Table Data - Price Pressures Measure
| Title | Price Pressures Measure |
|---|---|
| Series ID | STLPPM |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| Release | St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Probability |
| Date Range | 1990-01-01 to 2024-11-01 |
| Last Updated | 2024-11-27 1:47 PM CST |
| Notes | This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will exceed 2.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure. As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series. As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1990-01-01 | 0.82410382 |
| 1990-02-01 | 0.92266792 |
| 1990-03-01 | 0.82972819 |
| 1990-04-01 | 0.83979942 |
| 1990-05-01 | 0.74312135 |
| 1990-06-01 | 0.75030005 |
| 1990-07-01 | 0.85423298 |
| 1990-08-01 | 0.74358204 |
| 1990-09-01 | 0.58113907 |
| 1990-10-01 | 0.92530034 |
| 1990-11-01 | 0.88517280 |
| 1990-12-01 | 0.84695040 |
| 1991-01-01 | 0.87719268 |
| 1991-02-01 | 0.90891106 |
| 1991-03-01 | 0.89840318 |
| 1991-04-01 | 0.82470738 |
| 1991-05-01 | 0.80917020 |
| 1991-06-01 | 0.82337106 |
| 1991-07-01 | 0.85182990 |
| 1991-08-01 | 0.81552068 |
| 1991-09-01 | 0.76729459 |
| 1991-10-01 | 0.79639081 |
| 1991-11-01 | 0.78032118 |
| 1991-12-01 | 0.76403445 |
| 1992-01-01 | 0.61838655 |
| 1992-02-01 | 0.69613473 |
| 1992-03-01 | 0.68452383 |
| 1992-04-01 | 0.75931147 |
| 1992-05-01 | 0.74680284 |
| 1992-06-01 | 0.70581905 |
| 1992-07-01 | 0.73080884 |
| 1992-08-01 | 0.67105106 |
| 1992-09-01 | 0.67436168 |
| 1992-10-01 | 0.67091119 |
| 1992-11-01 | 0.73681603 |
| 1992-12-01 | 0.72724031 |
| 1993-01-01 | 0.69646974 |
| 1993-02-01 | 0.74154834 |
| 1993-03-01 | 0.66421095 |
| 1993-04-01 | 0.70366326 |
| 1993-05-01 | 0.69387052 |
| 1993-06-01 | 0.79366043 |
| 1993-07-01 | 0.72216316 |
| 1993-08-01 | 0.73972473 |
| 1993-09-01 | 0.68527903 |
| 1993-10-01 | 0.69110862 |
| 1993-11-01 | 0.67151012 |
| 1993-12-01 | 0.81032188 |
| 1994-01-01 | 0.53723554 |
| 1994-02-01 | 0.54723712 |
| 1994-03-01 | 0.69235463 |
| 1994-04-01 | 0.70565687 |
| 1994-05-01 | 0.70358168 |
| 1994-06-01 | 0.65439754 |
| 1994-07-01 | 0.59123489 |
| 1994-08-01 | 0.65005293 |
| 1994-09-01 | 0.73825944 |
| 1994-10-01 | 0.69437854 |
| 1994-11-01 | 0.68689802 |
| 1994-12-01 | 0.78916946 |
| 1995-01-01 | 0.54995690 |
| 1995-02-01 | 0.61800374 |
| 1995-03-01 | 0.61366251 |
| 1995-04-01 | 0.61793866 |
| 1995-05-01 | 0.54293967 |
| 1995-06-01 | 0.57421419 |
| 1995-07-01 | 0.49103100 |
| 1995-08-01 | 0.45817548 |
| 1995-09-01 | 0.46202803 |
| 1995-10-01 | 0.28126528 |
| 1995-11-01 | 0.47909420 |
| 1995-12-01 | 0.31609625 |
| 1996-01-01 | 0.15342346 |
| 1996-02-01 | 0.20520940 |
| 1996-03-01 | 0.17963498 |
| 1996-04-01 | 0.33635042 |
| 1996-05-01 | 0.37777236 |
| 1996-06-01 | 0.42956918 |
| 1996-07-01 | 0.29589385 |
| 1996-08-01 | 0.42068085 |
| 1996-09-01 | 0.24008590 |
| 1996-10-01 | 0.34314830 |
| 1996-11-01 | 0.31983539 |
| 1996-12-01 | 0.36443847 |
| 1997-01-01 | 0.35319535 |
| 1997-02-01 | 0.40048560 |
| 1997-03-01 | 0.32707232 |
| 1997-04-01 | 0.13594254 |
| 1997-05-01 | 0.19663848 |
| 1997-06-01 | 0.03876590 |
| 1997-07-01 | 0.15156256 |
| 1997-08-01 | 0.06759133 |
| 1997-09-01 | 0.04410528 |
| 1997-10-01 | 0.07727352 |
| 1997-11-01 | 0.04398279 |
| 1997-12-01 | 0.03676645 |
| 1998-01-01 | 0.00256422 |
| 1998-02-01 | 0.00172906 |
| 1998-03-01 | 0.00259994 |
| 1998-04-01 | 0.02278103 |
| 1998-05-01 | 0.00937916 |
| 1998-06-01 | 0.05204445 |
| 1998-07-01 | 0.00364325 |
| 1998-08-01 | 0.01320472 |
| 1998-09-01 | 0.00880956 |
| 1998-10-01 | 0.00074838 |
| 1998-11-01 | 0.00579345 |
| 1998-12-01 | 0.00126369 |
| 1999-01-01 | 0.00019849 |
| 1999-02-01 | 0.00207086 |
| 1999-03-01 | 0.00014339 |
| 1999-04-01 | 0.00154318 |
| 1999-05-01 | 0.15913762 |
| 1999-06-01 | 0.00820673 |
| 1999-07-01 | 0.01074859 |
| 1999-08-01 | 0.03771017 |
| 1999-09-01 | 0.04508643 |
| 1999-10-01 | 0.14000889 |
| 1999-11-01 | 0.03993464 |
| 1999-12-01 | 0.08309321 |
| 2000-01-01 | 0.11983759 |
| 2000-02-01 | 0.19325365 |
| 2000-03-01 | 0.54036156 |
| 2000-04-01 | 0.67661983 |
| 2000-05-01 | 0.31437011 |
| 2000-06-01 | 0.48522099 |
| 2000-07-01 | 0.76221903 |
| 2000-08-01 | 0.54175086 |
| 2000-09-01 | 0.42304743 |
| 2000-10-01 | 0.34199459 |
| 2000-11-01 | 0.28999449 |
| 2000-12-01 | 0.45301025 |
| 2001-01-01 | 0.38513212 |
| 2001-02-01 | 0.63287098 |
| 2001-03-01 | 0.61932626 |
| 2001-04-01 | 0.09505858 |
| 2001-05-01 | 0.46548108 |
| 2001-06-01 | 0.56556027 |
| 2001-07-01 | 0.50727433 |
| 2001-08-01 | 0.48485123 |
| 2001-09-01 | 0.18733542 |
| 2001-10-01 | 0.00886026 |
| 2001-11-01 | 0.09474984 |
| 2001-12-01 | 0.01889109 |
| 2002-01-01 | 0.01791555 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.00481848 |
| 2002-03-01 | 0.01352978 |
| 2002-04-01 | 0.07077530 |
| 2002-05-01 | 0.04732618 |
| 2002-06-01 | 0.01968389 |
| 2002-07-01 | 0.02336916 |
| 2002-08-01 | 0.02654526 |
| 2002-09-01 | 0.01311023 |
| 2002-10-01 | 0.02105208 |
| 2002-11-01 | 0.05585103 |
| 2002-12-01 | 0.03954839 |
| 2003-01-01 | 0.02558592 |
| 2003-02-01 | 0.03509216 |
| 2003-03-01 | 0.44300034 |
| 2003-04-01 | 0.44856322 |
| 2003-05-01 | 0.00505956 |
| 2003-06-01 | 0.00124875 |
| 2003-07-01 | 0.00369048 |
| 2003-08-01 | 0.06067858 |
| 2003-09-01 | 0.06995370 |
| 2003-10-01 | 0.02458307 |
| 2003-11-01 | 0.02651901 |
| 2003-12-01 | 0.02825951 |
| 2004-01-01 | 0.13534859 |
| 2004-02-01 | 0.26338768 |
| 2004-03-01 | 0.09035947 |
| 2004-04-01 | 0.04676316 |
| 2004-05-01 | 0.35292263 |
| 2004-06-01 | 0.61543520 |
| 2004-07-01 | 0.48947027 |
| 2004-08-01 | 0.29329265 |
| 2004-09-01 | 0.26382350 |
| 2004-10-01 | 0.18041034 |
| 2004-11-01 | 0.25142861 |
| 2004-12-01 | 0.54175091 |
| 2005-01-01 | 0.43996414 |
| 2005-02-01 | 0.43321904 |
| 2005-03-01 | 0.45549288 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.86720156 |
| 2005-05-01 | 0.73034751 |
| 2005-06-01 | 0.45937261 |
| 2005-07-01 | 0.27040350 |
| 2005-08-01 | 0.52758836 |
| 2005-09-01 | 0.85410286 |
| 2005-10-01 | 0.95033619 |
| 2005-11-01 | 0.78658329 |
| 2005-12-01 | 0.74033518 |
| 2006-01-01 | 0.62658832 |
| 2006-02-01 | 0.87596553 |
| 2006-03-01 | 0.69261907 |
| 2006-04-01 | 0.71749757 |
| 2006-05-01 | 0.90061865 |
| 2006-06-01 | 0.89908776 |
| 2006-07-01 | 0.76400504 |
| 2006-08-01 | 0.73759415 |
| 2006-09-01 | 0.77335932 |
| 2006-10-01 | 0.02192937 |
| 2006-11-01 | 0.01874550 |
| 2006-12-01 | 0.04522763 |
| 2007-01-01 | 0.09852546 |
| 2007-02-01 | 0.11702004 |
| 2007-03-01 | 0.36351225 |
| 2007-04-01 | 0.30250010 |
| 2007-05-01 | 0.09183763 |
| 2007-06-01 | 0.04933615 |
| 2007-07-01 | 0.04413157 |
| 2007-08-01 | 0.01376678 |
| 2007-09-01 | 0.00286233 |
| 2007-10-01 | 0.04563648 |
| 2007-11-01 | 0.21502888 |
| 2007-12-01 | 0.34267004 |
| 2008-01-01 | 0.41811504 |
| 2008-02-01 | 0.32341913 |
| 2008-03-01 | 0.50265790 |
| 2008-04-01 | 0.43877412 |
| 2008-05-01 | 0.36980859 |
| 2008-06-01 | 0.58170214 |
| 2008-07-01 | 0.77636013 |
| 2008-08-01 | 0.74663072 |
| 2008-09-01 | 0.57954614 |
| 2008-10-01 | 0.41892574 |
| 2008-11-01 | 0.04773153 |
| 2008-12-01 | 0.00006895 |
| 2009-01-01 | 0.00004976 |
| 2009-02-01 | 0.01415165 |
| 2009-03-01 | 0.00659076 |
| 2009-04-01 | 0.00026836 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.00364037 |
| 2009-06-01 | 0.00988062 |
| 2009-07-01 | 0.01531911 |
| 2009-08-01 | 0.00015637 |
| 2009-09-01 | 0.00035452 |
| 2009-10-01 | 0.00034277 |
| 2009-11-01 | 0.00331019 |
| 2009-12-01 | 0.09859595 |
| 2010-01-01 | 0.10464188 |
| 2010-02-01 | 0.23533315 |
| 2010-03-01 | 0.03430402 |
| 2010-04-01 | 0.30174669 |
| 2010-05-01 | 0.37328794 |
| 2010-06-01 | 0.10677526 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.01316145 |
| 2010-08-01 | 0.02803680 |
| 2010-09-01 | 0.04577730 |
| 2010-10-01 | 0.02204895 |
| 2010-11-01 | 0.06095304 |
| 2010-12-01 | 0.02087229 |
| 2011-01-01 | 0.05035969 |
| 2011-02-01 | 0.10142305 |
| 2011-03-01 | 0.09544151 |
| 2011-04-01 | 0.10037032 |
| 2011-05-01 | 0.39246024 |
| 2011-06-01 | 0.31592219 |
| 2011-07-01 | 0.31252605 |
| 2011-08-01 | 0.38918972 |
| 2011-09-01 | 0.37851715 |
| 2011-10-01 | 0.28598479 |
| 2011-11-01 | 0.10370721 |
| 2011-12-01 | 0.22746023 |
| 2012-01-01 | 0.17717788 |
| 2012-02-01 | 0.38929213 |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.34562756 |
| 2012-04-01 | 0.37894246 |
| 2012-05-01 | 0.21282828 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.11715902 |
| 2012-07-01 | 0.10100046 |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.18066194 |
| 2012-09-01 | 0.30260071 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.24674065 |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.14199670 |
| 2012-12-01 | 0.12618823 |
| 2013-01-01 | 0.14435371 |
| 2013-02-01 | 0.18931555 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.22369426 |
| 2013-04-01 | 0.20212783 |
| 2013-05-01 | 0.11348262 |
| 2013-06-01 | 0.16360488 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.16724250 |
| 2013-08-01 | 0.17662180 |
| 2013-09-01 | 0.15838593 |
| 2013-10-01 | 0.10922183 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.07348601 |
| 2013-12-01 | 0.11196566 |
| 2014-01-01 | 0.11864227 |
| 2014-02-01 | 0.08794993 |
| 2014-03-01 | 0.09420126 |
| 2014-04-01 | 0.21414559 |
| 2014-05-01 | 0.21171422 |
| 2014-06-01 | 0.15257687 |
| 2014-07-01 | 0.08373380 |
| 2014-08-01 | 0.11504362 |
| 2014-09-01 | 0.07583072 |
| 2014-10-01 | 0.08443767 |
| 2014-11-01 | 0.04370481 |
| 2014-12-01 | 0.05741471 |
| 2015-01-01 | 0.03012759 |
| 2015-02-01 | 0.01364789 |
| 2015-03-01 | 0.03648373 |
| 2015-04-01 | 0.04159543 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.04691889 |
| 2015-06-01 | 0.09493736 |
| 2015-07-01 | 0.05529880 |
| 2015-08-01 | 0.02754080 |
| 2015-09-01 | 0.02216296 |
| 2015-10-01 | 0.04083811 |
| 2015-11-01 | 0.03448879 |
| 2015-12-01 | 0.02270297 |
| 2016-01-01 | 0.02254585 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.04800361 |
| 2016-03-01 | 0.05860959 |
| 2016-04-01 | 0.08874387 |
| 2016-05-01 | 0.18228465 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.32579196 |
| 2016-07-01 | 0.26691834 |
| 2016-08-01 | 0.15651724 |
| 2016-09-01 | 0.19603503 |
| 2016-10-01 | 0.18235507 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.24233223 |
| 2016-12-01 | 0.32338433 |
| 2017-01-01 | 0.16831959 |
| 2017-02-01 | 0.19680941 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.16961135 |
| 2017-04-01 | 0.09098356 |
| 2017-05-01 | 0.07493619 |
| 2017-06-01 | 0.10026956 |
| 2017-07-01 | 0.09095484 |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.08900278 |
| 2017-09-01 | 0.08478772 |
| 2017-10-01 | 0.10341038 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.06730631 |
| 2017-12-01 | 0.10184876 |
| 2018-01-01 | 0.10551885 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.19541295 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.10943013 |
| 2018-04-01 | 0.10633227 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.13995434 |
| 2018-06-01 | 0.28994018 |
| 2018-07-01 | 0.13887557 |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.11366129 |
| 2018-09-01 | 0.04318020 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.08718151 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.14242434 |
| 2018-12-01 | 0.07972159 |
| 2019-01-01 | 0.03977398 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.05049742 |
| 2019-03-01 | 0.06677895 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.08718498 |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.11768075 |
| 2019-06-01 | 0.04114613 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.04203818 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.02903059 |
| 2019-09-01 | 0.03822527 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.03129569 |
| 2019-11-01 | 0.05998788 |
| 2019-12-01 | 0.05283640 |
| 2020-01-01 | 0.09184358 |
| 2020-02-01 | 0.14049980 |
| 2020-03-01 | 0.07111469 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.01133698 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.00179769 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.02937553 |
| 2020-07-01 | 0.07510801 |
| 2020-08-01 | 0.20549750 |
| 2020-09-01 | 0.28378260 |
| 2020-10-01 | 0.19446144 |
| 2020-11-01 | 0.10473402 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.10434346 |
| 2021-01-01 | 0.16637409 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.23534609 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.31929640 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.79568278 |
| 2021-05-01 | 0.83936694 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.86618497 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.86106474 |
| 2021-08-01 | 0.84317951 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.84325113 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.77081409 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.88527963 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.92757552 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.93148292 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.92695681 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.96828561 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.98105184 |
| 2022-05-01 | 0.94412237 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.94278057 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.91495687 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.77037392 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.86909627 |
| 2022-10-01 | 0.78827854 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.76836622 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.86524010 |
| 2023-01-01 | 0.75844202 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.83389108 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.84702354 |
| 2023-04-01 | 0.74208603 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.87036458 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.70564001 |
| 2023-07-01 | 0.58230855 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.88965773 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.82081787 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.85805995 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.53197389 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.30444149 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.18462738 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.36479019 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.62417343 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.58157507 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.60758793 |
| 2024-06-01 | 0.29452890 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.23125420 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.24050469 |
| 2024-09-01 | 0.11497242 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.00844855 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.05096267 |
