Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - 5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate

Title 5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate
Series ID T5YIFRM
Source Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Release Interest Rate Spreads (Not a Press Release)
Seasonal Adjustment Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Percent
Date Range 2003-01-01 to 2024-10-01
Last Updated 2024-11-01 4:01 PM CDT
Notes This series is a measure of expected inflation (on average) over the five-year period that begins five years from today.

This series is constructed as:
(((((1+((BC_10YEAR-TC_10YEAR)/100))^10)/((1+((BC_5YEAR-TC_5YEAR)/100))^5))^0.2)-1)*100

where BC10_YEAR, TC_10YEAR, BC_5YEAR, and TC_5YEAR are the 10 year and 5 year nominal and inflation adjusted Treasury securities. All of those are the actual series IDs in FRED.
Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department.
DATE VALUE
2003-01-01 2.12
2003-02-01 2.16
2003-03-01 2.05
2003-04-01 1.99
2003-05-01 1.98
2003-06-01 1.86
2003-07-01 2.17
2003-08-01 2.37
2003-09-01 2.27
2003-10-01 2.44
2003-11-01 2.66
2003-12-01 2.54
2004-01-01 2.49
2004-02-01 2.43
2004-03-01 2.45
2004-04-01 2.53
2004-05-01 2.75
2004-06-01 2.64
2004-07-01 2.56
2004-08-01 2.49
2004-09-01 2.40
2004-10-01 2.36
2004-11-01 2.39
2004-12-01 2.44
2005-01-01 2.42
2005-02-01 2.39
2005-03-01 2.54
2005-04-01 2.49
2005-05-01 2.41
2005-06-01 2.28
2005-07-01 2.29
2005-08-01 2.33
2005-09-01 2.39
2005-10-01 2.41
2005-11-01 2.48
2005-12-01 2.40
2006-01-01 2.40
2006-02-01 2.45
2006-03-01 2.41
2006-04-01 2.52
2006-05-01 2.62
2006-06-01 2.54
2006-07-01 2.58
2006-08-01 2.63
2006-09-01 2.51
2006-10-01 2.46
2006-11-01 2.45
2006-12-01 2.37
2007-01-01 2.36
2007-02-01 2.35
2007-03-01 2.32
2007-04-01 2.39
2007-05-01 2.38
2007-06-01 2.44
2007-07-01 2.44
2007-08-01 2.42
2007-09-01 2.46
2007-10-01 2.47
2007-11-01 2.44
2007-12-01 2.40
2008-01-01 2.42
2008-02-01 2.53
2008-03-01 2.59
2008-04-01 2.42
2008-05-01 2.48
2008-06-01 2.42
2008-07-01 2.42
2008-08-01 2.43
2008-09-01 2.35
2008-10-01 2.15
2008-11-01 2.72
2008-12-01 0.74
2009-01-01 1.21
2009-02-01 1.66
2009-03-01 1.63
2009-04-01 1.97
2009-05-01 2.08
2009-06-01 2.19
2009-07-01 2.20
2009-08-01 2.36
2009-09-01 2.18
2009-10-01 2.32
2009-11-01 2.49
2009-12-01 2.55
2010-01-01 2.66
2010-02-01 2.60
2010-03-01 2.57
2010-04-01 2.74
2010-05-01 2.45
2010-06-01 2.22
2010-07-01 2.12
2010-08-01 2.02
2010-09-01 2.20
2010-10-01 2.52
2010-11-01 2.62
2010-12-01 2.78
2011-01-01 2.73
2011-02-01 2.67
2011-03-01 2.70
2011-04-01 2.89
2011-05-01 2.60
2011-06-01 2.52
2011-07-01 2.73
2011-08-01 2.55
2011-09-01 2.18
2011-10-01 2.23
2011-11-01 2.26
2011-12-01 2.35
2012-01-01 2.40
2012-02-01 2.50
2012-03-01 2.57
2012-04-01 2.57
2012-05-01 2.40
2012-06-01 2.48
2012-07-01 2.49
2012-08-01 2.64
2012-09-01 2.72
2012-10-01 2.82
2012-11-01 2.79
2012-12-01 2.86
2013-01-01 2.84
2013-02-01 2.86
2013-03-01 2.85
2013-04-01 2.73
2013-05-01 2.60
2013-06-01 2.31
2013-07-01 2.39
2013-08-01 2.53
2013-09-01 2.53
2013-10-01 2.60
2013-11-01 2.59
2013-12-01 2.65
2014-01-01 2.72
2014-02-01 2.54
2014-03-01 2.54
2014-04-01 2.53
2014-05-01 2.45
2014-06-01 2.49
2014-07-01 2.55
2014-08-01 2.56
2014-09-01 2.47
2014-10-01 2.35
2014-11-01 2.28
2014-12-01 2.13
2015-01-01 2.02
2015-02-01 2.08
2015-03-01 2.04
2015-04-01 2.11
2015-05-01 2.10
2015-06-01 2.09
2015-07-01 2.15
2015-08-01 1.99
2015-09-01 1.88
2015-10-01 1.82
2015-11-01 1.87
2015-12-01 1.78
2016-01-01 1.65
2016-02-01 1.54
2016-03-01 1.69
2016-04-01 1.76
2016-05-01 1.68
2016-06-01 1.50
2016-07-01 1.53
2016-08-01 1.64
2016-09-01 1.67
2016-10-01 1.79
2016-11-01 1.97
2016-12-01 2.05
2017-01-01 2.13
2017-02-01 2.15
2017-03-01 2.15
2017-04-01 2.08
2017-05-01 1.91
2017-06-01 1.83
2017-07-01 1.90
2017-08-01 1.94
2017-09-01 1.98
2017-10-01 1.99
2017-11-01 1.95
2017-12-01 2.04
2018-01-01 2.15
2018-02-01 2.23
2018-03-01 2.16
2018-04-01 2.21
2018-05-01 2.18
2018-06-01 2.17
2018-07-01 2.20
2018-08-01 2.22
2018-09-01 2.24
2018-10-01 2.23
2018-11-01 2.17
2018-12-01 2.02
2019-01-01 1.96
2019-02-01 2.00
2019-03-01 2.01
2019-04-01 2.03
2019-05-01 1.94
2019-06-01 1.85
2019-07-01 1.93
2019-08-01 1.79
2019-09-01 1.78
2019-10-01 1.72
2019-11-01 1.73
2019-12-01 1.81
2020-01-01 1.79
2020-02-01 1.65
2020-03-01 1.30
2020-04-01 1.45
2020-05-01 1.47
2020-06-01 1.53
2020-07-01 1.60
2020-08-01 1.77
2020-09-01 1.78
2020-10-01 1.85
2020-11-01 1.80
2020-12-01 1.97
2021-01-01 2.06
2021-02-01 2.05
2021-03-01 2.05
2021-04-01 2.17
2021-05-01 2.29
2021-06-01 2.22
2021-07-01 2.16
2021-08-01 2.20
2021-09-01 2.19
2021-10-01 2.33
2021-11-01 2.25
2021-12-01 2.17
2022-01-01 2.10
2022-02-01 2.05
2022-03-01 2.28
2022-04-01 2.45
2022-05-01 2.35
2022-06-01 2.34
2022-07-01 2.14
2022-08-01 2.33
2022-09-01 2.31
2022-10-01 2.32
2022-11-01 2.30
2022-12-01 2.20
2023-01-01 2.24
2023-02-01 2.22
2023-03-01 2.23
2023-04-01 2.22
2023-05-01 2.27
2023-06-01 2.26
2023-07-01 2.39
2023-08-01 2.43
2023-09-01 2.43
2023-10-01 2.46
2023-11-01 2.36
2023-12-01 2.24
2024-01-01 2.31
2024-02-01 2.25
2024-03-01 2.24
2024-04-01 2.34
2024-05-01 2.34
2024-06-01 2.30
2024-07-01 2.36
2024-08-01 2.25
2024-09-01 2.25
2024-10-01 2.34

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