Table Data - Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent
| Title | Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent |
|---|---|
| Series ID | STLPPMMID |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| Release | St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Probability |
| Date Range | 1990-01-01 to 2024-10-01 |
| Last Updated | 2024-10-31 3:03 PM CDT |
| Notes | This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 1.5 and 2.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure. As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series. As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1990-01-01 | 0.04274493 |
| 1990-02-01 | 0.02343565 |
| 1990-03-01 | 0.03970472 |
| 1990-04-01 | 0.04410105 |
| 1990-05-01 | 0.05787211 |
| 1990-06-01 | 0.05828273 |
| 1990-07-01 | 0.03331041 |
| 1990-08-01 | 0.05692871 |
| 1990-09-01 | 0.07849639 |
| 1990-10-01 | 0.02257817 |
| 1990-11-01 | 0.02729836 |
| 1990-12-01 | 0.03126118 |
| 1991-01-01 | 0.03108623 |
| 1991-02-01 | 0.02350094 |
| 1991-03-01 | 0.02632886 |
| 1991-04-01 | 0.04582166 |
| 1991-05-01 | 0.04610516 |
| 1991-06-01 | 0.04308708 |
| 1991-07-01 | 0.03741530 |
| 1991-08-01 | 0.04548686 |
| 1991-09-01 | 0.05289509 |
| 1991-10-01 | 0.05036872 |
| 1991-11-01 | 0.05686033 |
| 1991-12-01 | 0.06007756 |
| 1992-01-01 | 0.10153291 |
| 1992-02-01 | 0.08944929 |
| 1992-03-01 | 0.09360254 |
| 1992-04-01 | 0.07419474 |
| 1992-05-01 | 0.07618476 |
| 1992-06-01 | 0.09075071 |
| 1992-07-01 | 0.08402984 |
| 1992-08-01 | 0.09276725 |
| 1992-09-01 | 0.09191698 |
| 1992-10-01 | 0.09591753 |
| 1992-11-01 | 0.07705943 |
| 1992-12-01 | 0.08589430 |
| 1993-01-01 | 0.10787593 |
| 1993-02-01 | 0.09674995 |
| 1993-03-01 | 0.11407249 |
| 1993-04-01 | 0.10670034 |
| 1993-05-01 | 0.10972737 |
| 1993-06-01 | 0.08087722 |
| 1993-07-01 | 0.10106914 |
| 1993-08-01 | 0.09639017 |
| 1993-09-01 | 0.11180154 |
| 1993-10-01 | 0.10996052 |
| 1993-11-01 | 0.11065405 |
| 1993-12-01 | 0.07345401 |
| 1994-01-01 | 0.21292045 |
| 1994-02-01 | 0.20456040 |
| 1994-03-01 | 0.17250989 |
| 1994-04-01 | 0.16359152 |
| 1994-05-01 | 0.16276359 |
| 1994-06-01 | 0.18370473 |
| 1994-07-01 | 0.20354160 |
| 1994-08-01 | 0.18665380 |
| 1994-09-01 | 0.15180383 |
| 1994-10-01 | 0.16636652 |
| 1994-11-01 | 0.16719284 |
| 1994-12-01 | 0.12539876 |
| 1995-01-01 | 0.35457581 |
| 1995-02-01 | 0.31114402 |
| 1995-03-01 | 0.29241470 |
| 1995-04-01 | 0.31299944 |
| 1995-05-01 | 0.35066691 |
| 1995-06-01 | 0.34103551 |
| 1995-07-01 | 0.38875247 |
| 1995-08-01 | 0.38907341 |
| 1995-09-01 | 0.39981060 |
| 1995-10-01 | 0.44488613 |
| 1995-11-01 | 0.39593269 |
| 1995-12-01 | 0.41565813 |
| 1996-01-01 | 0.59176064 |
| 1996-02-01 | 0.61751208 |
| 1996-03-01 | 0.60910531 |
| 1996-04-01 | 0.56330684 |
| 1996-05-01 | 0.52277814 |
| 1996-06-01 | 0.49660056 |
| 1996-07-01 | 0.58656845 |
| 1996-08-01 | 0.52086093 |
| 1996-09-01 | 0.61400711 |
| 1996-10-01 | 0.57157737 |
| 1996-11-01 | 0.57830483 |
| 1996-12-01 | 0.54540070 |
| 1997-01-01 | 0.61373101 |
| 1997-02-01 | 0.58052609 |
| 1997-03-01 | 0.64265393 |
| 1997-04-01 | 0.74937517 |
| 1997-05-01 | 0.71446566 |
| 1997-06-01 | 0.61392897 |
| 1997-07-01 | 0.69441291 |
| 1997-08-01 | 0.68325097 |
| 1997-09-01 | 0.61719400 |
| 1997-10-01 | 0.64393291 |
| 1997-11-01 | 0.60796351 |
| 1997-12-01 | 0.56658570 |
| 1998-01-01 | 0.30112468 |
| 1998-02-01 | 0.22603010 |
| 1998-03-01 | 0.20322655 |
| 1998-04-01 | 0.44309593 |
| 1998-05-01 | 0.34061369 |
| 1998-06-01 | 0.44062628 |
| 1998-07-01 | 0.20758944 |
| 1998-08-01 | 0.40549079 |
| 1998-09-01 | 0.35289049 |
| 1998-10-01 | 0.15056045 |
| 1998-11-01 | 0.30074734 |
| 1998-12-01 | 0.18149499 |
| 1999-01-01 | 0.03401642 |
| 1999-02-01 | 0.16853277 |
| 1999-03-01 | 0.07022731 |
| 1999-04-01 | 0.16794014 |
| 1999-05-01 | 0.57764486 |
| 1999-06-01 | 0.32212367 |
| 1999-07-01 | 0.33107136 |
| 1999-08-01 | 0.58447156 |
| 1999-09-01 | 0.63697290 |
| 1999-10-01 | 0.74016195 |
| 1999-11-01 | 0.74666167 |
| 1999-12-01 | 0.79252009 |
| 2000-01-01 | 0.80836596 |
| 2000-02-01 | 0.76892989 |
| 2000-03-01 | 0.44719249 |
| 2000-04-01 | 0.32164750 |
| 2000-05-01 | 0.63918858 |
| 2000-06-01 | 0.51082495 |
| 2000-07-01 | 0.23432431 |
| 2000-08-01 | 0.44758475 |
| 2000-09-01 | 0.56311176 |
| 2000-10-01 | 0.63290918 |
| 2000-11-01 | 0.68266124 |
| 2000-12-01 | 0.53703451 |
| 2001-01-01 | 0.59385500 |
| 2001-02-01 | 0.36341685 |
| 2001-03-01 | 0.37413628 |
| 2001-04-01 | 0.73830130 |
| 2001-05-01 | 0.52681873 |
| 2001-06-01 | 0.43032374 |
| 2001-07-01 | 0.48679099 |
| 2001-08-01 | 0.49655310 |
| 2001-09-01 | 0.76073661 |
| 2001-10-01 | 0.38136878 |
| 2001-11-01 | 0.62073870 |
| 2001-12-01 | 0.32244919 |
| 2002-01-01 | 0.20517691 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.17615950 |
| 2002-03-01 | 0.21669781 |
| 2002-04-01 | 0.43196971 |
| 2002-05-01 | 0.49207272 |
| 2002-06-01 | 0.28182656 |
| 2002-07-01 | 0.28261452 |
| 2002-08-01 | 0.36408882 |
| 2002-09-01 | 0.38969202 |
| 2002-10-01 | 0.44146306 |
| 2002-11-01 | 0.74249351 |
| 2002-12-01 | 0.66669649 |
| 2003-01-01 | 0.69886027 |
| 2003-02-01 | 0.63590886 |
| 2003-03-01 | 0.46379210 |
| 2003-04-01 | 0.41498223 |
| 2003-05-01 | 0.14805675 |
| 2003-06-01 | 0.25509821 |
| 2003-07-01 | 0.43637753 |
| 2003-08-01 | 0.72329806 |
| 2003-09-01 | 0.70859924 |
| 2003-10-01 | 0.67455173 |
| 2003-11-01 | 0.70213262 |
| 2003-12-01 | 0.71555872 |
| 2004-01-01 | 0.79562094 |
| 2004-02-01 | 0.70115064 |
| 2004-03-01 | 0.81661413 |
| 2004-04-01 | 0.76034653 |
| 2004-05-01 | 0.62899870 |
| 2004-06-01 | 0.37294734 |
| 2004-07-01 | 0.48426850 |
| 2004-08-01 | 0.61324250 |
| 2004-09-01 | 0.66501066 |
| 2004-10-01 | 0.75232523 |
| 2004-11-01 | 0.69533952 |
| 2004-12-01 | 0.43818028 |
| 2005-01-01 | 0.53572518 |
| 2005-02-01 | 0.54624667 |
| 2005-03-01 | 0.53104506 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.13241530 |
| 2005-05-01 | 0.26186486 |
| 2005-06-01 | 0.50196114 |
| 2005-07-01 | 0.66693735 |
| 2005-08-01 | 0.46432343 |
| 2005-09-01 | 0.14293900 |
| 2005-10-01 | 0.04962213 |
| 2005-11-01 | 0.21104470 |
| 2005-12-01 | 0.24259129 |
| 2006-01-01 | 0.34526983 |
| 2006-02-01 | 0.12292487 |
| 2006-03-01 | 0.30017970 |
| 2006-04-01 | 0.27143943 |
| 2006-05-01 | 0.09779909 |
| 2006-06-01 | 0.09987189 |
| 2006-07-01 | 0.22650503 |
| 2006-08-01 | 0.25330943 |
| 2006-09-01 | 0.21601036 |
| 2006-10-01 | 0.57742400 |
| 2006-11-01 | 0.66240905 |
| 2006-12-01 | 0.70065636 |
| 2007-01-01 | 0.78045229 |
| 2007-02-01 | 0.78027265 |
| 2007-03-01 | 0.61959119 |
| 2007-04-01 | 0.66289898 |
| 2007-05-01 | 0.75268424 |
| 2007-06-01 | 0.68634210 |
| 2007-07-01 | 0.68075563 |
| 2007-08-01 | 0.51172920 |
| 2007-09-01 | 0.44268323 |
| 2007-10-01 | 0.61547483 |
| 2007-11-01 | 0.64014528 |
| 2007-12-01 | 0.56631526 |
| 2008-01-01 | 0.45627134 |
| 2008-02-01 | 0.47306038 |
| 2008-03-01 | 0.39765663 |
| 2008-04-01 | 0.45402527 |
| 2008-05-01 | 0.50453171 |
| 2008-06-01 | 0.35180310 |
| 2008-07-01 | 0.19782349 |
| 2008-08-01 | 0.21940617 |
| 2008-09-01 | 0.31906566 |
| 2008-10-01 | 0.35695495 |
| 2008-11-01 | 0.27555460 |
| 2008-12-01 | 0.00791836 |
| 2009-01-01 | 0.00338477 |
| 2009-02-01 | 0.15083052 |
| 2009-03-01 | 0.10733703 |
| 2009-04-01 | 0.01207091 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.06997282 |
| 2009-06-01 | 0.12434306 |
| 2009-07-01 | 0.11727446 |
| 2009-08-01 | 0.00883876 |
| 2009-09-01 | 0.02253447 |
| 2009-10-01 | 0.02062851 |
| 2009-11-01 | 0.08772381 |
| 2009-12-01 | 0.62112953 |
| 2010-01-01 | 0.58999860 |
| 2010-02-01 | 0.53901281 |
| 2010-03-01 | 0.43124093 |
| 2010-04-01 | 0.55867510 |
| 2010-05-01 | 0.52314038 |
| 2010-06-01 | 0.57207068 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.23551500 |
| 2010-08-01 | 0.35886700 |
| 2010-09-01 | 0.37910458 |
| 2010-10-01 | 0.28610736 |
| 2010-11-01 | 0.39412869 |
| 2010-12-01 | 0.23017067 |
| 2011-01-01 | 0.40157568 |
| 2011-02-01 | 0.54112921 |
| 2011-03-01 | 0.57935821 |
| 2011-04-01 | 0.55964827 |
| 2011-05-01 | 0.48302193 |
| 2011-06-01 | 0.46667711 |
| 2011-07-01 | 0.52023459 |
| 2011-08-01 | 0.45012596 |
| 2011-09-01 | 0.43839187 |
| 2011-10-01 | 0.43309796 |
| 2011-11-01 | 0.47156515 |
| 2011-12-01 | 0.46177920 |
| 2012-01-01 | 0.51974338 |
| 2012-02-01 | 0.46624031 |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.52868953 |
| 2012-04-01 | 0.51318203 |
| 2012-05-01 | 0.59849199 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.52004468 |
| 2012-07-01 | 0.45141749 |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.46610144 |
| 2012-09-01 | 0.53252889 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.58994964 |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.58962631 |
| 2012-12-01 | 0.53473264 |
| 2013-01-01 | 0.51553568 |
| 2013-02-01 | 0.53528284 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.61727200 |
| 2013-04-01 | 0.47247517 |
| 2013-05-01 | 0.35858062 |
| 2013-06-01 | 0.42584040 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.56962703 |
| 2013-08-01 | 0.60474274 |
| 2013-09-01 | 0.55015713 |
| 2013-10-01 | 0.41320562 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.31925186 |
| 2013-12-01 | 0.43425529 |
| 2014-01-01 | 0.46303668 |
| 2014-02-01 | 0.43551426 |
| 2014-03-01 | 0.38333316 |
| 2014-04-01 | 0.55331547 |
| 2014-05-01 | 0.60360621 |
| 2014-06-01 | 0.59381678 |
| 2014-07-01 | 0.47470664 |
| 2014-08-01 | 0.55939879 |
| 2014-09-01 | 0.42788724 |
| 2014-10-01 | 0.42957263 |
| 2014-11-01 | 0.31618062 |
| 2014-12-01 | 0.22321313 |
| 2015-01-01 | 0.16894380 |
| 2015-02-01 | 0.07910214 |
| 2015-03-01 | 0.17231431 |
| 2015-04-01 | 0.21655052 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.21059939 |
| 2015-06-01 | 0.27268388 |
| 2015-07-01 | 0.24824172 |
| 2015-08-01 | 0.17264933 |
| 2015-09-01 | 0.14476141 |
| 2015-10-01 | 0.17187002 |
| 2015-11-01 | 0.16247895 |
| 2015-12-01 | 0.12802006 |
| 2016-01-01 | 0.13960455 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.21559651 |
| 2016-03-01 | 0.27742819 |
| 2016-04-01 | 0.36814238 |
| 2016-05-01 | 0.45961191 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.43033621 |
| 2016-07-01 | 0.45372080 |
| 2016-08-01 | 0.43721890 |
| 2016-09-01 | 0.41131898 |
| 2016-10-01 | 0.47001743 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.52248241 |
| 2016-12-01 | 0.50612419 |
| 2017-01-01 | 0.59750562 |
| 2017-02-01 | 0.64304278 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.64678552 |
| 2017-04-01 | 0.60737887 |
| 2017-05-01 | 0.60005934 |
| 2017-06-01 | 0.51935522 |
| 2017-07-01 | 0.52698344 |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.46175938 |
| 2017-09-01 | 0.58237047 |
| 2017-10-01 | 0.61977847 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.57321145 |
| 2017-12-01 | 0.62844881 |
| 2018-01-01 | 0.63484524 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.66608199 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.65229469 |
| 2018-04-01 | 0.65850504 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.67030115 |
| 2018-06-01 | 0.58796120 |
| 2018-07-01 | 0.65746165 |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.63311633 |
| 2018-09-01 | 0.55887097 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.64203451 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.65636776 |
| 2018-12-01 | 0.60886088 |
| 2019-01-01 | 0.55118926 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.41676000 |
| 2019-03-01 | 0.57155403 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.60782963 |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.67434256 |
| 2019-06-01 | 0.43623682 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.39766708 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.43710499 |
| 2019-09-01 | 0.48263774 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.32675870 |
| 2019-11-01 | 0.46108820 |
| 2019-12-01 | 0.40223778 |
| 2020-01-01 | 0.64142590 |
| 2020-02-01 | 0.68623868 |
| 2020-03-01 | 0.49852950 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.10803117 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.02299736 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.30121962 |
| 2020-07-01 | 0.46895736 |
| 2020-08-01 | 0.56952094 |
| 2020-09-01 | 0.61249283 |
| 2020-10-01 | 0.62214536 |
| 2020-11-01 | 0.59456616 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.53266931 |
| 2021-01-01 | 0.64459995 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.64565252 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.60129292 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.18558162 |
| 2021-05-01 | 0.13779132 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.11761356 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.12366501 |
| 2021-08-01 | 0.13619168 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.14083239 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.19896771 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.10258465 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.06618924 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.06309803 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.06388724 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.02976692 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.01792205 |
| 2022-05-01 | 0.05127513 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.05170605 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.07379285 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.20504627 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.11809169 |
| 2022-10-01 | 0.17452249 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.18676465 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.12097269 |
| 2023-01-01 | 0.21216884 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.14228424 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.14007316 |
| 2023-04-01 | 0.23527812 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.12076479 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.26432152 |
| 2023-07-01 | 0.36528018 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.10138054 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.15459142 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.13142740 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.40189447 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.54878394 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.58710482 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.50050774 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.34047757 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.37819644 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.33921561 |
| 2024-06-01 | 0.59900995 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.63629979 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.63149570 |
| 2024-09-01 | 0.67270045 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.97942434 |
