NOTE: THIS DATA FILE WILL CHANGE! To improve accessibility of data for all users, we will convert this file from a text format to an html table by the end of June 2024. Title: Brave-Butters-Kelley Real Gross Domestic Product Series ID: BBKQGDP Source: Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center Release: Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Quarterly Units: Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period Date Range: 1960-01-01 to 2024-01-01 Last Updated: 2024-04-29 7:31 AM CDT Notes: The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth. The BBK Monthly GDP Growth is indexed to the quarterly estimates of real GDP growth from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and consists of three components: cycle, trend, and irregular components. This quarterly series is aggregated from the monthly version of the series (BBKMGDP (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BBKMGDP)), using the triangle average described in Brave, Butters, and Kelley (2019) (https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/economic-perspectives/2019/1) to approximate quarterly annualized (log) percent changes from the monthly series. For more details, see also: Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/chicago-fed-letter/2019/422), Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422 Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity (https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/economic-perspectives/2019/1), Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1 DATE VALUE 1960-01-01 8.900755344981803000 1960-04-01 -2.166667212753736700 1960-07-01 1.961906522333834000 1960-10-01 -5.164908497410892000 1961-01-01 2.688120398242688200 1961-04-01 6.732388196059702000 1961-07-01 7.616304141666319000 1961-10-01 7.766597087118043000 1962-01-01 7.065576170107590000 1962-04-01 3.602577926782402000 1962-07-01 4.895944963304544000 1962-10-01 1.310760320925652400 1963-01-01 4.348710988501381000 1963-04-01 4.464525895205895000 1963-07-01 8.702767600031791000 1963-10-01 2.605936959459143000 1964-01-01 8.356339423502135000 1964-04-01 4.328942470057484000 1964-07-01 6.199613808088600000 1964-10-01 1.232231806123707000 1965-01-01 9.567680735688810000 1965-04-01 5.020967364216489000 1965-07-01 8.795106132358654000 1965-10-01 9.117079042771081000 1966-01-01 9.616135620294841000 1966-04-01 1.358665427208194400 1966-07-01 3.380786250825451600 1966-10-01 3.261317178419176300 1967-01-01 3.530720607749060500 1967-04-01 0.246315537977892520 1967-07-01 3.766098465280265400 1967-10-01 3.005309857105942200 1968-01-01 8.076886395360106000 1968-04-01 6.620018545793016000 1968-07-01 3.091870216605485700 1968-10-01 1.563931461375745000 1969-01-01 6.210428211568342000 1969-04-01 1.209464977703334000 1969-07-01 2.633023744472495800 1969-10-01 -1.954303346338548400 1970-01-01 -0.595703879435660600 1970-04-01 0.565562970673028100 1970-07-01 3.667995661517409000 1970-10-01 -4.309027482646145000 1971-01-01 10.716156608635430000 1971-04-01 2.161830722216962000 1971-07-01 3.275365851788336600 1971-10-01 0.934013149400669800 1972-01-01 7.281006503902887000 1972-04-01 8.981251689469616000 1972-07-01 3.759724968892186300 1972-10-01 6.637769461926979000 1973-01-01 9.777692846568442000 1973-04-01 4.333950302464729000 1973-07-01 -2.108576685527907600 1973-10-01 3.777065246820399000 1974-01-01 -3.448916642736321600 1974-04-01 0.950111429497724200 1974-07-01 -3.800847286483844000 1974-10-01 -1.555713823346848400 1975-01-01 -4.905170957844263000 1975-04-01 2.850320677006834600 1975-07-01 6.789179582138871000 1975-10-01 5.352165015405319000 1976-01-01 8.897001762787227000 1976-04-01 2.924321337670221500 1976-07-01 2.185541136098834000 1976-10-01 2.881135036194138000 1977-01-01 4.715400283458138000 1977-04-01 7.695462728410263000 1977-07-01 7.148898303949380000 1977-10-01 0.005904451218441409 1978-01-01 1.279208806752763000 1978-04-01 15.164354220483032000 1978-07-01 4.003190832769832000 1978-10-01 5.344298171977613000 1979-01-01 0.713471100701212900 1979-04-01 0.430784566531627900 1979-07-01 2.958739807963439700 1979-10-01 0.995978296608512900 1980-01-01 1.260565432320959200 1980-04-01 -8.329562817053926000 1980-07-01 -0.478708657191617700 1980-10-01 7.394639934632607500 1981-01-01 7.759453319756915000 1981-04-01 -2.976592688500545600 1981-07-01 4.763719275130285000 1981-10-01 -4.380311098351797000 1982-01-01 -6.266787594406509000 1982-04-01 1.821603886668299300 1982-07-01 -1.531123279239210400 1982-10-01 0.158852974076495000 1983-01-01 5.239501188344775000 1983-04-01 9.000553435260628000 1983-07-01 7.912242383000745000 1983-10-01 8.261567352538890000 1984-01-01 7.741074487569932000 1984-04-01 6.855829981235217500 1984-07-01 3.837800805546720500 1984-10-01 3.268043304210266300 1985-01-01 3.856258561563663500 1985-04-01 3.508045903340928400 1985-07-01 6.061360787859371000 1985-10-01 2.964280257442908400 1986-01-01 3.715872462101543800 1986-04-01 1.797284293723322400 1986-07-01 3.809531033873980700 1986-10-01 2.140196643888714300 1987-01-01 2.957582191999819000 1987-04-01 4.290095745766820000 1987-07-01 3.450773101964444000 1987-10-01 6.809209246446812000 1988-01-01 2.063493242015113000 1988-04-01 5.222233353734396000 1988-07-01 2.336533791172712400 1988-10-01 5.294672405987910000 1989-01-01 4.044240960892154000 1989-04-01 3.042118853095843000 1989-07-01 2.950609114233060400 1989-10-01 0.789606460455871700 1990-01-01 4.347042212998531000 1990-04-01 1.450479203859345000 1990-07-01 0.265681934970274370 1990-10-01 -3.659685148357283400 1991-01-01 -1.876638731393853700 1991-04-01 3.106905027114948000 1991-07-01 2.016941373445036000 1991-10-01 1.390410154422738700 1992-01-01 4.760346478597199000 1992-04-01 4.314114050073670000 1992-07-01 3.935195776320199500 1992-10-01 4.146969546734169000 1993-01-01 0.669982034949612200 1993-04-01 2.319218719203064400 1993-07-01 1.905622930479467000 1993-10-01 5.404633717011364500 1994-01-01 3.861675785439899800 1994-04-01 5.386320691996360000 1994-07-01 2.330983772370842600 1994-10-01 4.554237168866138000 1995-01-01 1.419476797058649700 1995-04-01 1.189043687288204900 1995-07-01 3.388899414846946500 1995-10-01 2.708641064319295000 1996-01-01 2.983269742906458000 1996-04-01 6.616011643402686000 1996-07-01 3.574734400391577000 1996-10-01 4.131650509659579000 1997-01-01 2.573570254499913000 1997-04-01 6.604413991767188500 1997-07-01 4.963715756347398000 1997-10-01 3.401421777891045000 1998-01-01 3.993514493216565600 1998-04-01 3.685824316505659200 1998-07-01 5.007021636698994000 1998-10-01 6.384975777656621000 1999-01-01 3.739374506919546000 1999-04-01 3.323592635994998500 1999-07-01 5.270963939429407000 1999-10-01 6.509140163994687000 2000-01-01 1.446614416499159000 2000-04-01 7.220732333972534000 2000-07-01 0.407409800323676600 2000-10-01 2.382377501140098300 2001-01-01 -1.314896882843896700 2001-04-01 2.490976182098592000 2001-07-01 -1.606394025947111000 2001-10-01 1.098774406055014200 2002-01-01 3.331210042072285700 2002-04-01 2.441603496807687000 2002-07-01 1.623168229200189200 2002-10-01 0.495574310049562400 2003-01-01 2.099367806476237800 2003-04-01 3.528909688198922400 2003-07-01 6.597666088606502000 2003-10-01 4.616721675473201000 2004-01-01 2.259677515323233000 2004-04-01 3.088636833138736000 2004-07-01 3.774700529255881000 2004-10-01 4.061156953152789000 2005-01-01 4.411828095660297000 2005-04-01 1.966793920836806800 2005-07-01 3.122904534544091000 2005-10-01 2.214750114261221400 2006-01-01 5.345642108297710000 2006-04-01 1.035725769511941500 2006-07-01 0.597253355479665500 2006-10-01 3.424857048665330700 2007-01-01 1.200955878397991200 2007-04-01 2.439017309305313600 2007-07-01 2.298136853237054000 2007-10-01 2.504989684108949000 2008-01-01 -1.710994308611191200 2008-04-01 2.374934092158298400 2008-07-01 -2.106663330440028400 2008-10-01 -8.852270563345854000 2009-01-01 -4.565733126815274500 2009-04-01 -0.717281891083843000 2009-07-01 1.403880516043898300 2009-10-01 4.301103608715096000 2010-01-01 1.931967909237641800 2010-04-01 3.852888976482660000 2010-07-01 3.072407305438673600 2010-10-01 2.094988414525289500 2011-01-01 -0.951552180512749100 2011-04-01 2.697642728215044000 2011-07-01 -0.089237489508775520 2011-10-01 4.467858874917852000 2012-01-01 3.339751575462912600 2012-04-01 1.781023582166341200 2012-07-01 0.577415593105712800 2012-10-01 0.462247903248425000 2013-01-01 3.925805928268744000 2013-04-01 1.069770314863660600 2013-07-01 3.391623403237531400 2013-10-01 3.469692794536882700 2014-01-01 -1.381148491618944300 2014-04-01 5.133454887526057000 2014-07-01 4.831610306680290000 2014-10-01 2.018055105705940400 2015-01-01 3.586039419124631400 2015-04-01 2.469512874750279300 2015-07-01 1.598318793101327600 2015-10-01 0.737491467101136800 2016-01-01 2.311724151459060300 2016-04-01 1.282038907100258000 2016-07-01 2.826940774393449400 2016-10-01 2.212860460108601000 2017-01-01 1.940953664617950400 2017-04-01 2.233126308436794700 2017-07-01 3.143422606515855500 2017-10-01 4.483245054742468500 2018-01-01 3.239971128508756200 2018-04-01 2.117702348573402600 2018-07-01 2.487472983727912000 2018-10-01 0.565780716341635100 2019-01-01 2.166994084345930000 2019-04-01 3.303457581603197500 2019-07-01 4.504166948565569000 2019-10-01 2.556947275707699400 2020-01-01 -5.488267525831247000 2020-04-01 -32.880639729345520000 2020-07-01 29.892578992922836000 2020-10-01 4.118777585395605500 2021-01-01 5.109072060684383000 2021-04-01 6.033211302607810500 2021-07-01 3.245438741205930500 2021-10-01 6.729798466555081000 2022-01-01 -1.995117301987647800 2022-04-01 -0.565285233940215900 2022-07-01 2.624477668734926000 2022-10-01 2.534616417128887600 2023-01-01 2.218484088132300000 2023-04-01 2.040705680516197000 2023-07-01 4.746444577192932000 2023-10-01 3.340289501775117700 2024-01-01 1.577182217706507600