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Table Data - Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent

NOTE: To improve accessibility of data for all users, this file was converted from a text format to an html table.

Title Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent
Series ID STLPPMMID
Source Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Release St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release)
Seasonal Adjustment Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Probability
Date Range 1990-01-01 to 2024-06-01
Last Updated 2024-06-28 2:26 PM CDT
Notes This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 1.5 and 2.5 percent.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure.

As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued.

As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series.

As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars.
DATE VALUE
1990-01-01 0.05757589
1990-02-01 0.03137479
1990-03-01 0.03962360
1990-04-01 0.04325779
1990-05-01 0.04142417
1990-06-01 0.04830200
1990-07-01 0.04196775
1990-08-01 0.05216169
1990-09-01 0.07086267
1990-10-01 0.03534568
1990-11-01 0.03854200
1990-12-01 0.03917939
1991-01-01 0.03452048
1991-02-01 0.02629044
1991-03-01 0.02999559
1991-04-01 0.05049839
1991-05-01 0.04766444
1991-06-01 0.04512569
1991-07-01 0.03906532
1991-08-01 0.04932783
1991-09-01 0.05459512
1991-10-01 0.05575628
1991-11-01 0.06129145
1991-12-01 0.06591711
1992-01-01 0.10500104
1992-02-01 0.09208145
1992-03-01 0.09695205
1992-04-01 0.07518898
1992-05-01 0.07813461
1992-06-01 0.09321280
1992-07-01 0.08589928
1992-08-01 0.09602814
1992-09-01 0.09517117
1992-10-01 0.09821728
1992-11-01 0.07894810
1992-12-01 0.08783507
1993-01-01 0.11127375
1993-02-01 0.09969058
1993-03-01 0.11748712
1993-04-01 0.10854426
1993-05-01 0.11394819
1993-06-01 0.08050002
1993-07-01 0.10268847
1993-08-01 0.09636428
1993-09-01 0.11562141
1993-10-01 0.11250448
1993-11-01 0.11558461
1993-12-01 0.07370030
1994-01-01 0.21260928
1994-02-01 0.20421962
1994-03-01 0.17036712
1994-04-01 0.16014413
1994-05-01 0.15710535
1994-06-01 0.17982682
1994-07-01 0.20205603
1994-08-01 0.18545915
1994-09-01 0.15276881
1994-10-01 0.16418781
1994-11-01 0.16368921
1994-12-01 0.12426547
1995-01-01 0.35582216
1995-02-01 0.31733794
1995-03-01 0.29920254
1995-04-01 0.31593073
1995-05-01 0.35369134
1995-06-01 0.34314361
1995-07-01 0.39357093
1995-08-01 0.39236900
1995-09-01 0.39929989
1995-10-01 0.44583028
1995-11-01 0.39883723
1995-12-01 0.41852556
1996-01-01 0.59528378
1996-02-01 0.61974327
1996-03-01 0.61209207
1996-04-01 0.56460314
1996-05-01 0.52621503
1996-06-01 0.50059745
1996-07-01 0.58655154
1996-08-01 0.52084264
1996-09-01 0.61735587
1996-10-01 0.57606532
1996-11-01 0.58388481
1996-12-01 0.55479347
1997-01-01 0.60983906
1997-02-01 0.57829866
1997-03-01 0.63670583
1997-04-01 0.74794341
1997-05-01 0.70616522
1997-06-01 0.61582930
1997-07-01 0.69589021
1997-08-01 0.67999636
1997-09-01 0.61731258
1997-10-01 0.64654917
1997-11-01 0.60452372
1997-12-01 0.56281839
1998-01-01 0.30455346
1998-02-01 0.21931673
1998-03-01 0.21236010
1998-04-01 0.45178503
1998-05-01 0.34270860
1998-06-01 0.44213134
1998-07-01 0.20906475
1998-08-01 0.40896862
1998-09-01 0.35376799
1998-10-01 0.14892096
1998-11-01 0.30007506
1998-12-01 0.19243257
1999-01-01 0.03446947
1999-02-01 0.16444692
1999-03-01 0.07673516
1999-04-01 0.17925207
1999-05-01 0.57706544
1999-06-01 0.33317168
1999-07-01 0.33790338
1999-08-01 0.59005531
1999-09-01 0.64243841
1999-10-01 0.74069181
1999-11-01 0.75060393
1999-12-01 0.79354145
2000-01-01 0.80702722
2000-02-01 0.77139268
2000-03-01 0.42150449
2000-04-01 0.31808196
2000-05-01 0.62505557
2000-06-01 0.49956749
2000-07-01 0.25351570
2000-08-01 0.43768455
2000-09-01 0.54731877
2000-10-01 0.63182072
2000-11-01 0.67827063
2000-12-01 0.52576391
2001-01-01 0.58446196
2001-02-01 0.36064044
2001-03-01 0.36166855
2001-04-01 0.74000011
2001-05-01 0.52173948
2001-06-01 0.42395937
2001-07-01 0.48235331
2001-08-01 0.48919807
2001-09-01 0.75734398
2001-10-01 0.37819489
2001-11-01 0.62489476
2001-12-01 0.32056688
2002-01-01 0.20528929
2002-02-01 0.17635201
2002-03-01 0.22000653
2002-04-01 0.43297909
2002-05-01 0.49532320
2002-06-01 0.28979849
2002-07-01 0.28765221
2002-08-01 0.36948726
2002-09-01 0.39492318
2002-10-01 0.44825822
2002-11-01 0.74365526
2002-12-01 0.66573601
2003-01-01 0.69969126
2003-02-01 0.63840383
2003-03-01 0.45954953
2003-04-01 0.40585894
2003-05-01 0.15126115
2003-06-01 0.26201890
2003-07-01 0.43919328
2003-08-01 0.72564697
2003-09-01 0.70723519
2003-10-01 0.67923313
2003-11-01 0.70742780
2003-12-01 0.71973620
2004-01-01 0.79693359
2004-02-01 0.71251189
2004-03-01 0.80777769
2004-04-01 0.74078130
2004-05-01 0.64663449
2004-06-01 0.40700077
2004-07-01 0.49823255
2004-08-01 0.56394762
2004-09-01 0.67413515
2004-10-01 0.75879065
2004-11-01 0.72720285
2004-12-01 0.50431944
2005-01-01 0.55087267
2005-02-01 0.58906438
2005-03-01 0.57901303
2005-04-01 0.17707603
2005-05-01 0.27325309
2005-06-01 0.45879214
2005-07-01 0.66213033
2005-08-01 0.49060413
2005-09-01 0.16262011
2005-10-01 0.06004129
2005-11-01 0.26353550
2005-12-01 0.28242560
2006-01-01 0.34148891
2006-02-01 0.12201301
2006-03-01 0.29827762
2006-04-01 0.27148934
2006-05-01 0.09469339
2006-06-01 0.10035099
2006-07-01 0.22612247
2006-08-01 0.25609316
2006-09-01 0.21003047
2006-10-01 0.66421522
2006-11-01 0.66814890
2006-12-01 0.70414638
2007-01-01 0.78129541
2007-02-01 0.78023058
2007-03-01 0.62562736
2007-04-01 0.66798438
2007-05-01 0.77573773
2007-06-01 0.73692598
2007-07-01 0.70342539
2007-08-01 0.61155936
2007-09-01 0.27572318
2007-10-01 0.61431500
2007-11-01 0.64239740
2007-12-01 0.56459198
2008-01-01 0.45462874
2008-02-01 0.46524069
2008-03-01 0.44661780
2008-04-01 0.45492677
2008-05-01 0.46802682
2008-06-01 0.35415981
2008-07-01 0.20077169
2008-08-01 0.42743576
2008-09-01 0.39182978
2008-10-01 0.40467841
2008-11-01 0.26795320
2008-12-01 0.00903026
2009-01-01 0.00295952
2009-02-01 0.15232214
2009-03-01 0.11326144
2009-04-01 0.01244300
2009-05-01 0.07059913
2009-06-01 0.12750925
2009-07-01 0.14180781
2009-08-01 0.00907095
2009-09-01 0.02429296
2009-10-01 0.02117900
2009-11-01 0.08747747
2009-12-01 0.62148437
2010-01-01 0.59020670
2010-02-01 0.53800900
2010-03-01 0.43510666
2010-04-01 0.55481079
2010-05-01 0.52127914
2010-06-01 0.57112278
2010-07-01 0.23602212
2010-08-01 0.36744333
2010-09-01 0.37542541
2010-10-01 0.28826826
2010-11-01 0.39278240
2010-12-01 0.23524797
2011-01-01 0.40902943
2011-02-01 0.54041557
2011-03-01 0.58002438
2011-04-01 0.55875580
2011-05-01 0.48320064
2011-06-01 0.46790255
2011-07-01 0.51627619
2011-08-01 0.44913929
2011-09-01 0.44186539
2011-10-01 0.43211031
2011-11-01 0.47097939
2011-12-01 0.46206461
2012-01-01 0.52066291
2012-02-01 0.47032437
2012-03-01 0.53019006
2012-04-01 0.51384334
2012-05-01 0.59856447
2012-06-01 0.52339469
2012-07-01 0.44394246
2012-08-01 0.46469774
2012-09-01 0.53249749
2012-10-01 0.58922763
2012-11-01 0.59023676
2012-12-01 0.53270652
2013-01-01 0.51682733
2013-02-01 0.56497079
2013-03-01 0.60821572
2013-04-01 0.50901605
2013-05-01 0.36592188
2013-06-01 0.43729006
2013-07-01 0.56014380
2013-08-01 0.60544444
2013-09-01 0.54373554
2013-10-01 0.41291279
2013-11-01 0.32700360
2013-12-01 0.46198182
2014-01-01 0.50929749
2014-02-01 0.47707555
2014-03-01 0.41373707
2014-04-01 0.58494088
2014-05-01 0.61476639
2014-06-01 0.61720924
2014-07-01 0.53374771
2014-08-01 0.59825465
2014-09-01 0.49721731
2014-10-01 0.49065873
2014-11-01 0.36665065
2014-12-01 0.24464552
2015-01-01 0.18761726
2015-02-01 0.08979714
2015-03-01 0.19115644
2015-04-01 0.23525824
2015-05-01 0.22013937
2015-06-01 0.28869508
2015-07-01 0.26241769
2015-08-01 0.18407975
2015-09-01 0.15427301
2015-10-01 0.17958381
2015-11-01 0.16827282
2015-12-01 0.13915997
2016-01-01 0.14166224
2016-02-01 0.22431448
2016-03-01 0.27733728
2016-04-01 0.37249814
2016-05-01 0.46049393
2016-06-01 0.42578794
2016-07-01 0.45405855
2016-08-01 0.43796658
2016-09-01 0.41287902
2016-10-01 0.47275723
2016-11-01 0.54195172
2016-12-01 0.51954332
2017-01-01 0.61858060
2017-02-01 0.64513399
2017-03-01 0.65203011
2017-04-01 0.62352835
2017-05-01 0.63042456
2017-06-01 0.58210385
2017-07-01 0.58795414
2017-08-01 0.51563955
2017-09-01 0.61353982
2017-10-01 0.64491885
2017-11-01 0.60886358
2017-12-01 0.65333127
2018-01-01 0.66147670
2018-02-01 0.66964617
2018-03-01 0.68040863
2018-04-01 0.67076827
2018-05-01 0.67010551
2018-06-01 0.52276977
2018-07-01 0.64158915
2018-08-01 0.62661441
2018-09-01 0.57975207
2018-10-01 0.66193461
2018-11-01 0.65956157
2018-12-01 0.62425438
2019-01-01 0.53160251
2019-02-01 0.44736665
2019-03-01 0.56893691
2019-04-01 0.63595887
2019-05-01 0.69013413
2019-06-01 0.48165139
2019-07-01 0.44633928
2019-08-01 0.46126331
2019-09-01 0.49356141
2019-10-01 0.39345883
2019-11-01 0.50581761
2019-12-01 0.39859244
2020-01-01 0.66943055
2020-02-01 0.70308850
2020-03-01 0.59244349
2020-04-01 0.14927451
2020-05-01 0.02713229
2020-06-01 0.37876510
2020-07-01 0.55118604
2020-08-01 0.59749717
2020-09-01 0.61938525
2020-10-01 0.66299618
2020-11-01 0.59691186
2020-12-01 0.48221688
2021-01-01 0.63617000
2021-02-01 0.64116009
2021-03-01 0.60791734
2021-04-01 0.16289765
2021-05-01 0.10827836
2021-06-01 0.10734390
2021-07-01 0.13092159
2021-08-01 0.16150626
2021-09-01 0.18158832
2021-10-01 0.22161146
2021-11-01 0.12711991
2021-12-01 0.08021509
2022-01-01 0.09699694
2022-02-01 0.08256512
2022-03-01 0.03950148
2022-04-01 0.03096409
2022-05-01 0.03722739
2022-06-01 0.04316382
2022-07-01 0.04710725
2022-08-01 0.06118333
2022-09-01 0.08049381
2022-10-01 0.16460220
2022-11-01 0.19554422
2022-12-01 0.09990108
2023-01-01 0.26172394
2023-02-01 0.14593899
2023-03-01 0.20528129
2023-04-01 0.30236808
2023-05-01 0.23873409
2023-06-01 0.30513734
2023-07-01 0.47544082
2023-08-01 0.12150137
2023-09-01 0.22187518
2023-10-01 0.00687939
2023-11-01 0.00545952
2023-12-01 0.00987295
2024-01-01 0.01873701
2024-02-01 0.02816726
2024-03-01 0.00534458
2024-04-01 0.00075549
2024-05-01 0.00122312
2024-06-01 0.05403832

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