12-01 | 1.2196729 |
| 2020-01-01 | 1.2199695 |
| 2020-02-01 | 1.1906984 |
| 2020-03-01 | 1.0199730 |
| 2020-04-01 | 1.0322013 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.0736871 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.0682220 |
| 2020-07-01 | 1.0530717 |
| 2020-08-01 | 1.0731986 |
| 2020-09-01 | 1.1089133 |
| 2020-10-01 | 1.1360730 |
| 2020-11-01 | 1.1655101 |
| 2020-12-01 | 1.1646201 |
| 2021-01-01 | 1.1682306 |
| 2021-02-01 | 1.1722263 |
| 2021-03-01 | 1.2057374 |
| 2021-04-01 | 1.2015461 |
| 2021-05-01 | 1.1745436 |
| 2021-06-01 | 1.1466392 |
| 2021-07-01 | 1.1560817 |
| 2021-08-01 | 1.1061539 |
| 2021-09-01 | 1.1518996 |
| 2021-10-01 | 1.1640596 |
| 2021-11-01 | 1.1802303 |
| 2021-12-01 | 1.1718709 |
| 2022-01-01 | 1.2068075 |
| 2022-02-01 | 1.2171895 |
| 2022-03-01 | 1.1623305 |
| 2022-04-01 | 1.4173954 |
| 2022-05-01 | 1.4372574 |
| 2022-06-01 | 1.3482276 |
| 2022-07-01 | 1.3112157 |
| 2022-08-01 | 1.2694036 |
| 2022-09-01 | 1.3973509 |
| 2022-10-01 | 1.4823361 |
| 2022-11-01 | 1.4993449 |
| 2022-12-01 | 1.4022366 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1.3946749 |
| 2023-02-01 | 1.3155493 |
| 2023-03-01 | 1.4730827 |
| 2023-04-01 | 1.3602682 |
| 2023-05-01 | 1.3745858 |
| 2023-06-01 | 1.1148600 |
| 2023-07-01 | 1.3092147 |
| 2023-08-01 | 1.3411725 |
| 2023-09-01 | 1.3632687 |
| 2023-10-01 | 1.4604398 |
| 2023-11-01 | 1.4445712 |
| 2023-12-01 | 1.3498560 |
| 2024-01-01 | 1.3239901 |
| 2024-02-01 | 1.2947154 |
| 2024-03-01 | 1.3377186 |
| 2024-04-01 | 1.3444391 |
| 2024-05-01 | 1.3870562 |
| 2024-06-01 | 1.3476623 |
| 2024-07-01 | 1.3439086 |
| 2024-08-01 | 1.2713805 |
| 2024-09-01 | 1.2509449 |
| 2024-10-01 | 1.2257438 |
| 2024-11-01 | 1.4139481 |
