Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions: Hiring Expectations in the next 12 Months in Federal Reserve District 7: Chicago

Title Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions: Hiring Expectations in the next 12 Months in Federal Reserve District 7: Chicago
Series ID CFSBCHIRINGEXP
Source Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Release Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions
Seasonal Adjustment Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Index
Date Range 2013-02-01 to 2024-10-01
Last Updated 2024-10-22 9:04 AM CDT
Notes What is the Survey of Economic Conditions?
Contacts located in the Seventh Federal Reserve District are asked to rate various aspects of economic conditions along a seven-point scale ranging from "large increase" to "large decrease." A series of diffusion indexes summarizing the distribution of responses is then calculated.

How are the indexes constructed?
Respondents' answers on the seven-point scale are assigned a numeric value ranging from +3 to –3. Each diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the number of respondents with answers above their respective average responses and the number of respondents with answers below their respective average responses, divided by the total number of respondents. The index is then multiplied by 100 so that it ranges from +100 to −100 and will be +100 if every respondent provides an above-average answer and –100 if every respondent provides a below-average answer. Respondents with no prior history of responses are excluded from the calculation.

What do the numbers mean?
Respondents' respective average answers to a question can be interpreted as representing their historical trends, or long-run averages. Thus, zero index values indicate, on balance, average growth (or a neutral outlook) for activity, hiring, capital spending, and cost pressures. Positive index values indicate above-average growth (or an optimistic outlook) on balance, and negative values indicate below-average growth (or a pessimistic outlook) on balance.

Beginning with the May 12, 2020 release, the CFSEC moved to a monthly release schedule. This release, with data for April 2020, now contains estimated monthly historical values for the CFSEC indexes, as will all future releases. For additional information on how the survey and indexes changed, see the CFSEC FAQs available here.

Prior to April 2022, the Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions was named the Chicago Fed Survey of Business Conditions (CFSBC). The name change was made to better represent the survey’s aim and base of respondents. The goal of the survey is to assess the state of the economy in the Seventh Federal Reserve District. Moreover, since the beginning of the survey, it was been filled out by both business and nonbusiness contacts.
DATE VALUE
2013-02-01 -31.70731735229492000
2013-03-01 -24.95322990417480000
2013-04-01 -19.40601158142090000
2013-05-01 -16.03053474426270000
2013-06-01 -27.69111633300781000
2013-07-01 -26.06031417846680000
2013-08-01 -11.02941226959229000
2013-09-01 -2.13151907920837400
2013-10-01 -1.95546424388885500
2013-11-01 -10.48951053619385000
2013-12-01 2.24461269378662100
2014-01-01 7.69328260421752900
2014-02-01 4.91803264617919900
2014-03-01 -0.08328220993280411
2014-04-01 3.27731108665466300
2014-05-01 15.71428585052490000
2014-06-01 8.04019355773925800
2014-07-01 8.45329570770263700
2014-08-01 16.98113250732422000
2014-09-01 23.46407699584961000
2014-10-01 29.00140380859375000
2014-11-01 33.96226501464844000
2014-12-01 27.89396286010742000
2015-01-01 21.29397773742676000
2015-02-01 14.34263038635254000
2015-03-01 8.10806369781494100
2015-04-01 6.62742567062377900
2015-05-01 10.79136753082275000
2015-06-01 8.23893833160400400
2015-07-01 1.70998036861419700
2015-08-01 -9.23076915740966800
2015-09-01 -15.74539852142334000
2015-10-01 -14.91735935211182000
2015-11-01 -6.69145011901855500
2015-12-01 -2.97963476181030300
2016-01-01 -0.96506208181381230
2016-02-01 -0.89285713434219360
2016-03-01 4.02710914611816400
2016-04-01 -0.15678055584430690
2016-05-01 -13.95348834991455000
2016-06-01 -16.76599693298340000
2016-07-01 -14.95873355865479000
2016-08-01 -8.41121482849121100
2016-09-01 -0.11715207248926160
2016-10-01 0.43783149123191830
2016-11-01 -6.70926523208618200
2016-12-01 -1.06730031967163100
2017-01-01 3.76960253715515100
2017-02-01 7.54716968536377000
2017-03-01 11.39402770996094000
2017-04-01 10.37296390533447000
2017-05-01 3.93442630767822300
2017-06-01 -5.98472499847412100
2017-07-01 -8.65039062500000000
2017-08-01 -4.24028253555297900
2017-09-01 -3.52588725090026900
2017-10-01 -3.91539812088012700
2017-11-01 -5.43478250503540000
2017-12-01 5.58246660232543900
2018-01-01 15.02237415313721000
2018-02-01 22.38805961608887000
2018-03-01 19.37105941772461000
2018-04-01 15.91408348083496000
2018-05-01 12.44813251495361000
2018-06-01 4.81637907028198200
2018-07-01 3.67738747596740700
2018-08-01 8.95522403717041000
2018-09-01 0.14115904271602630
2018-10-01 -5.16502475738525400
2018-11-01 -7.31707334518432600
2018-12-01 -12.84255218505859000
2019-01-01 -12.68587684631348000
2019-02-01 -6.27177715301513700
2019-03-01 -12.25847339630127000
2019-04-01 -11.50930023193359000
2019-05-01 -3.16901421546936000
2019-06-01 -3.19181466102600100
2019-07-01 -8.84439563751220700
2019-08-01 -20.50359725952148000
2019-09-01 -19.54507446289063000
2019-10-01 -11.49092102050781000
2019-11-01 4.19580411911010700
2019-12-01 12.17029476165771000
2020-01-01 13.00123596191406000
2020-02-01 5.92885351181030300
2020-03-01 -47.82608795166016000
2020-04-01 -34.25787353515625000
2020-05-01 -16.82943344116211000
2020-06-01 -13.04884529113770000
2020-07-01 -14.84732246398926000
2020-08-01 -16.53225708007813000
2020-09-01 -8.73873805999755900
2020-10-01 1.44854331016540500
2020-11-01 7.28640365600585900
2020-12-01 13.92771434783936000
2021-01-01 14.74958229064941000
2021-02-01 14.90138816833496000
2021-03-01 23.89058685302734000
2021-04-01 29.40330696105957000
2021-05-01 33.66965866088867000
2021-06-01 33.38709640502930000
2021-07-01 30.83008575439453000
2021-08-01 33.32599258422852000
2021-09-01 25.67422866821289000
2021-10-01 14.78774261474609000
2021-11-01 15.45747947692871000
2021-12-01 13.18514728546143000
2022-01-01 11.02993965148926000
2022-02-01 15.31142616271973000
2022-03-01 13.00154209136963000
2022-04-01 14.12171745300293000
2022-05-01 10.52916717529297000
2022-06-01 -0.51346802711486820
2022-07-01 -5.64213657379150400
2022-08-01 -10.46212863922119000
2022-09-01 -6.36839246749877900
2022-10-01 -10.39142799377441000
2022-11-01 -21.95969963073730000
2022-12-01 -6.18556690216064500
2023-01-01 -14.28571414947510000
2023-02-01 -7.27272748947143600
2023-03-01 -27.77777862548828000
2023-04-01 -30.96774101257324000
2023-05-01 -16.50485420227051000
2023-06-01 -27.44479560852051000
2023-07-01 -28.30188751220703000
2023-08-01 -29.81366348266602000
2023-09-01 -25.76687240600586000
2023-10-01 -30.89700889587402000
2023-11-01 -30.74204826354980000
2023-12-01 -8.95522403717041000
2024-01-01 -14.73684215545654000
2024-02-01 -2.04778170585632300
2024-03-01 -18.27956962585449000
2024-04-01 -7.92452812194824200
2024-05-01 -33.33333206176758000
2024-06-01 -38.05970001220703000
2024-07-01 -15.10791397094727000
2024-08-01 -24.82014465332031000
2024-09-01 -18.08510589599609000
2024-10-01 -12.02185821533203000

Subscribe to the FRED newsletter


Follow us

Back to Top