Table Data - Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent
| Title | Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent |
|---|---|
| Series ID | STLPPMMID |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| Release | St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Probability |
| Date Range | 1990-01-01 to 2025-01-01 |
| Last Updated | 2025-01-31 2:39 PM CST |
| Notes | This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 1.5 and 2.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure. As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series. As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1990-01-01 | 0.05164288 |
| 1990-02-01 | 0.02811626 |
| 1990-03-01 | 0.03868308 |
| 1990-04-01 | 0.03954640 |
| 1990-05-01 | 0.04834023 |
| 1990-06-01 | 0.04266761 |
| 1990-07-01 | 0.04580576 |
| 1990-08-01 | 0.04832631 |
| 1990-09-01 | 0.06275267 |
| 1990-10-01 | 0.04158780 |
| 1990-11-01 | 0.04480134 |
| 1990-12-01 | 0.04322910 |
| 1991-01-01 | 0.03419002 |
| 1991-02-01 | 0.02622559 |
| 1991-03-01 | 0.02918063 |
| 1991-04-01 | 0.04984743 |
| 1991-05-01 | 0.04754600 |
| 1991-06-01 | 0.04475962 |
| 1991-07-01 | 0.03946770 |
| 1991-08-01 | 0.04842667 |
| 1991-09-01 | 0.05398392 |
| 1991-10-01 | 0.05442273 |
| 1991-11-01 | 0.06113870 |
| 1991-12-01 | 0.06546562 |
| 1992-01-01 | 0.10321715 |
| 1992-02-01 | 0.09144840 |
| 1992-03-01 | 0.09497200 |
| 1992-04-01 | 0.07463930 |
| 1992-05-01 | 0.07723035 |
| 1992-06-01 | 0.09268076 |
| 1992-07-01 | 0.08586249 |
| 1992-08-01 | 0.09524303 |
| 1992-09-01 | 0.09346963 |
| 1992-10-01 | 0.09753973 |
| 1992-11-01 | 0.07725139 |
| 1992-12-01 | 0.08680016 |
| 1993-01-01 | 0.10998960 |
| 1993-02-01 | 0.09783732 |
| 1993-03-01 | 0.11507129 |
| 1993-04-01 | 0.10802982 |
| 1993-05-01 | 0.11096279 |
| 1993-06-01 | 0.08021967 |
| 1993-07-01 | 0.10226338 |
| 1993-08-01 | 0.09696612 |
| 1993-09-01 | 0.11334649 |
| 1993-10-01 | 0.11152056 |
| 1993-11-01 | 0.11338464 |
| 1993-12-01 | 0.07370228 |
| 1994-01-01 | 0.21110071 |
| 1994-02-01 | 0.20340002 |
| 1994-03-01 | 0.17060683 |
| 1994-04-01 | 0.16207852 |
| 1994-05-01 | 0.16004607 |
| 1994-06-01 | 0.18230336 |
| 1994-07-01 | 0.20181881 |
| 1994-08-01 | 0.18524509 |
| 1994-09-01 | 0.15185069 |
| 1994-10-01 | 0.16526378 |
| 1994-11-01 | 0.16462775 |
| 1994-12-01 | 0.12338068 |
| 1995-01-01 | 0.35115935 |
| 1995-02-01 | 0.30956006 |
| 1995-03-01 | 0.28987329 |
| 1995-04-01 | 0.31037565 |
| 1995-05-01 | 0.35039744 |
| 1995-06-01 | 0.33877229 |
| 1995-07-01 | 0.38678097 |
| 1995-08-01 | 0.38885799 |
| 1995-09-01 | 0.39539400 |
| 1995-10-01 | 0.44109228 |
| 1995-11-01 | 0.39154592 |
| 1995-12-01 | 0.41500784 |
| 1996-01-01 | 0.58916259 |
| 1996-02-01 | 0.61536018 |
| 1996-03-01 | 0.60632498 |
| 1996-04-01 | 0.56161577 |
| 1996-05-01 | 0.52291964 |
| 1996-06-01 | 0.49622125 |
| 1996-07-01 | 0.58337451 |
| 1996-08-01 | 0.52130521 |
| 1996-09-01 | 0.61205293 |
| 1996-10-01 | 0.57017444 |
| 1996-11-01 | 0.57771706 |
| 1996-12-01 | 0.54584122 |
| 1997-01-01 | 0.61069189 |
| 1997-02-01 | 0.57901317 |
| 1997-03-01 | 0.64277456 |
| 1997-04-01 | 0.74931580 |
| 1997-05-01 | 0.71395635 |
| 1997-06-01 | 0.61443271 |
| 1997-07-01 | 0.69634008 |
| 1997-08-01 | 0.68237218 |
| 1997-09-01 | 0.61648657 |
| 1997-10-01 | 0.64418437 |
| 1997-11-01 | 0.60555070 |
| 1997-12-01 | 0.56515817 |
| 1998-01-01 | 0.30140392 |
| 1998-02-01 | 0.22274460 |
| 1998-03-01 | 0.20314491 |
| 1998-04-01 | 0.44404599 |
| 1998-05-01 | 0.34237132 |
| 1998-06-01 | 0.44120154 |
| 1998-07-01 | 0.20386990 |
| 1998-08-01 | 0.40427831 |
| 1998-09-01 | 0.35100036 |
| 1998-10-01 | 0.14716692 |
| 1998-11-01 | 0.29593043 |
| 1998-12-01 | 0.18586623 |
| 1999-01-01 | 0.03330620 |
| 1999-02-01 | 0.16847511 |
| 1999-03-01 | 0.07153983 |
| 1999-04-01 | 0.17177893 |
| 1999-05-01 | 0.57729117 |
| 1999-06-01 | 0.32508811 |
| 1999-07-01 | 0.32934248 |
| 1999-08-01 | 0.58307790 |
| 1999-09-01 | 0.63627285 |
| 1999-10-01 | 0.74004126 |
| 1999-11-01 | 0.74676663 |
| 1999-12-01 | 0.79131686 |
| 2000-01-01 | 0.80739819 |
| 2000-02-01 | 0.76899986 |
| 2000-03-01 | 0.43965080 |
| 2000-04-01 | 0.32027926 |
| 2000-05-01 | 0.63212812 |
| 2000-06-01 | 0.50679476 |
| 2000-07-01 | 0.22579266 |
| 2000-08-01 | 0.43965197 |
| 2000-09-01 | 0.55577139 |
| 2000-10-01 | 0.63091559 |
| 2000-11-01 | 0.67958911 |
| 2000-12-01 | 0.53035795 |
| 2001-01-01 | 0.59343285 |
| 2001-02-01 | 0.36455292 |
| 2001-03-01 | 0.37144215 |
| 2001-04-01 | 0.74056375 |
| 2001-05-01 | 0.52702362 |
| 2001-06-01 | 0.42785260 |
| 2001-07-01 | 0.48744786 |
| 2001-08-01 | 0.49551716 |
| 2001-09-01 | 0.76210894 |
| 2001-10-01 | 0.37862343 |
| 2001-11-01 | 0.62032390 |
| 2001-12-01 | 0.32093788 |
| 2002-01-01 | 0.20464772 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.17704212 |
| 2002-03-01 | 0.21628494 |
| 2002-04-01 | 0.43301389 |
| 2002-05-01 | 0.49196827 |
| 2002-06-01 | 0.28530123 |
| 2002-07-01 | 0.28353595 |
| 2002-08-01 | 0.36555376 |
| 2002-09-01 | 0.38891651 |
| 2002-10-01 | 0.44356871 |
| 2002-11-01 | 0.74246649 |
| 2002-12-01 | 0.66726529 |
| 2003-01-01 | 0.70031941 |
| 2003-02-01 | 0.63871694 |
| 2003-03-01 | 0.46038965 |
| 2003-04-01 | 0.40861502 |
| 2003-05-01 | 0.14859946 |
| 2003-06-01 | 0.25837456 |
| 2003-07-01 | 0.43893997 |
| 2003-08-01 | 0.72615238 |
| 2003-09-01 | 0.71073522 |
| 2003-10-01 | 0.67801507 |
| 2003-11-01 | 0.70502978 |
| 2003-12-01 | 0.71844648 |
| 2004-01-01 | 0.79607672 |
| 2004-02-01 | 0.69900475 |
| 2004-03-01 | 0.81782430 |
| 2004-04-01 | 0.76302618 |
| 2004-05-01 | 0.62615073 |
| 2004-06-01 | 0.36846141 |
| 2004-07-01 | 0.48244400 |
| 2004-08-01 | 0.61438156 |
| 2004-09-01 | 0.66361903 |
| 2004-10-01 | 0.75309749 |
| 2004-11-01 | 0.69674784 |
| 2004-12-01 | 0.43518062 |
| 2005-01-01 | 0.53270439 |
| 2005-02-01 | 0.54336720 |
| 2005-03-01 | 0.52990608 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.13134697 |
| 2005-05-01 | 0.26113595 |
| 2005-06-01 | 0.50030252 |
| 2005-07-01 | 0.66538360 |
| 2005-08-01 | 0.46186878 |
| 2005-09-01 | 0.14033371 |
| 2005-10-01 | 0.04960186 |
| 2005-11-01 | 0.21019287 |
| 2005-12-01 | 0.23878751 |
| 2006-01-01 | 0.34370388 |
| 2006-02-01 | 0.12267153 |
| 2006-03-01 | 0.29676828 |
| 2006-04-01 | 0.27058655 |
| 2006-05-01 | 0.09696815 |
| 2006-06-01 | 0.10060330 |
| 2006-07-01 | 0.22804141 |
| 2006-08-01 | 0.25353050 |
| 2006-09-01 | 0.21703187 |
| 2006-10-01 | 0.57861877 |
| 2006-11-01 | 0.66571842 |
| 2006-12-01 | 0.70133825 |
| 2007-01-01 | 0.78115069 |
| 2007-02-01 | 0.78049765 |
| 2007-03-01 | 0.62325755 |
| 2007-04-01 | 0.66643237 |
| 2007-05-01 | 0.75137285 |
| 2007-06-01 | 0.68410418 |
| 2007-07-01 | 0.67938603 |
| 2007-08-01 | 0.50766593 |
| 2007-09-01 | 0.44217411 |
| 2007-10-01 | 0.61101122 |
| 2007-11-01 | 0.63814443 |
| 2007-12-01 | 0.56551202 |
| 2008-01-01 | 0.45428501 |
| 2008-02-01 | 0.46920095 |
| 2008-03-01 | 0.39823298 |
| 2008-04-01 | 0.45413038 |
| 2008-05-01 | 0.50247885 |
| 2008-06-01 | 0.35382691 |
| 2008-07-01 | 0.19853559 |
| 2008-08-01 | 0.22046189 |
| 2008-09-01 | 0.32042193 |
| 2008-10-01 | 0.35459182 |
| 2008-11-01 | 0.27707476 |
| 2008-12-01 | 0.00378323 |
| 2009-01-01 | 0.00333915 |
| 2009-02-01 | 0.15132189 |
| 2009-03-01 | 0.10917987 |
| 2009-04-01 | 0.01213521 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.06979318 |
| 2009-06-01 | 0.12456159 |
| 2009-07-01 | 0.11688064 |
| 2009-08-01 | 0.00889296 |
| 2009-09-01 | 0.02276090 |
| 2009-10-01 | 0.02054853 |
| 2009-11-01 | 0.08785422 |
| 2009-12-01 | 0.62173987 |
| 2010-01-01 | 0.58995699 |
| 2010-02-01 | 0.54068490 |
| 2010-03-01 | 0.43236110 |
| 2010-04-01 | 0.55981286 |
| 2010-05-01 | 0.52450785 |
| 2010-06-01 | 0.57245897 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.23384606 |
| 2010-08-01 | 0.35697879 |
| 2010-09-01 | 0.37790092 |
| 2010-10-01 | 0.28376302 |
| 2010-11-01 | 0.39232240 |
| 2010-12-01 | 0.23064402 |
| 2011-01-01 | 0.40236179 |
| 2011-02-01 | 0.53840287 |
| 2011-03-01 | 0.57945796 |
| 2011-04-01 | 0.55976124 |
| 2011-05-01 | 0.48377066 |
| 2011-06-01 | 0.46750980 |
| 2011-07-01 | 0.52033081 |
| 2011-08-01 | 0.45075341 |
| 2011-09-01 | 0.43991562 |
| 2011-10-01 | 0.43381572 |
| 2011-11-01 | 0.47080814 |
| 2011-12-01 | 0.46274332 |
| 2012-01-01 | 0.52050918 |
| 2012-02-01 | 0.46626092 |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.52912862 |
| 2012-04-01 | 0.51426148 |
| 2012-05-01 | 0.59867526 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.51968949 |
| 2012-07-01 | 0.45006784 |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.46552509 |
| 2012-09-01 | 0.53208590 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.58991266 |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.58952101 |
| 2012-12-01 | 0.53486119 |
| 2013-01-01 | 0.51437342 |
| 2013-02-01 | 0.53554600 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.61716679 |
| 2013-04-01 | 0.47161371 |
| 2013-05-01 | 0.35689748 |
| 2013-06-01 | 0.42612911 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.57075811 |
| 2013-08-01 | 0.60480662 |
| 2013-09-01 | 0.55022006 |
| 2013-10-01 | 0.41267258 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.31916266 |
| 2013-12-01 | 0.43449812 |
| 2014-01-01 | 0.46342839 |
| 2014-02-01 | 0.43679384 |
| 2014-03-01 | 0.38352804 |
| 2014-04-01 | 0.55419074 |
| 2014-05-01 | 0.60356445 |
| 2014-06-01 | 0.59447234 |
| 2014-07-01 | 0.47507959 |
| 2014-08-01 | 0.56048269 |
| 2014-09-01 | 0.42824854 |
| 2014-10-01 | 0.43028578 |
| 2014-11-01 | 0.31588129 |
| 2014-12-01 | 0.22333211 |
| 2015-01-01 | 0.16896672 |
| 2015-02-01 | 0.07874687 |
| 2015-03-01 | 0.17206412 |
| 2015-04-01 | 0.21551228 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.21028425 |
| 2015-06-01 | 0.27263776 |
| 2015-07-01 | 0.24832975 |
| 2015-08-01 | 0.17212012 |
| 2015-09-01 | 0.14427930 |
| 2015-10-01 | 0.17191023 |
| 2015-11-01 | 0.16212825 |
| 2015-12-01 | 0.12800725 |
| 2016-01-01 | 0.13917860 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.21500256 |
| 2016-03-01 | 0.27779063 |
| 2016-04-01 | 0.36737388 |
| 2016-05-01 | 0.45900156 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.43018582 |
| 2016-07-01 | 0.45325024 |
| 2016-08-01 | 0.43715409 |
| 2016-09-01 | 0.41163914 |
| 2016-10-01 | 0.46991105 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.52180683 |
| 2016-12-01 | 0.50502976 |
| 2017-01-01 | 0.59727484 |
| 2017-02-01 | 0.64293438 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.64666504 |
| 2017-04-01 | 0.60773605 |
| 2017-05-01 | 0.60019928 |
| 2017-06-01 | 0.51985012 |
| 2017-07-01 | 0.52712718 |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.46161278 |
| 2017-09-01 | 0.58251187 |
| 2017-10-01 | 0.61924210 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.57265513 |
| 2017-12-01 | 0.62873399 |
| 2018-01-01 | 0.63517460 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.66647985 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.65316893 |
| 2018-04-01 | 0.65865290 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.67073630 |
| 2018-06-01 | 0.58737712 |
| 2018-07-01 | 0.65763091 |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.63326721 |
| 2018-09-01 | 0.56000332 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.64248294 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.65651365 |
| 2018-12-01 | 0.60904622 |
| 2019-01-01 | 0.54984703 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.41456535 |
| 2019-03-01 | 0.57253014 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.60626402 |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.67325749 |
| 2019-06-01 | 0.43610209 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.39739693 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.43445246 |
| 2019-09-01 | 0.48243223 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.32544544 |
| 2019-11-01 | 0.46110921 |
| 2019-12-01 | 0.40135652 |
| 2020-01-01 | 0.64098241 |
| 2020-02-01 | 0.68567754 |
| 2020-03-01 | 0.49969324 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.10703451 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.02195365 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.30260742 |
| 2020-07-01 | 0.46779649 |
| 2020-08-01 | 0.57109851 |
| 2020-09-01 | 0.61353030 |
| 2020-10-01 | 0.62388559 |
| 2020-11-01 | 0.59774889 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.53476492 |
| 2021-01-01 | 0.64555934 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.64593292 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.60145185 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.18647734 |
| 2021-05-01 | 0.14041834 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.12214043 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.12273324 |
| 2021-08-01 | 0.14115757 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.14133095 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.20335568 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.10452603 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.06898562 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.06537399 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.06476138 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.03074349 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.01813769 |
| 2022-05-01 | 0.05357750 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.05275332 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.07445971 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.20083368 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.11942692 |
| 2022-10-01 | 0.17324961 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.18683050 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.12068043 |
| 2023-01-01 | 0.21389216 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.13910507 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.14150388 |
| 2023-04-01 | 0.23556024 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.12253377 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.26720740 |
| 2023-07-01 | 0.36317393 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.10256305 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.15522196 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.13165736 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.39654317 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.54691875 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.58647523 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.50127918 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.33841568 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.38130547 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.32942303 |
| 2024-06-01 | 0.59856474 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.60876844 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.62006064 |
| 2024-09-01 | 0.67456124 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.66894855 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.63391532 |
| 2024-12-01 | 0.63266472 |
| 2025-01-01 | 0.57322931 |
