Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - 1-Year Expected Inflation

Title 1-Year Expected Inflation
Series ID EXPINF1YR
Source Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Release Inflation Expectations (Not a Press Release)
Seasonal Adjustment Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Percent
Date Range 1982-01-01 to 2024-11-01
Last Updated 2024-11-13 3:03 PM CST
Notes The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate.

Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations.

For more information, please visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
DATE VALUE
1982-01-01 6.39450710
1982-02-01 6.43210770
1982-03-01 6.38773170
1982-04-01 6.14062760
1982-05-01 5.48816690
1982-06-01 5.44523250
1982-07-01 6.37488460
1982-08-01 6.36780100
1982-09-01 6.33942200
1982-10-01 5.13275830
1982-11-01 4.65391450
1982-12-01 4.57101480
1983-01-01 4.86330480
1983-02-01 4.59566150
1983-03-01 4.06294470
1983-04-01 4.62891990
1983-05-01 4.61863340
1983-06-01 4.13995070
1983-07-01 4.96038090
1983-08-01 5.19242670
1983-09-01 5.10374940
1983-10-01 5.11553480
1983-11-01 5.20287810
1983-12-01 5.19809040
1984-01-01 5.24751460
1984-02-01 5.06229470
1984-03-01 4.83026540
1984-04-01 5.42055430
1984-05-01 5.45801690
1984-06-01 5.58838740
1984-07-01 5.69237700
1984-08-01 5.22478100
1984-09-01 5.10478280
1984-10-01 5.41381260
1984-11-01 4.93766460
1984-12-01 4.85097020
1985-01-01 4.88075970
1985-02-01 4.65734740
1985-03-01 4.98837350
1985-04-01 4.77258550
1985-05-01 4.70293890
1985-06-01 4.71690900
1985-07-01 4.40793900
1985-08-01 4.42877640
1985-09-01 4.46136280
1985-10-01 4.41189460
1985-11-01 4.27307510
1985-12-01 4.00379650
1986-01-01 3.97591590
1986-02-01 3.97133730
1986-03-01 3.48022350
1986-04-01 3.01757470
1986-05-01 2.85141070
1986-06-01 3.46377950
1986-07-01 3.57343780
1986-08-01 3.38812200
1986-09-01 3.40351220
1986-10-01 3.47138960
1986-11-01 3.22037740
1986-12-01 3.63770040
1987-01-01 3.47669920
1987-02-01 3.56993650
1987-03-01 3.09458750
1987-04-01 3.64029380
1987-05-01 3.90854610
1987-06-01 3.98080060
1987-07-01 4.00661560
1987-08-01 4.12631500
1987-09-01 4.27713880
1987-10-01 4.38348310
1987-11-01 3.97217390
1987-12-01 4.08368700
1988-01-01 3.66292080
1988-02-01 3.78665560
1988-03-01 3.68084330
1988-04-01 3.98168550
1988-05-01 4.09940260
1988-06-01 3.94807550
1988-07-01 4.27010610
1988-08-01 4.36280700
1988-09-01 4.41421400
1988-10-01 4.37205820
1988-11-01 4.25045160
1988-12-01 4.46125830
1989-01-01 4.48020560
1989-02-01 4.40076740
1989-03-01 4.53050510
1989-04-01 4.70285610
1989-05-01 4.85256800
1989-06-01 4.38413840
1989-07-01 4.32660760
1989-08-01 4.12737800
1989-09-01 4.02127280
1989-10-01 4.22397440
1989-11-01 3.99880630
1989-12-01 3.66035930
1990-01-01 4.15169090
1990-02-01 4.43183760
1990-03-01 3.99251570
1990-04-01 4.13479220
1990-05-01 4.24650170
1990-06-01 4.19087620
1990-07-01 4.07155140
1990-08-01 4.12669260
1990-09-01 4.73223850
1990-10-01 5.00429570
1990-11-01 4.95942350
1990-12-01 4.88768220
1991-01-01 4.07300060
1991-02-01 3.79181370
1991-03-01 3.78863390
1991-04-01 3.75703860
1991-05-01 3.64225510
1991-06-01 3.57658480
1991-07-01 3.84926820
1991-08-01 3.77120210
1991-09-01 3.58585510
1991-10-01 3.59775580
1991-11-01 3.48628030
1991-12-01 3.55255910
1992-01-01 3.27243930
1992-02-01 3.34095440
1992-03-01 3.58706240
1992-04-01 3.36848030
1992-05-01 3.40972290
1992-06-01 3.55473370
1992-07-01 3.28007190
1992-08-01 3.11369100
1992-09-01 3.00562910
1992-10-01 2.95352040
1992-11-01 3.08305610
1992-12-01 3.01223310
1993-01-01 3.04627320
1993-02-01 2.91466590
1993-03-01 2.97620010
1993-04-01 2.90801260
1993-05-01 2.82276840
1993-06-01 2.81072580
1993-07-01 2.82047550
1993-08-01 2.83091680
1993-09-01 2.68603270
1993-10-01 2.76980570
1993-11-01 2.80569180
1993-12-01 2.66187480
1994-01-01 2.85465350
1994-02-01 2.80426490
1994-03-01 3.27244850
1994-04-01 3.21953290
1994-05-01 3.24348330
1994-06-01 3.42292730
1994-07-01 3.28488150
1994-08-01 3.28823720
1994-09-01 3.25155500
1994-10-01 3.49838360
1994-11-01 3.57384870
1994-12-01 3.90722130
1995-01-01 3.70017020
1995-02-01 3.56371520
1995-03-01 3.47412700
1995-04-01 3.46442380
1995-05-01 3.46624090
1995-06-01 3.05711590
1995-07-01 3.25677590
1995-08-01 3.26756240
1995-09-01 3.20991570
1995-10-01 3.13099680
1995-11-01 2.98331630
1995-12-01 2.75186190
1996-01-01 3.00383190
1996-02-01 2.91968340
1996-03-01 2.61680220
1996-04-01 3.13336480
1996-05-01 3.24781880
1996-06-01 3.22613560
1996-07-01 3.14487300
1996-08-01 3.10732440
1996-09-01 3.13477650
1996-10-01 3.18053810
1996-11-01 3.09871350
1996-12-01 2.96324440
1997-01-01 3.15740430
1997-02-01 3.13087680
1997-03-01 3.23446190
1997-04-01 3.23281160
1997-05-01 3.13415460
1997-06-01 3.20108700
1997-07-01 3.09032270
1997-08-01 2.96921780
1997-09-01 3.01348790
1997-10-01 2.98813610
1997-11-01 2.93275480
1997-12-01 2.93546140
1998-01-01 2.75701070
1998-02-01 2.61770940
1998-03-01 2.87148470
1998-04-01 2.72673740
1998-05-01 2.64484100
1998-06-01 2.46502220
1998-07-01 2.73618120
1998-08-01 2.71244190
1998-09-01 2.53364110
1998-10-01 2.36017620
1998-11-01 2.34581660
1998-12-01 2.27048240
1999-01-01 2.39556700
1999-02-01 2.41821980
1999-03-01 2.71132960
1999-04-01 2.70078270
1999-05-01 2.74287360
1999-06-01 2.34675640
1999-07-01 2.80086320
1999-08-01 2.81295680
1999-09-01 2.68820690
1999-10-01 2.87628360
1999-11-01 2.98592710
1999-12-01 3.16402030
2000-01-01 3.08028800
2000-02-01 3.15706780
2000-03-01 3.23885660
2000-04-01 3.16067350
2000-05-01 3.31262570
2000-06-01 3.76020130
2000-07-01 3.08628130
2000-08-01 3.12349060
2000-09-01 3.17411850
2000-10-01 3.10621090
2000-11-01 3.09897980
2000-12-01 3.16729860
2001-01-01 2.65365360
2001-02-01 2.63213600
2001-03-01 2.14224460
2001-04-01 2.55921290
2001-05-01 2.72387740
2001-06-01 2.75118420
2001-07-01 2.68784530
2001-08-01 2.58595190
2001-09-01 3.11522630
2001-10-01 2.29127950
2001-11-01 2.08135130
2001-12-01 2.73137530
2002-01-01 2.29025390
2002-02-01 2.14578970
2002-03-01 2.01387700
2002-04-01 2.58783160
2002-05-01 2.61865360
2002-06-01 2.34192540
2002-07-01 2.34809920
2002-08-01 2.13145450
2002-09-01 2.04112860
2002-10-01 2.00533770
2002-11-01 2.03059480
2002-12-01 1.95115790
2003-01-01 2.07901180
2003-02-01 2.10653810
2003-03-01 1.90334300
2003-04-01 1.98951330
2003-05-01 1.83853120
2003-06-01 2.28473060
2003-07-01 1.62633550
2003-08-01 1.85260730
2003-09-01 1.98049440
2003-10-01 1.78855320
2003-11-01 1.93080720
2003-12-01 2.22345640
2004-01-01 1.90697130
2004-02-01 1.98719390
2004-03-01 1.70428390
2004-04-01 1.85276710
2004-05-01 2.21410240
2004-06-01 2.57407780
2004-07-01 2.25584690
2004-08-01 2.34085290
2004-09-01 2.67677080
2004-10-01 2.14583100
2004-11-01 2.20682390
2004-12-01 1.75252860
2005-01-01 2.14059570
2005-02-01 2.13700720
2005-03-01 2.33424180
2005-04-01 2.46228930
2005-05-01 2.57806670
2005-06-01 2.36190110
2005-07-01 2.33180430
2005-08-01 2.46381910
2005-09-01 2.35381360
2005-10-01 2.84746380
2005-11-01 3.05101740
2005-12-01 3.22717250
2006-01-01 2.40277580
2006-02-01 2.50828270
2006-03-01 1.76861200
2006-04-01 2.68303790
2006-05-01 2.88301970
2006-06-01 2.74475530
2006-07-01 2.80052190
2006-08-01 2.86706460
2006-09-01 2.65130280
2006-10-01 2.40070470
2006-11-01 1.88939230
2006-12-01 1.98915280
2007-01-01 2.68381160
2007-02-01 2.63964150
2007-03-01 2.79766020
2007-04-01 2.71844830
2007-05-01 2.92430640
2007-06-01 3.21461500
2007-07-01 2.61440800
2007-08-01 2.65343710
2007-09-01 2.57404810
2007-10-01 2.29205060
2007-11-01 2.63200370
2007-12-01 2.54377580
2008-01-01 2.46662200
2008-02-01 2.29778690
2008-03-01 1.93367630
2008-04-01 2.01750430
2008-05-01 2.28684350
2008-06-01 2.72851150
2008-07-01 2.94901980
2008-08-01 3.05254480
2008-09-01 2.73092520
2008-10-01 1.60723950
2008-11-01 0.78457206
2008-12-01 0.28299557
2009-01-01 0.47357505
2009-02-01 0.38164688
2009-03-01 -0.48067803
2009-04-01 1.22893620
2009-05-01 1.29724570
2009-06-01 1.27451190
2009-07-01 1.55223470
2009-08-01 2.02453190
2009-09-01 2.36081090
2009-10-01 1.62836330
2009-11-01 1.80703370
2009-12-01 1.78660370
2010-01-01 1.69575930
2010-02-01 1.73161710
2010-03-01 1.97013880
2010-04-01 1.58720200
2010-05-01 1.56296300
2010-06-01 1.35321780
2010-07-01 0.96279857
2010-08-01 1.34112010
2010-09-01 0.90713698
2010-10-01 1.36526190
2010-11-01 1.39623690
2010-12-01 1.49387230
2011-01-01 1.79004510
2011-02-01 1.95474320
2011-03-01 2.10637930
2011-04-01 2.07573720
2011-05-01 2.29230200
2011-06-01 2.11770450
2011-07-01 2.43234800
2011-08-01 1.51131480
2011-09-01 1.00887600
2011-10-01 1.46560930
2011-11-01 1.50524880
2011-12-01 1.71166270
2012-01-01 1.47144190
2012-02-01 1.50142260
2012-03-01 1.36205360
2012-04-01 1.68693610
2012-05-01 1.59031470
2012-06-01 0.78930567
2012-07-01 1.29664970
2012-08-01 1.37009240
2012-09-01 1.93150460
2012-10-01 1.61310670
2012-11-01 1.66322660
2012-12-01 2.10290680
2013-01-01 1.31558540
2013-02-01 1.36080650
2013-03-01 1.00494080
2013-04-01 1.45631490
2013-05-01 1.17802540
2013-06-01 1.35321030
2013-07-01 1.00303290
2013-08-01 1.79742700
2013-09-01 2.20242300
2013-10-01 1.55552390
2013-11-01 1.45057540
2013-12-01 1.92403140
2014-01-01 1.63824530
2014-02-01 1.58582810
2014-03-01 1.21946170
2014-04-01 1.65301100
2014-05-01 1.76839000
2014-06-01 1.52654580
2014-07-01 1.85949110
2014-08-01 1.80655410
2014-09-01 2.11503950
2014-10-01 1.60224450
2014-11-01 1.32115500
2014-12-01 2.18609960
2015-01-01 0.91604112
2015-02-01 0.38334206
2015-03-01 0.79843856
2015-04-01 1.58999310
2015-05-01 1.70282740
2015-06-01 1.77505460
2015-07-01 1.80112510
2015-08-01 1.72479860
2015-09-01 1.92835583
2015-10-01 1.31198210
2015-11-01 1.30666730
2015-12-01 1.46795515
2016-01-01 1.47498776
2016-02-01 1.11589387
2016-03-01 0.78224551
2016-04-01 1.68966418
2016-05-01 1.66012215
2016-06-01 1.28116185
2016-07-01 1.64813436
2016-08-01 1.59008660
2016-09-01 2.06443724
2016-10-01 1.74399736
2016-11-01 1.90220184
2016-12-01 2.29173320
2017-01-01 2.10273180
2017-02-01 1.94277371
2017-03-01 1.50314821
2017-04-01 1.71866969
2017-05-01 1.56480634
2017-06-01 0.95868776
2017-07-01 1.71215951
2017-08-01 1.65217832
2017-09-01 2.05780237
2017-10-01 1.95269933
2017-11-01 2.06917502
2017-12-01 2.82407476
2018-01-01 1.90489380
2018-02-01 2.13804094
2018-03-01 1.68874433
2018-04-01 1.84679022
2018-05-01 1.96778394
2018-06-01 1.59099529
2018-07-01 2.12308939
2018-08-01 2.12845808
2018-09-01 2.41001454
2018-10-01 2.21216657
2018-11-01 2.16701625
2018-12-01 1.98107002
2019-01-01 1.80395840
2019-02-01 1.78943106
2019-03-01 1.37532429
2019-04-01 2.03738030
2019-05-01 2.18513987
2019-06-01 1.60914045
2019-07-01 1.74765616
2019-08-01 1.71433646
2019-09-01 1.64492794
2019-10-01 1.72460183
2019-11-01 1.69729979
2019-12-01 1.70378442
2020-01-01 1.79710932
2020-02-01 1.64596366
2020-03-01 0.98707392
2020-04-01 -0.05035367
2020-05-01 -0.21879037
2020-06-01 0.51275711
2020-07-01 1.57200144
2020-08-01 1.67677177
2020-09-01 1.58276440
2020-10-01 1.39703767
2020-11-01 1.42002946
2020-12-01 1.64952129
2021-01-01 1.44609260
2021-02-01 1.67548668
2021-03-01 1.51383809
2021-04-01 1.75471736
2021-05-01 1.86820734
2021-06-01 2.05518859
2021-07-01 2.07311612
2021-08-01 2.46241259
2021-09-01 2.68413713
2021-10-01 1.85436755
2021-11-01 2.47984050
2021-12-01 2.62030861
2022-01-01 2.24175848
2022-02-01 2.62741883
2022-03-01 3.05769883
2022-04-01 3.39290341
2022-05-01 3.63465785
2022-06-01 4.22671337
2022-07-01 3.30927770
2022-08-01 3.37713165
2022-09-01 4.17914969
2022-10-01 2.88195932
2022-11-01 3.23904839
2022-12-01 2.86811918
2023-01-01 2.67901610
2023-02-01 2.61308946
2023-03-01 2.07325087
2023-04-01 2.65083257
2023-05-01 2.65363857
2023-06-01 1.36626254
2023-07-01 2.47431653
2023-08-01 2.60696893
2023-09-01 2.81243484
2023-10-01 2.76957367
2023-11-01 2.79119570
2023-12-01 3.09166499
2024-01-01 2.41863256
2024-02-01 2.42832804
2024-03-01 2.08221333
2024-04-01 2.70436687
2024-05-01 2.93566763
2024-06-01 2.72584020
2024-07-01 2.55564431
2024-08-01 2.34705940
2024-09-01 2.23612091
2024-10-01 2.25612841
2024-11-01 2.42572768

Subscribe to the FRED newsletter


Follow us

Back to Top