Table Data - Price Pressures Measure
| Title | Price Pressures Measure |
|---|---|
| Series ID | STLPPM |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| Release | St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Probability |
| Date Range | 1990-01-01 to 2025-01-01 |
| Last Updated | 2025-01-31 2:39 PM CST |
| Notes | This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will exceed 2.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure. As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series. As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1990-01-01 | 0.77470521 |
| 1990-02-01 | 0.90113269 |
| 1990-03-01 | 0.82956349 |
| 1990-04-01 | 0.85083147 |
| 1990-05-01 | 0.78421858 |
| 1990-06-01 | 0.81115343 |
| 1990-07-01 | 0.78660213 |
| 1990-08-01 | 0.78360714 |
| 1990-09-01 | 0.71566268 |
| 1990-10-01 | 0.83947201 |
| 1990-11-01 | 0.79203553 |
| 1990-12-01 | 0.77612463 |
| 1991-01-01 | 0.85631164 |
| 1991-02-01 | 0.89267030 |
| 1991-03-01 | 0.88094599 |
| 1991-04-01 | 0.79888265 |
| 1991-05-01 | 0.79802673 |
| 1991-06-01 | 0.81159847 |
| 1991-07-01 | 0.83784879 |
| 1991-08-01 | 0.79520191 |
| 1991-09-01 | 0.75708989 |
| 1991-10-01 | 0.77114450 |
| 1991-11-01 | 0.75140884 |
| 1991-12-01 | 0.73135125 |
| 1992-01-01 | 0.60909306 |
| 1992-02-01 | 0.68972742 |
| 1992-03-01 | 0.67788436 |
| 1992-04-01 | 0.75725603 |
| 1992-05-01 | 0.74415480 |
| 1992-06-01 | 0.69784405 |
| 1992-07-01 | 0.72539054 |
| 1992-08-01 | 0.66129848 |
| 1992-09-01 | 0.66844131 |
| 1992-10-01 | 0.66496021 |
| 1992-11-01 | 0.73467474 |
| 1992-12-01 | 0.72367141 |
| 1993-01-01 | 0.69405938 |
| 1993-02-01 | 0.73943030 |
| 1993-03-01 | 0.66367816 |
| 1993-04-01 | 0.70246511 |
| 1993-05-01 | 0.69314589 |
| 1993-06-01 | 0.79594548 |
| 1993-07-01 | 0.72154079 |
| 1993-08-01 | 0.74148233 |
| 1993-09-01 | 0.68302738 |
| 1993-10-01 | 0.69110209 |
| 1993-11-01 | 0.67122231 |
| 1993-12-01 | 0.80940801 |
| 1994-01-01 | 0.53776457 |
| 1994-02-01 | 0.54686672 |
| 1994-03-01 | 0.69284721 |
| 1994-04-01 | 0.70621575 |
| 1994-05-01 | 0.70666794 |
| 1994-06-01 | 0.65659263 |
| 1994-07-01 | 0.59103378 |
| 1994-08-01 | 0.65004362 |
| 1994-09-01 | 0.73620408 |
| 1994-10-01 | 0.69478245 |
| 1994-11-01 | 0.68975657 |
| 1994-12-01 | 0.79069358 |
| 1995-01-01 | 0.55249887 |
| 1995-02-01 | 0.61834850 |
| 1995-03-01 | 0.61701844 |
| 1995-04-01 | 0.61950218 |
| 1995-05-01 | 0.54330783 |
| 1995-06-01 | 0.57418528 |
| 1995-07-01 | 0.49137940 |
| 1995-08-01 | 0.45990292 |
| 1995-09-01 | 0.46747211 |
| 1995-10-01 | 0.28538339 |
| 1995-11-01 | 0.48344003 |
| 1995-12-01 | 0.31748764 |
| 1996-01-01 | 0.15349753 |
| 1996-02-01 | 0.20452135 |
| 1996-03-01 | 0.18012215 |
| 1996-04-01 | 0.33707006 |
| 1996-05-01 | 0.37702906 |
| 1996-06-01 | 0.42984409 |
| 1996-07-01 | 0.30040455 |
| 1996-08-01 | 0.41844937 |
| 1996-09-01 | 0.24299679 |
| 1996-10-01 | 0.34326962 |
| 1996-11-01 | 0.31919379 |
| 1996-12-01 | 0.36194851 |
| 1997-01-01 | 0.35663189 |
| 1997-02-01 | 0.40196340 |
| 1997-03-01 | 0.32685919 |
| 1997-04-01 | 0.13572769 |
| 1997-05-01 | 0.20051017 |
| 1997-06-01 | 0.03906059 |
| 1997-07-01 | 0.15010787 |
| 1997-08-01 | 0.06743338 |
| 1997-09-01 | 0.04422205 |
| 1997-10-01 | 0.07597990 |
| 1997-11-01 | 0.04391085 |
| 1997-12-01 | 0.03649940 |
| 1998-01-01 | 0.00257759 |
| 1998-02-01 | 0.00160651 |
| 1998-03-01 | 0.00262276 |
| 1998-04-01 | 0.02256256 |
| 1998-05-01 | 0.00974746 |
| 1998-06-01 | 0.05078383 |
| 1998-07-01 | 0.00346281 |
| 1998-08-01 | 0.01287129 |
| 1998-09-01 | 0.00865296 |
| 1998-10-01 | 0.00067929 |
| 1998-11-01 | 0.00540352 |
| 1998-12-01 | 0.00140660 |
| 1999-01-01 | 0.00019074 |
| 1999-02-01 | 0.00215514 |
| 1999-03-01 | 0.00015996 |
| 1999-04-01 | 0.00167784 |
| 1999-05-01 | 0.15752642 |
| 1999-06-01 | 0.00841801 |
| 1999-07-01 | 0.01061584 |
| 1999-08-01 | 0.03782963 |
| 1999-09-01 | 0.04626408 |
| 1999-10-01 | 0.13912648 |
| 1999-11-01 | 0.04085021 |
| 1999-12-01 | 0.08430234 |
| 2000-01-01 | 0.12234671 |
| 2000-02-01 | 0.19302110 |
| 2000-03-01 | 0.54757088 |
| 2000-04-01 | 0.67802480 |
| 2000-05-01 | 0.32156369 |
| 2000-06-01 | 0.48933150 |
| 2000-07-01 | 0.77093927 |
| 2000-08-01 | 0.54975119 |
| 2000-09-01 | 0.43031396 |
| 2000-10-01 | 0.34487693 |
| 2000-11-01 | 0.29417007 |
| 2000-12-01 | 0.46005918 |
| 2001-01-01 | 0.38488642 |
| 2001-02-01 | 0.63156158 |
| 2001-03-01 | 0.62193831 |
| 2001-04-01 | 0.09333171 |
| 2001-05-01 | 0.46518912 |
| 2001-06-01 | 0.56820396 |
| 2001-07-01 | 0.50650188 |
| 2001-08-01 | 0.48582911 |
| 2001-09-01 | 0.18450881 |
| 2001-10-01 | 0.00854745 |
| 2001-11-01 | 0.09587995 |
| 2001-12-01 | 0.01838130 |
| 2002-01-01 | 0.01823187 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.00482253 |
| 2002-03-01 | 0.01344302 |
| 2002-04-01 | 0.07135795 |
| 2002-05-01 | 0.04739565 |
| 2002-06-01 | 0.01959848 |
| 2002-07-01 | 0.02288284 |
| 2002-08-01 | 0.02616906 |
| 2002-09-01 | 0.01290356 |
| 2002-10-01 | 0.02061308 |
| 2002-11-01 | 0.05643328 |
| 2002-12-01 | 0.03934232 |
| 2003-01-01 | 0.02614328 |
| 2003-02-01 | 0.03524411 |
| 2003-03-01 | 0.44613679 |
| 2003-04-01 | 0.45525522 |
| 2003-05-01 | 0.00511992 |
| 2003-06-01 | 0.00128459 |
| 2003-07-01 | 0.00377928 |
| 2003-08-01 | 0.06159124 |
| 2003-09-01 | 0.07059089 |
| 2003-10-01 | 0.02497296 |
| 2003-11-01 | 0.02725364 |
| 2003-12-01 | 0.02905139 |
| 2004-01-01 | 0.13649284 |
| 2004-02-01 | 0.26645701 |
| 2004-03-01 | 0.09091625 |
| 2004-04-01 | 0.04667638 |
| 2004-05-01 | 0.35672743 |
| 2004-06-01 | 0.62045771 |
| 2004-07-01 | 0.49238893 |
| 2004-08-01 | 0.29422556 |
| 2004-09-01 | 0.26709931 |
| 2004-10-01 | 0.18087102 |
| 2004-11-01 | 0.25239402 |
| 2004-12-01 | 0.54552323 |
| 2005-01-01 | 0.44374457 |
| 2005-02-01 | 0.43675154 |
| 2005-03-01 | 0.45692417 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.86828396 |
| 2005-05-01 | 0.73104294 |
| 2005-06-01 | 0.46138046 |
| 2005-07-01 | 0.27248492 |
| 2005-08-01 | 0.53036833 |
| 2005-09-01 | 0.85678987 |
| 2005-10-01 | 0.95035856 |
| 2005-11-01 | 0.78746838 |
| 2005-12-01 | 0.74451519 |
| 2006-01-01 | 0.62870056 |
| 2006-02-01 | 0.87623824 |
| 2006-03-01 | 0.69634969 |
| 2006-04-01 | 0.71854645 |
| 2006-05-01 | 0.90148519 |
| 2006-06-01 | 0.89835263 |
| 2006-07-01 | 0.76251188 |
| 2006-08-01 | 0.73753830 |
| 2006-09-01 | 0.77238010 |
| 2006-10-01 | 0.02190192 |
| 2006-11-01 | 0.01888813 |
| 2006-12-01 | 0.04502242 |
| 2007-01-01 | 0.09785141 |
| 2007-02-01 | 0.11709635 |
| 2007-03-01 | 0.35942737 |
| 2007-04-01 | 0.29785573 |
| 2007-05-01 | 0.08960580 |
| 2007-06-01 | 0.04824980 |
| 2007-07-01 | 0.04342033 |
| 2007-08-01 | 0.01356681 |
| 2007-09-01 | 0.00282763 |
| 2007-10-01 | 0.04315849 |
| 2007-11-01 | 0.21283081 |
| 2007-12-01 | 0.33779557 |
| 2008-01-01 | 0.41898727 |
| 2008-02-01 | 0.32372981 |
| 2008-03-01 | 0.50231839 |
| 2008-04-01 | 0.43699632 |
| 2008-05-01 | 0.37112870 |
| 2008-06-01 | 0.57955427 |
| 2008-07-01 | 0.77615107 |
| 2008-08-01 | 0.74573914 |
| 2008-09-01 | 0.57786536 |
| 2008-10-01 | 0.41850361 |
| 2008-11-01 | 0.04805136 |
| 2008-12-01 | 0.00002086 |
| 2009-01-01 | 0.00004662 |
| 2009-02-01 | 0.01408924 |
| 2009-03-01 | 0.00676798 |
| 2009-04-01 | 0.00026115 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.00361163 |
| 2009-06-01 | 0.00986379 |
| 2009-07-01 | 0.01520904 |
| 2009-08-01 | 0.00015212 |
| 2009-09-01 | 0.00035964 |
| 2009-10-01 | 0.00033635 |
| 2009-11-01 | 0.00329313 |
| 2009-12-01 | 0.09763731 |
| 2010-01-01 | 0.10415781 |
| 2010-02-01 | 0.23423952 |
| 2010-03-01 | 0.03505245 |
| 2010-04-01 | 0.30130559 |
| 2010-05-01 | 0.37181986 |
| 2010-06-01 | 0.10651889 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.01314142 |
| 2010-08-01 | 0.02803665 |
| 2010-09-01 | 0.04594310 |
| 2010-10-01 | 0.02188155 |
| 2010-11-01 | 0.06070353 |
| 2010-12-01 | 0.02115975 |
| 2011-01-01 | 0.05120804 |
| 2011-02-01 | 0.10030894 |
| 2011-03-01 | 0.09584950 |
| 2011-04-01 | 0.10024205 |
| 2011-05-01 | 0.39106253 |
| 2011-06-01 | 0.31425438 |
| 2011-07-01 | 0.31220203 |
| 2011-08-01 | 0.38862339 |
| 2011-09-01 | 0.37579820 |
| 2011-10-01 | 0.28538658 |
| 2011-11-01 | 0.10675114 |
| 2011-12-01 | 0.22760760 |
| 2012-01-01 | 0.17540092 |
| 2012-02-01 | 0.39064008 |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.34502696 |
| 2012-04-01 | 0.37781792 |
| 2012-05-01 | 0.21143799 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.11660077 |
| 2012-07-01 | 0.10031759 |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.18023692 |
| 2012-09-01 | 0.30244182 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.24743257 |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.14147960 |
| 2012-12-01 | 0.12655732 |
| 2013-01-01 | 0.14377602 |
| 2013-02-01 | 0.18918762 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.22348755 |
| 2013-04-01 | 0.20099850 |
| 2013-05-01 | 0.11271369 |
| 2013-06-01 | 0.16302751 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.16716412 |
| 2013-08-01 | 0.17615127 |
| 2013-09-01 | 0.15823187 |
| 2013-10-01 | 0.10853788 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.07359388 |
| 2013-12-01 | 0.11212179 |
| 2014-01-01 | 0.11839222 |
| 2014-02-01 | 0.08816947 |
| 2014-03-01 | 0.09376540 |
| 2014-04-01 | 0.21355580 |
| 2014-05-01 | 0.21088937 |
| 2014-06-01 | 0.15268617 |
| 2014-07-01 | 0.08358716 |
| 2014-08-01 | 0.11517965 |
| 2014-09-01 | 0.07566825 |
| 2014-10-01 | 0.08469538 |
| 2014-11-01 | 0.04369259 |
| 2014-12-01 | 0.05731105 |
| 2015-01-01 | 0.03029338 |
| 2015-02-01 | 0.01356362 |
| 2015-03-01 | 0.03652921 |
| 2015-04-01 | 0.04143112 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.04693351 |
| 2015-06-01 | 0.09504017 |
| 2015-07-01 | 0.05569111 |
| 2015-08-01 | 0.02756432 |
| 2015-09-01 | 0.02216436 |
| 2015-10-01 | 0.04097574 |
| 2015-11-01 | 0.03437861 |
| 2015-12-01 | 0.02281907 |
| 2016-01-01 | 0.02251767 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.04797591 |
| 2016-03-01 | 0.05905718 |
| 2016-04-01 | 0.08853542 |
| 2016-05-01 | 0.18107958 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.32688804 |
| 2016-07-01 | 0.26751773 |
| 2016-08-01 | 0.15694874 |
| 2016-09-01 | 0.19537339 |
| 2016-10-01 | 0.18260607 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.24207227 |
| 2016-12-01 | 0.32497479 |
| 2017-01-01 | 0.16815010 |
| 2017-02-01 | 0.19673406 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.17001254 |
| 2017-04-01 | 0.09146723 |
| 2017-05-01 | 0.07519966 |
| 2017-06-01 | 0.10073164 |
| 2017-07-01 | 0.09127678 |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.08905991 |
| 2017-09-01 | 0.08494323 |
| 2017-10-01 | 0.10344315 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.06728570 |
| 2017-12-01 | 0.10234727 |
| 2018-01-01 | 0.10509679 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.19567542 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.10962834 |
| 2018-04-01 | 0.10542331 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.13946145 |
| 2018-06-01 | 0.29047222 |
| 2018-07-01 | 0.13892672 |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.11341846 |
| 2018-09-01 | 0.04329037 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.08692307 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.14264265 |
| 2018-12-01 | 0.07931633 |
| 2019-01-01 | 0.03956437 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.05025587 |
| 2019-03-01 | 0.06804424 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.08672686 |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.11748400 |
| 2019-06-01 | 0.04132086 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.04213027 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.02882301 |
| 2019-09-01 | 0.03844051 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.03138030 |
| 2019-11-01 | 0.06021778 |
| 2019-12-01 | 0.05300593 |
| 2020-01-01 | 0.09161694 |
| 2020-02-01 | 0.13946203 |
| 2020-03-01 | 0.07153998 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.01092304 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.00162942 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.02984688 |
| 2020-07-01 | 0.07464274 |
| 2020-08-01 | 0.20674896 |
| 2020-09-01 | 0.28249623 |
| 2020-10-01 | 0.19827243 |
| 2020-11-01 | 0.10692954 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.10487962 |
| 2021-01-01 | 0.16403903 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.23639771 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.32071476 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.79475046 |
| 2021-05-01 | 0.83591293 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.86043492 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.86234144 |
| 2021-08-01 | 0.83669448 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.84279611 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.76446306 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.88290537 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.92437270 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.92880813 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.92570403 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.96719178 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.98079774 |
| 2022-05-01 | 0.94143188 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.94146298 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.91400168 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.77564487 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.86735393 |
| 2022-10-01 | 0.78987534 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.76787845 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.86547967 |
| 2023-01-01 | 0.75610376 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.83809910 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.84522289 |
| 2023-04-01 | 0.74146008 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.86838014 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.70169429 |
| 2023-07-01 | 0.58454608 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.88827022 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.81976066 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.85781521 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.53975846 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.31027945 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.18118006 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.36578440 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.62642635 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.57659829 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.62090761 |
| 2024-06-01 | 0.29543369 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.25244050 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.25727422 |
| 2024-09-01 | 0.14932631 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.11532305 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.21709907 |
| 2024-12-01 | 0.19279942 |
| 2025-01-01 | 0.31141196 |
