Table Data - 1-Month Real Interest Rate
| Title | 1-Month Real Interest Rate |
|---|---|
| Series ID | REAINTRATREARAT1MO |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| Release | Inflation Expectations (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1982-01-01 to 2024-11-01 |
| Last Updated | 2024-11-13 3:03 PM CST |
| Notes | The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate. Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations. For more information, please visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1982-01-01 | 2.46401780 |
| 1982-02-01 | 4.98159910 |
| 1982-03-01 | 7.59418660 |
| 1982-04-01 | 8.80343430 |
| 1982-05-01 | 8.56745610 |
| 1982-06-01 | 10.83276100 |
| 1982-07-01 | 7.16189800 |
| 1982-08-01 | 3.63015000 |
| 1982-09-01 | -1.07157050 |
| 1982-10-01 | 2.75297180 |
| 1982-11-01 | 5.83016910 |
| 1982-12-01 | 5.17870920 |
| 1983-01-01 | 4.46916160 |
| 1983-02-01 | 4.55841630 |
| 1983-03-01 | 5.99024750 |
| 1983-04-01 | 5.39264040 |
| 1983-05-01 | 5.84013930 |
| 1983-06-01 | 6.36026040 |
| 1983-07-01 | 4.09339430 |
| 1983-08-01 | 5.70532930 |
| 1983-09-01 | 4.98293280 |
| 1983-10-01 | 4.28688600 |
| 1983-11-01 | 3.78414500 |
| 1983-12-01 | 3.58728760 |
| 1984-01-01 | 5.17687020 |
| 1984-02-01 | 4.50583380 |
| 1984-03-01 | 5.50046340 |
| 1984-04-01 | 4.98305170 |
| 1984-05-01 | 4.89999100 |
| 1984-06-01 | 4.53661890 |
| 1984-07-01 | 5.97472980 |
| 1984-08-01 | 5.69452160 |
| 1984-09-01 | 6.60793890 |
| 1984-10-01 | 7.27543420 |
| 1984-11-01 | 4.87196070 |
| 1984-12-01 | 4.58583190 |
| 1985-01-01 | 3.94070260 |
| 1985-02-01 | 3.97492110 |
| 1985-03-01 | 3.45616620 |
| 1985-04-01 | 5.87856930 |
| 1985-05-01 | 3.64810080 |
| 1985-06-01 | 1.86427200 |
| 1985-07-01 | 4.07065100 |
| 1985-08-01 | 3.64855330 |
| 1985-09-01 | 3.69224280 |
| 1985-10-01 | 3.73810370 |
| 1985-11-01 | 4.21994230 |
| 1985-12-01 | 4.90426610 |
| 1986-01-01 | 2.50138480 |
| 1986-02-01 | 3.87334820 |
| 1986-03-01 | 6.37863260 |
| 1986-04-01 | 6.56596660 |
| 1986-05-01 | 6.37428520 |
| 1986-06-01 | 5.22638380 |
| 1986-07-01 | 3.70084800 |
| 1986-08-01 | 3.51665980 |
| 1986-09-01 | 3.17682350 |
| 1986-10-01 | 2.35450360 |
| 1986-11-01 | 2.53838000 |
| 1986-12-01 | 2.17610150 |
| 1987-01-01 | 1.93373270 |
| 1987-02-01 | 1.76331950 |
| 1987-03-01 | 4.18712960 |
| 1987-04-01 | 1.84829940 |
| 1987-05-01 | 0.74693948 |
| 1987-06-01 | 2.25020540 |
| 1987-07-01 | 0.71508963 |
| 1987-08-01 | 1.49897570 |
| 1987-09-01 | 1.23737770 |
| 1987-10-01 | 3.04387650 |
| 1987-11-01 | 0.10457518 |
| 1987-12-01 | -0.57908223 |
| 1988-01-01 | 0.41492018 |
| 1988-02-01 | 1.95759910 |
| 1988-03-01 | 1.96369940 |
| 1988-04-01 | 2.16108090 |
| 1988-05-01 | 2.42462270 |
| 1988-06-01 | 2.67455450 |
| 1988-07-01 | 1.71218000 |
| 1988-08-01 | 2.71597060 |
| 1988-09-01 | 2.93598940 |
| 1988-10-01 | 2.66570290 |
| 1988-11-01 | 2.44563120 |
| 1988-12-01 | 2.81122580 |
| 1989-01-01 | 2.22214980 |
| 1989-02-01 | 2.84000110 |
| 1989-03-01 | 2.91061140 |
| 1989-04-01 | 3.71033110 |
| 1989-05-01 | 4.52112560 |
| 1989-06-01 | 4.45149090 |
| 1989-07-01 | 3.90422260 |
| 1989-08-01 | 4.02718850 |
| 1989-09-01 | 4.29767070 |
| 1989-10-01 | 4.22143980 |
| 1989-11-01 | 3.85808600 |
| 1989-12-01 | 4.29473720 |
| 1990-01-01 | 4.09127440 |
| 1990-02-01 | 3.10039220 |
| 1990-03-01 | 5.23821780 |
| 1990-04-01 | 5.21010360 |
| 1990-05-01 | 4.38859280 |
| 1990-06-01 | 3.36319030 |
| 1990-07-01 | 4.71439020 |
| 1990-08-01 | 3.95363210 |
| 1990-09-01 | 1.99895000 |
| 1990-10-01 | 1.61028210 |
| 1990-11-01 | 0.35187479 |
| 1990-12-01 | 0.77509084 |
| 1991-01-01 | 1.38198170 |
| 1991-02-01 | 2.46818180 |
| 1991-03-01 | 2.23198570 |
| 1991-04-01 | 3.46178840 |
| 1991-05-01 | 2.43492980 |
| 1991-06-01 | 2.29429720 |
| 1991-07-01 | 2.37539440 |
| 1991-08-01 | 2.14368530 |
| 1991-09-01 | 2.30300690 |
| 1991-10-01 | 1.60009880 |
| 1991-11-01 | 1.41397910 |
| 1991-12-01 | 0.79893588 |
| 1992-01-01 | 0.67921932 |
| 1992-02-01 | 0.42849128 |
| 1992-03-01 | 0.41632759 |
| 1992-04-01 | 1.11491580 |
| 1992-05-01 | 0.11800408 |
| 1992-06-01 | 0.05360475 |
| 1992-07-01 | 0.20601397 |
| 1992-08-01 | 0.05638400 |
| 1992-09-01 | 0.13860391 |
| 1992-10-01 | -0.18578177 |
| 1992-11-01 | -0.07047103 |
| 1992-12-01 | 0.26782816 |
| 1993-01-01 | 0.02416730 |
| 1993-02-01 | -0.06929092 |
| 1993-03-01 | -0.15329422 |
| 1993-04-01 | -0.09350515 |
| 1993-05-01 | -0.27270243 |
| 1993-06-01 | 0.88869781 |
| 1993-07-01 | 0.12998861 |
| 1993-08-01 | 0.33623375 |
| 1993-09-01 | 0.25350421 |
| 1993-10-01 | -0.17399031 |
| 1993-11-01 | 0.18886258 |
| 1993-12-01 | 0.46306775 |
| 1994-01-01 | 0.40876625 |
| 1994-02-01 | -0.21013442 |
| 1994-03-01 | -0.89062729 |
| 1994-04-01 | 0.57476397 |
| 1994-05-01 | 1.02142200 |
| 1994-06-01 | 0.33313603 |
| 1994-07-01 | 0.41944725 |
| 1994-08-01 | 1.56033470 |
| 1994-09-01 | 1.66643220 |
| 1994-10-01 | 1.57401950 |
| 1994-11-01 | 1.24004360 |
| 1994-12-01 | 1.25716770 |
| 1995-01-01 | 1.66294230 |
| 1995-02-01 | 1.61790070 |
| 1995-03-01 | 1.74783430 |
| 1995-04-01 | 2.21215360 |
| 1995-05-01 | 3.17932160 |
| 1995-06-01 | 2.94324190 |
| 1995-07-01 | 2.09862880 |
| 1995-08-01 | 2.43237820 |
| 1995-09-01 | 2.07072000 |
| 1995-10-01 | 2.82293340 |
| 1995-11-01 | 2.31858930 |
| 1995-12-01 | 3.94870640 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.71230170 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.25987720 |
| 1996-03-01 | 3.49209560 |
| 1996-04-01 | 3.00631280 |
| 1996-05-01 | 1.91632410 |
| 1996-06-01 | 2.14962750 |
| 1996-07-01 | 2.91855140 |
| 1996-08-01 | 2.45159060 |
| 1996-09-01 | 2.91867110 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.38046800 |
| 1996-11-01 | 1.99353770 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.81336730 |
| 1997-01-01 | 1.91693580 |
| 1997-02-01 | 1.64740960 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.42279780 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.70786130 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.89263770 |
| 1997-06-01 | 1.72274950 |
| 1997-07-01 | 2.73105410 |
| 1997-08-01 | 2.58922200 |
| 1997-09-01 | 3.18887910 |
| 1997-10-01 | 2.13170690 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.08429790 |
| 1997-12-01 | 3.29401780 |
| 1998-01-01 | 3.13860710 |
| 1998-02-01 | 3.07383550 |
| 1998-03-01 | 3.24183040 |
| 1998-04-01 | 3.38978210 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.95594670 |
| 1998-06-01 | 3.75482450 |
| 1998-07-01 | 2.65327700 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.88504360 |
| 1998-09-01 | 2.93852220 |
| 1998-10-01 | 1.99373870 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.12506680 |
| 1998-12-01 | 3.11385970 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.39274430 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.38938470 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.77215710 |
| 1999-04-01 | 3.19604920 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.46178740 |
| 1999-06-01 | 4.93610810 |
| 1999-07-01 | 2.82818360 |
| 1999-08-01 | 3.06490810 |
| 1999-09-01 | 3.28965140 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.38925140 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.28617070 |
| 1999-12-01 | 1.64257410 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.90563580 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.84747550 |
| 2000-03-01 | 2.96638050 |
| 2000-04-01 | 3.26245140 |
| 2000-05-01 | 3.08378160 |
| 2000-06-01 | 0.06911879 |
| 2000-07-01 | 3.45501220 |
| 2000-08-01 | 3.62621850 |
| 2000-09-01 | 3.47417480 |
| 2000-10-01 | 3.74192180 |
| 2000-11-01 | 3.27330520 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.68132580 |
| 2001-01-01 | 4.49435870 |
| 2001-02-01 | 2.21517300 |
| 2001-03-01 | 4.66722230 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.60257760 |
| 2001-05-01 | 1.58785640 |
| 2001-06-01 | 0.91649421 |
| 2001-07-01 | 1.70036920 |
| 2001-08-01 | 1.79605180 |
| 2001-09-01 | -0.33893830 |
| 2001-10-01 | 1.22041810 |
| 2001-11-01 | 1.40953300 |
| 2001-12-01 | -0.96693690 |
| 2002-01-01 | 0.60740357 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.75129505 |
| 2002-03-01 | 1.25214270 |
| 2002-04-01 | -0.05731253 |
| 2002-05-01 | -0.68299228 |
| 2002-06-01 | 0.06809438 |
| 2002-07-01 | -0.25481227 |
| 2002-08-01 | -0.11154622 |
| 2002-09-01 | -0.26195234 |
| 2002-10-01 | -0.48475748 |
| 2002-11-01 | -0.71418727 |
| 2002-12-01 | -0.41667743 |
| 2003-01-01 | -0.49516422 |
| 2003-02-01 | -0.60962617 |
| 2003-03-01 | -0.35436830 |
| 2003-04-01 | -0.19873024 |
| 2003-05-01 | 0.16268611 |
| 2003-06-01 | -1.81726580 |
| 2003-07-01 | -0.01287989 |
| 2003-08-01 | -0.05845476 |
| 2003-09-01 | -0.26293002 |
| 2003-10-01 | -0.34804548 |
| 2003-11-01 | -0.43883325 |
| 2003-12-01 | -1.39373060 |
| 2004-01-01 | -0.47458712 |
| 2004-02-01 | -0.94571346 |
| 2004-03-01 | -0.10528415 |
| 2004-04-01 | -0.75632582 |
| 2004-05-01 | -1.27608760 |
| 2004-06-01 | -2.19175000 |
| 2004-07-01 | -1.13003830 |
| 2004-08-01 | -1.19949950 |
| 2004-09-01 | -2.49745280 |
| 2004-10-01 | -0.49010054 |
| 2004-11-01 | -0.31745521 |
| 2004-12-01 | 1.75238450 |
| 2005-01-01 | 0.16376120 |
| 2005-02-01 | 0.52892011 |
| 2005-03-01 | 0.50056558 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.26598842 |
| 2005-05-01 | -0.07699140 |
| 2005-06-01 | 0.57756119 |
| 2005-07-01 | 1.17613740 |
| 2005-08-01 | 1.49677540 |
| 2005-09-01 | 3.20325930 |
| 2005-10-01 | 1.19275830 |
| 2005-11-01 | 1.25155590 |
| 2005-12-01 | 0.63179077 |
| 2006-01-01 | 3.06510740 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.97493950 |
| 2006-03-01 | 5.46262440 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.93120570 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.02132740 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.57889420 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.33444250 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.56324180 |
| 2006-09-01 | 3.66546130 |
| 2006-10-01 | 4.04738740 |
| 2006-11-01 | 6.08165040 |
| 2006-12-01 | 5.71525760 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.77902930 |
| 2007-02-01 | 3.19998140 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.66992690 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.68575050 |
| 2007-05-01 | 1.37314490 |
| 2007-06-01 | 0.76410101 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.44624560 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.65903940 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.14084320 |
| 2007-10-01 | 1.74010130 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.82413320 |
| 2007-12-01 | 1.85327430 |
| 2008-01-01 | 1.11603750 |
| 2008-02-01 | -0.53544204 |
| 2008-03-01 | 0.66670382 |
| 2008-04-01 | -0.33011918 |
| 2008-05-01 | -1.29684390 |
| 2008-06-01 | -1.20757010 |
| 2008-07-01 | -2.06659760 |
| 2008-08-01 | -2.99235170 |
| 2008-09-01 | -2.02718960 |
| 2008-10-01 | 1.83077820 |
| 2008-11-01 | 4.95438600 |
| 2008-12-01 | 5.18485410 |
| 2009-01-01 | 4.06981130 |
| 2009-02-01 | 4.35918910 |
| 2009-03-01 | 6.90429560 |
| 2009-04-01 | 0.76850411 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.41135218 |
| 2009-06-01 | 1.11758820 |
| 2009-07-01 | -0.07082393 |
| 2009-08-01 | -1.73483670 |
| 2009-09-01 | -3.26724280 |
| 2009-10-01 | -1.13066490 |
| 2009-11-01 | -1.65342700 |
| 2009-12-01 | -1.88348060 |
| 2010-01-01 | -1.31502210 |
| 2010-02-01 | -1.63980490 |
| 2010-03-01 | -2.50844360 |
| 2010-04-01 | -0.67684985 |
| 2010-05-01 | -0.67473209 |
| 2010-06-01 | -0.24765443 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.81775186 |
| 2010-08-01 | -0.58627381 |
| 2010-09-01 | 0.58521503 |
| 2010-10-01 | -1.04806910 |
| 2010-11-01 | -1.33794890 |
| 2010-12-01 | -1.06119990 |
| 2011-01-01 | -1.49585240 |
| 2011-02-01 | -1.94775210 |
| 2011-03-01 | -2.31171910 |
| 2011-04-01 | -2.25697000 |
| 2011-05-01 | -3.20381350 |
| 2011-06-01 | -2.92444830 |
| 2011-07-01 | -3.90600460 |
| 2011-08-01 | -1.24189210 |
| 2011-09-01 | -0.06801231 |
| 2011-10-01 | -1.61951580 |
| 2011-11-01 | -1.76005740 |
| 2011-12-01 | -2.31623900 |
| 2012-01-01 | -1.65583970 |
| 2012-02-01 | -1.75399230 |
| 2012-03-01 | -1.15439350 |
| 2012-04-01 | -2.13144420 |
| 2012-05-01 | -1.59353310 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.63927787 |
| 2012-07-01 | -1.00157840 |
| 2012-08-01 | -0.93517039 |
| 2012-09-01 | -2.63574280 |
| 2012-10-01 | -1.82001900 |
| 2012-11-01 | -1.75623150 |
| 2012-12-01 | -3.26754340 |
| 2013-01-01 | -0.75568510 |
| 2013-02-01 | -0.55054715 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.33721114 |
| 2013-04-01 | -1.08253330 |
| 2013-05-01 | -0.46901447 |
| 2013-06-01 | -0.70028571 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.47447316 |
| 2013-08-01 | -2.05897290 |
| 2013-09-01 | -3.28452340 |
| 2013-10-01 | -1.05433620 |
| 2013-11-01 | -0.92284237 |
| 2013-12-01 | -2.49369800 |
| 2014-01-01 | -1.54783140 |
| 2014-02-01 | -1.56356140 |
| 2014-03-01 | -0.42535938 |
| 2014-04-01 | -1.57627170 |
| 2014-05-01 | -1.94552230 |
| 2014-06-01 | -1.24890450 |
| 2014-07-01 | -2.32766480 |
| 2014-08-01 | -1.69628020 |
| 2014-09-01 | -2.77506020 |
| 2014-10-01 | -1.15363810 |
| 2014-11-01 | -0.03939777 |
| 2014-12-01 | -2.86518770 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.17269800 |
| 2015-02-01 | 3.27827940 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.04660220 |
| 2015-04-01 | -0.86559155 |
| 2015-05-01 | -1.23942420 |
| 2015-06-01 | -1.56529390 |
| 2015-07-01 | -1.69372650 |
| 2015-08-01 | -1.56923090 |
| 2015-09-01 | -2.17516320 |
| 2015-10-01 | -0.44531306 |
| 2015-11-01 | -0.39195536 |
| 2015-12-01 | -0.70468397 |
| 2016-01-01 | -0.78236013 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.33664793 |
| 2016-03-01 | 1.37029590 |
| 2016-04-01 | -1.18064750 |
| 2016-05-01 | -1.30140550 |
| 2016-06-01 | -0.01428062 |
| 2016-07-01 | -1.59836810 |
| 2016-08-01 | -1.51362910 |
| 2016-09-01 | -2.89931260 |
| 2016-10-01 | -1.94775940 |
| 2016-11-01 | -2.44201400 |
| 2016-12-01 | -3.27724930 |
| 2017-01-01 | -2.13291780 |
| 2017-02-01 | -1.67885450 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.22449915 |
| 2017-04-01 | -0.42025822 |
| 2017-05-01 | -0.06024217 |
| 2017-06-01 | 1.82184010 |
| 2017-07-01 | -0.38836788 |
| 2017-08-01 | -0.19089195 |
| 2017-09-01 | -1.34026250 |
| 2017-10-01 | -1.01406860 |
| 2017-11-01 | -1.27971320 |
| 2017-12-01 | -3.65070250 |
| 2018-01-01 | -0.53480206 |
| 2018-02-01 | -0.99863461 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.64652158 |
| 2018-04-01 | 0.27909196 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.01592731 |
| 2018-06-01 | 1.19596790 |
| 2018-07-01 | -0.32256901 |
| 2018-08-01 | -0.26396818 |
| 2018-09-01 | -1.07889580 |
| 2018-10-01 | -0.22651582 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.14588857 |
| 2018-12-01 | 0.84780267 |
| 2019-01-01 | 1.26158630 |
| 2019-02-01 | 1.26257710 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.27250690 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.15382341 |
| 2019-05-01 | -0.29466304 |
| 2019-06-01 | 1.21419050 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.58001141 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.51258730 |
| 2019-09-01 | 0.43911591 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.03385316 |
| 2019-11-01 | -0.12344368 |
| 2019-12-01 | -0.10583375 |
| 2020-01-01 | -0.52515423 |
| 2020-02-01 | -0.22326614 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.84816890 |
| 2020-04-01 | 4.36495790 |
| 2020-05-01 | 4.65918520 |
| 2020-06-01 | 2.48424830 |
| 2020-07-01 | -0.93998818 |
| 2020-08-01 | -1.65479130 |
| 2020-09-01 | -1.57760970 |
| 2020-10-01 | -1.16112800 |
| 2020-11-01 | -1.33296300 |
| 2020-12-01 | -2.13667240 |
| 2021-01-01 | -1.62678130 |
| 2021-02-01 | -2.37748270 |
| 2021-03-01 | -1.47168780 |
| 2021-04-01 | -1.73080470 |
| 2021-05-01 | -2.17608810 |
| 2021-06-01 | -2.57291720 |
| 2021-07-01 | -2.74647540 |
| 2021-08-01 | -4.36737860 |
| 2021-09-01 | -5.16038640 |
| 2021-10-01 | -2.15498110 |
| 2021-11-01 | -3.82886990 |
| 2021-12-01 | -4.45475860 |
| 2022-01-01 | -3.26532100 |
| 2022-02-01 | -4.12629170 |
| 2022-03-01 | -4.81644410 |
| 2022-04-01 | -5.59816390 |
| 2022-05-01 | -5.85706250 |
| 2022-06-01 | -7.10290630 |
| 2022-07-01 | -3.55352250 |
| 2022-08-01 | -3.05684240 |
| 2022-09-01 | -5.05644480 |
| 2022-10-01 | -0.36611278 |
| 2022-11-01 | -0.45065367 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.83507693 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1.81789940 |
| 2023-02-01 | 1.98241290 |
| 2023-03-01 | 4.15160390 |
| 2023-04-01 | 1.84509670 |
| 2023-05-01 | 1.60767270 |
| 2023-06-01 | 6.00463230 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.85438950 |
| 2023-08-01 | 3.10031340 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.49233630 |
| 2023-10-01 | 3.00534130 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.90756820 |
| 2023-12-01 | 1.53869430 |
| 2024-01-01 | 3.51161190 |
| 2024-02-01 | 3.45969680 |
| 2024-03-01 | 4.82651770 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.95209930 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.43066670 |
| 2024-06-01 | 3.14836660 |
| 2024-07-01 | 3.59434560 |
| 2024-08-01 | 3.83158980 |
| 2024-09-01 | 3.81531330 |
| 2024-10-01 | 3.14681770 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.80659770 |
