Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions: Hiring Expectations in the next 12 Months in Federal Reserve District 7: Chicago

Title Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions: Hiring Expectations in the next 12 Months in Federal Reserve District 7: Chicago
Series ID CFSBCHIRINGEXP
Source Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Release Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions
Seasonal Adjustment Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Index
Date Range 2013-02-01 to 2024-12-01
Last Updated 2024-12-23 9:04 AM CST
Notes What is the Survey of Economic Conditions?
Contacts located in the Seventh Federal Reserve District are asked to rate various aspects of economic conditions along a seven-point scale ranging from "large increase" to "large decrease." A series of diffusion indexes summarizing the distribution of responses is then calculated.

How are the indexes constructed?
Respondents' answers on the seven-point scale are assigned a numeric value ranging from +3 to –3. Each diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the number of respondents with answers above their respective average responses and the number of respondents with answers below their respective average responses, divided by the total number of respondents. The index is then multiplied by 100 so that it ranges from +100 to −100 and will be +100 if every respondent provides an above-average answer and –100 if every respondent provides a below-average answer. Respondents with no prior history of responses are excluded from the calculation.

What do the numbers mean?
Respondents' respective average answers to a question can be interpreted as representing their historical trends, or long-run averages. Thus, zero index values indicate, on balance, average growth (or a neutral outlook) for activity, hiring, capital spending, and cost pressures. Positive index values indicate above-average growth (or an optimistic outlook) on balance, and negative values indicate below-average growth (or a pessimistic outlook) on balance.

Beginning with the May 12, 2020 release, the CFSEC moved to a monthly release schedule. This release, with data for April 2020, now contains estimated monthly historical values for the CFSEC indexes, as will all future releases. For additional information on how the survey and indexes changed, see the CFSEC FAQs available here.

Prior to April 2022, the Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions was named the Chicago Fed Survey of Business Conditions (CFSBC). The name change was made to better represent the survey’s aim and base of respondents. The goal of the survey is to assess the state of the economy in the Seventh Federal Reserve District. Moreover, since the beginning of the survey, it was been filled out by both business and nonbusiness contacts.
DATE VALUE
2013-02-01 -31.70731735229492200
2013-03-01 -24.95322990417480500
2013-04-01 -19.40601158142090000
2013-05-01 -16.03053474426269500
2013-06-01 -27.69111633300781200
2013-07-01 -26.06031417846679700
2013-08-01 -11.02941226959228500
2013-09-01 -2.13151907920837400
2013-10-01 -1.95546424388885500
2013-11-01 -10.48951053619384800
2013-12-01 2.24461269378662100
2014-01-01 7.69328260421752900
2014-02-01 4.91803264617919900
2014-03-01 -0.08328220993280411
2014-04-01 3.27731108665466300
2014-05-01 15.71428585052490200
2014-06-01 8.04019355773925800
2014-07-01 8.45329570770263700
2014-08-01 16.98113250732422000
2014-09-01 23.46407699584961000
2014-10-01 29.00140380859375000
2014-11-01 33.96226501464844000
2014-12-01 27.89396286010742200
2015-01-01 21.29397773742675800
2015-02-01 14.34263038635253900
2015-03-01 8.10806369781494100
2015-04-01 6.62742567062377900
2015-05-01 10.79136753082275400
2015-06-01 8.23893833160400400
2015-07-01 1.70998036861419680
2015-08-01 -9.23076915740966800
2015-09-01 -15.74539852142334000
2015-10-01 -14.91735935211181600
2015-11-01 -6.69145011901855500
2015-12-01 -2.97963476181030270
2016-01-01 -0.96506208181381230
2016-02-01 -0.89285713434219360
2016-03-01 4.02710914611816400
2016-04-01 -0.15678055584430695
2016-05-01 -13.95348834991455000
2016-06-01 -16.76599693298340000
2016-07-01 -14.95873355865478500
2016-08-01 -8.41121482849121100
2016-09-01 -0.11715207248926163
2016-10-01 0.43783149123191833
2016-11-01 -6.70926523208618200
2016-12-01 -1.07138538360595700
2017-01-01 4.06433105468750000
2017-02-01 8.46394920349121100
2017-03-01 11.69950008392334000
2017-04-01 10.34373283386230500
2017-05-01 3.93442630767822270
2017-06-01 -5.98472499847412100
2017-07-01 -8.65039062500000000
2017-08-01 -4.24028253555297850
2017-09-01 -3.52588725090026860
2017-10-01 -3.91539812088012700
2017-11-01 -5.43478250503540000
2017-12-01 5.58246660232543950
2018-01-01 15.02237415313720700
2018-02-01 22.38805961608886700
2018-03-01 19.37105941772461000
2018-04-01 15.91408348083496100
2018-05-01 12.44813251495361300
2018-06-01 4.81637907028198200
2018-07-01 3.67738747596740720
2018-08-01 8.95522403717041000
2018-09-01 0.14115904271602630
2018-10-01 -5.16502475738525400
2018-11-01 -7.31707334518432600
2018-12-01 -12.84255218505859400
2019-01-01 -12.68587684631347700
2019-02-01 -6.27177715301513700
2019-03-01 -12.25847339630127000
2019-04-01 -11.50930023193359400
2019-05-01 -3.16901421546936040
2019-06-01 -3.19181466102600100
2019-07-01 -8.84439563751220700
2019-08-01 -20.50359725952148400
2019-09-01 -19.54507446289062500
2019-10-01 -11.49092102050781200
2019-11-01 4.19580411911010700
2019-12-01 12.17029476165771500
2020-01-01 13.00123596191406200
2020-02-01 5.92885351181030300
2020-03-01 -47.82608795166015600
2020-04-01 -34.25787353515625000
2020-05-01 -16.82943344116211000
2020-06-01 -13.04884529113769500
2020-07-01 -14.84732246398925800
2020-08-01 -16.14823341369629000
2020-09-01 -7.93650770187377900
2020-10-01 2.33378291130065900
2020-11-01 7.76871871948242200
2020-12-01 14.32760810852050800
2021-01-01 15.53813362121582000
2021-02-01 15.71592712402343800
2021-03-01 24.80596160888672000
2021-04-01 30.35136604309082000
2021-05-01 34.15201950073242000
2021-06-01 33.38709640502930000
2021-07-01 31.32551765441894500
2021-08-01 33.85445404052734400
2021-09-01 25.67422866821289000
2021-10-01 14.78774261474609400
2021-11-01 16.01718139648437500
2021-12-01 13.76290416717529300
2022-01-01 11.02993965148925800
2022-02-01 15.84893226623535200
2022-03-01 13.51939773559570300
2022-04-01 14.12171745300293000
2022-05-01 10.52916717529296900
2022-06-01 -0.97643089294433590
2022-07-01 -6.12003374099731450
2022-08-01 -10.93343257904052700
2022-09-01 -6.85540628433227500
2022-10-01 -10.39142799377441400
2022-11-01 -21.95969963073730500
2022-12-01 -7.21649503707885700
2023-01-01 -15.23809528350830000
2023-02-01 -8.18181800842285200
2023-03-01 -27.77777862548828000
2023-04-01 -31.93548393249511700
2023-05-01 -16.50485420227050800
2023-06-01 -28.39116859436035000
2023-07-01 -27.35848999023437500
2023-08-01 -30.74534034729004000
2023-09-01 -25.76687240600586000
2023-10-01 -29.90033149719238300
2023-11-01 -31.80212020874023400
2023-12-01 -8.95522403717041000
2024-01-01 -15.78947353363037100
2024-02-01 -3.07167243957519530
2024-03-01 -18.27956962585449200
2024-04-01 -7.92452812194824200
2024-05-01 -36.78160858154297000
2024-06-01 -40.29850769042969000
2024-07-01 -18.34532356262207000
2024-08-01 -24.73118209838867200
2024-09-01 -18.81533241271972700
2024-10-01 -14.13043498992920000
2024-11-01 -25.09505844116211000
2024-12-01 -7.10059165954589800

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