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Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP

NOTE: To improve accessibility of data for all users, this file was converted from a text format to an html table.

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP
Series ID BBKMIR
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2024-03-01
Last Updated 2024-07-01 7:31 AM CDT
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The irregular component of GDP is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 8.0128186382014860000
1960-02-01 4.7387901323471450000
1960-03-01 -1.8808285772846305000
1960-04-01 -5.4413490386257940000
1960-05-01 -2.7655183705560975000
1960-06-01 2.9654465601220450000
1960-07-01 5.7528018838757950000
1960-08-01 2.5649914408908923000
1960-09-01 -3.5378104521866107000
1960-10-01 -6.6994202232926820000
1960-11-01 -3.9167995549033128000
1960-12-01 1.7485348500545121000
1961-01-01 5.2251599725166300000
1961-02-01 4.3235703198465660000
1961-03-01 1.3166608204700374000
1961-04-01 -0.6415966305201760000
1961-05-01 -0.5508778666065217000
1961-06-01 0.5124696490478255000
1961-07-01 1.1136043940528470000
1961-08-01 0.8290360232021919000
1961-09-01 0.1224003236945745700
1961-10-01 -0.0675338418280296800
1961-11-01 0.7816671729614013000
1961-12-01 2.1453520129592630000
1962-01-01 2.6427565656460934000
1962-02-01 1.3589589884553560000
1962-03-01 -0.8121146974982899000
1962-04-01 -1.8209910101743598000
1962-05-01 -0.4331721322827770700
1962-06-01 2.1470534380095810000
1962-07-01 3.2971768547474630000
1962-08-01 1.5013982833866413000
1962-09-01 -1.7560532478668691000
1962-10-01 -3.5322764358250076000
1962-11-01 -2.2589580935044866000
1962-12-01 0.5291113024978573000
1963-01-01 1.8918693881063897000
1963-02-01 0.3107211201092641700
1963-03-01 -2.7426759854511884000
1963-04-01 -3.7168556421777055000
1963-05-01 -0.3971610225314855000
1963-06-01 5.0587147607340350000
1963-07-01 7.6201161963309520000
1963-08-01 4.2335008709172110000
1963-09-01 -2.0871799439951104000
1963-10-01 -5.4176981047082290000
1963-11-01 -2.6389896115888343000
1963-12-01 3.1373058894454315000
1964-01-01 6.2661203292734650000
1964-02-01 4.0118315985400440000
1964-03-01 -0.8765327601320444000
1964-04-01 -3.5550628314116075000
1964-05-01 -1.7494961246303422000
1964-06-01 2.2524286786317340000
1964-07-01 3.9933316895991036000
1964-08-01 1.1359839402740128000
1964-09-01 -3.9764763504880780000
1964-10-01 -6.4040608986917755000
1964-11-01 -3.3701568579645130000
1964-12-01 2.3330310904166325000
1965-01-01 5.5206830062019225000
1965-02-01 3.6156560881587630000
1965-03-01 -0.7666088348821753000
1965-04-01 -3.1132970649585410000
1965-05-01 -1.3646756394525050000
1965-06-01 2.3667522894686868000
1965-07-01 4.7168919483754800000
1965-08-01 4.3082639921053800000
1965-09-01 2.5672075272500217000
1965-10-01 1.6430770146570050000
1965-11-01 2.3469863581997887000
1965-12-01 3.8446670604524433000
1966-01-01 3.9946725269651430000
1966-02-01 1.4045319969413765000
1966-03-01 -2.5282284885360764000
1966-04-01 -4.8006161856964100000
1966-05-01 -3.6995212052299480000
1966-06-01 -0.9539391350316927000
1966-07-01 0.8886036585585397000
1966-08-01 0.9158293763290648000
1966-09-01 0.0577341391705684700
1966-10-01 -0.1135388709458439700
1966-11-01 1.1099730020447527000
1966-12-01 3.0255553970934423000
1967-01-01 3.6856714910763930000
1967-02-01 1.7691094122833786000
1967-03-01 -1.4210564843310116000
1967-04-01 -3.1501888035181910000
1967-05-01 -1.8873650126497383000
1967-06-01 0.8488095694604882000
1967-07-01 2.1139017022153683000
1967-08-01 0.3757626748905504000
1967-09-01 -2.8375075109577255000
1967-10-01 -4.2494775190753740000
1967-11-01 -1.9962102049968833000
1967-12-01 2.0450238973680760000
1968-01-01 4.7008160837510120000
1968-02-01 4.5636574034366870000
1968-03-01 3.0730416167414930000
1968-04-01 1.8520243311566047000
1968-05-01 1.1507132855458557000
1968-06-01 0.7064857879849596000
1968-07-01 -0.1435084693704363200
1968-08-01 -1.8390985778423794000
1968-09-01 -3.9734954931358530000
1968-10-01 -4.5531303330102150000
1968-11-01 -1.9125209041863460000
1968-12-01 2.3306202235066396000
1969-01-01 4.4962903935948140000
1969-02-01 2.3932831045373440000
1969-03-01 -1.8126298388585460000
1969-04-01 -4.2254577170737050000
1969-05-01 -2.9774687738030290000
1969-06-01 0.0685115653617401900
1969-07-01 1.5493033421852476000
1969-08-01 -0.1593379867482898000
1969-09-01 -3.4360409052068030000
1969-10-01 -5.0941466967410110000
1969-11-01 -3.4488515753942948000
1969-12-01 -0.1775688974235783400
1970-01-01 1.8185480948605300000
1970-02-01 1.2030089618615076000
1970-03-01 -0.7111296200680406000
1970-04-01 -1.3468371816678470000
1970-05-01 0.6666157605144111000
1970-06-01 4.0161656140433100000
1970-07-01 4.9906729851035240000
1970-08-01 1.0486748777391657000
1970-09-01 -5.3440036375217830000
1970-10-01 -8.0213808338477880000
1970-11-01 -3.0661351456864720000
1970-12-01 5.6461395985528670000
1971-01-01 10.3334692610367330000
1971-02-01 6.8246455805797060000
1971-03-01 -0.6800515097960456000
1971-04-01 -5.2443964047948500000
1971-05-01 -3.8933712781044410000
1971-06-01 0.3149874407856543000
1971-07-01 2.4287256458293650000
1971-08-01 0.3769413417912331000
1971-09-01 -3.6670116737965577000
1971-10-01 -5.9307081208818500000
1971-11-01 -4.6809521942994120000
1971-12-01 -1.7703243751125606000
1972-01-01 0.7465796865968076000
1972-02-01 2.5926974477589897000
1972-03-01 4.1676495705079970000
1972-04-01 4.6679369479450470000
1972-05-01 2.8757233591567015000
1972-06-01 -0.0681849204272726600
1972-07-01 -2.2164815045273962000
1972-08-01 -2.7088897174397170000
1972-09-01 -2.3841812745057630000
1972-10-01 -1.6720417182310752000
1972-11-01 -0.1792032186899414300
1972-12-01 1.6798516408613247000
1973-01-01 2.9716300048172320000
1973-02-01 3.1590573726680367000
1973-03-01 2.8503905633858726000
1973-04-01 1.6662547529524020000
1973-05-01 -1.4058191118965526000
1973-06-01 -5.4571908266651700000
1973-07-01 -7.3237868708235650000
1973-08-01 -4.6396245086152050000
1973-09-01 0.3130514588525147300
1973-10-01 2.8219076082196817000
1973-11-01 0.2957353727517794000
1973-12-01 -4.7174068058675870000
1974-01-01 -7.3139506782143110000
1974-02-01 -4.9673426759334120000
1974-03-01 -0.1929752768762355300
1974-04-01 2.2368424686024620000
1974-05-01 -0.1036093799368859200
1974-06-01 -4.7757157887114640000
1974-07-01 -6.8993475147476020000
1974-08-01 -3.8627644424406293000
1974-09-01 1.6775612845945853000
1974-10-01 5.2425140838329956000
1974-11-01 4.8549058854299670000
1974-12-01 2.5710026681622713000
1975-01-01 1.1921555829186452000
1975-02-01 1.5645014467112130000
1975-03-01 2.7546483585690550000
1975-04-01 3.3702342796538884000
1975-05-01 2.8984975954962340000
1975-06-01 1.9327278492048214000
1975-07-01 1.0476325995466218000
1975-08-01 0.2476448076922539700
1975-09-01 -0.5469617644696450000
1975-10-01 -0.6824350635868316000
1975-11-01 0.5928054548652765000
1975-12-01 2.5839778526584865000
1976-01-01 3.4366752943811240000
1976-02-01 1.9348662195080062000
1976-03-01 -0.7250653514370003000
1976-04-01 -2.5506972948221550000
1976-05-01 -2.6837112165745594000
1976-06-01 -1.9976228687418374000
1976-07-01 -1.5037640375050803000
1976-08-01 -1.3744304012309942000
1976-09-01 -1.4131188299683697000
1976-10-01 -1.4412876599124875000
1976-11-01 -1.4672845565668082000
1976-12-01 -1.4978859719063642000
1977-01-01 -1.3447459435486060000
1977-02-01 -0.8109012642269052000
1977-03-01 -0.0937324975475975100
1977-04-01 0.8345931313034070000
1977-05-01 2.2032453241830416000
1977-06-01 3.7923261244110535000
1977-07-01 4.0435375349523500000
1977-08-01 1.5727733247839215000
1977-09-01 -2.2087875011926880000
1977-10-01 -4.9334606887291350000
1977-11-01 -5.5805398040822105000
1977-12-01 -5.2689005380904590000
1978-01-01 -3.5823456678295380000
1978-02-01 1.0350523901620443000
1978-03-01 7.1420000354318570000
1978-04-01 10.2399726219370260000
1978-05-01 7.1294441811726540000
1978-06-01 0.9689032240979711000
1978-07-01 -2.9743600266693244000
1978-08-01 -2.4241995758642730000
1978-09-01 0.3003184101660822400
1978-10-01 1.8231472505611435000
1978-11-01 0.9750805596943882000
1978-12-01 -0.9929768087593841000
1979-01-01 -2.4448048594116270000
1979-02-01 -2.9383001806238664000
1979-03-01 -3.0088028888281050000
1979-04-01 -2.6057724973383110000
1979-05-01 -1.1447972476985897000
1979-06-01 0.8728368176644326000
1979-07-01 1.9773733512759235000
1979-08-01 1.1547415774662110000
1979-09-01 -0.6373741122465579000
1979-10-01 -1.5508116877133670000
1979-11-01 -0.6331067322797472000
1979-12-01 1.2001004481358035000
1980-01-01 2.0289746532949390000
1980-02-01 0.7812998652416010000
1980-03-01 -1.4981990149129996000
1980-04-01 -2.8985223946531042000
1980-05-01 -2.4825278442407264000
1980-06-01 -1.1595936704232597000
1980-07-01 -0.3482086756502711400
1980-08-01 -0.6183625114461940000
1980-09-01 -1.4530796709752274000
1980-10-01 -0.9697952104032912000
1980-11-01 2.2762465974670882000
1980-12-01 6.9218809827264380000
1981-01-01 8.4116549856929480000
1981-02-01 3.3938690677138106000
1981-03-01 -4.8331948077779320000
1981-04-01 -9.1224186172161250000
1981-05-01 -5.3906285519449830000
1981-06-01 2.2405028871628736000
1981-07-01 6.8873562411260990000
1981-08-01 5.5649714341641770000
1981-09-01 1.3934615109728028000
1981-10-01 -2.0560251908762806000
1981-11-01 -4.2127023674013420000
1981-12-01 -5.8203821028367700000
1982-01-01 -5.9935285835790530000
1982-02-01 -3.0846012661410946000
1982-03-01 1.3876819792188284000
1982-04-01 4.0124868175520810000
1982-05-01 2.7978904890509817000
1982-06-01 -0.3127399781954845500
1982-07-01 -2.2637110170937125000
1982-08-01 -1.8468936670792204000
1982-09-01 -0.2744363841726580000
1982-10-01 0.7661352159750873000
1982-11-01 0.7404855026286744000
1982-12-01 0.1976906594072769500
1983-01-01 0.0912261356769872300
1983-02-01 0.8632715166595188000
1983-03-01 2.0643718550885373000
1983-04-01 2.5891999960842496000
1983-05-01 1.7408796831093953000
1983-06-01 0.2233623638319363300
1983-07-01 -0.6810400375969128000
1983-08-01 -0.3490482863873663000
1983-09-01 0.5811923480344090000
1983-10-01 1.1382629365826915000
1983-11-01 0.9539072629583274000
1983-12-01 0.4142614877221510000
1984-01-01 0.2218760913676144000
1984-02-01 0.7189917581983835000
1984-03-01 1.5449008793538417000
1984-04-01 1.9733164189359735000
1984-05-01 1.6142712584639245000
1984-06-01 0.8838014803750540000
1984-07-01 0.3110429874409512000
1984-08-01 0.0253168298642303430
1984-09-01 -0.1389858175107590000
1984-10-01 -0.1211602569654070700
1984-11-01 0.3086433258116947000
1984-12-01 0.9607610812374049000
1985-01-01 1.2378759065702880000
1985-02-01 0.7100196390880026000
1985-03-01 -0.2336070079586525800
1985-04-01 -0.3748757858812956000
1985-05-01 1.1585392440411620000
1985-06-01 3.5298819718791290000
1985-07-01 4.6194340450787070000
1985-08-01 3.0728652125513816000
1985-09-01 0.2305452985323753500
1985-10-01 -1.5110779092828728000
1985-11-01 -1.0156325057953240000
1985-12-01 0.5688556126077747000
1986-01-01 1.4315142479536338000
1986-02-01 0.8460858815345629000
1986-03-01 -0.4384469495404914000
1986-04-01 -1.0801051198021858000
1986-05-01 -0.4375008008157467700
1986-06-01 0.8212836796366869000
1986-07-01 1.4179752760993665000
1986-08-01 0.6986789628627356000
1986-09-01 -0.6450019781264886000
1986-10-01 -1.5435308848798919000
1986-11-01 -1.5850494169325762000
1986-12-01 -1.2363376009564517000
1987-01-01 -0.8141737491101877000
1987-02-01 -0.1763011745051177900
1987-03-01 0.6020135837509970000
1987-04-01 0.7624955552790630000
1987-05-01 -0.4062244939395887600
1987-06-01 -2.2606047396706490000
1987-07-01 -2.8670859943965494000
1987-08-01 -0.8684242568441257000
1987-09-01 2.4326878940222270000
1987-10-01 4.0131702457672880000
1987-11-01 2.0503121840377210000
1987-12-01 -1.6585428219982510000
1988-01-01 -3.6810424083785760000
1988-02-01 -2.2661244721504870000
1988-03-01 0.8270099120719818000
1988-04-01 2.5457290186073105000
1988-05-01 1.4915619344806506000
1988-06-01 -0.9046086968539914000
1988-07-01 -2.2110413063229260000
1988-08-01 -1.3419856596298398000
1988-09-01 0.5687399621505004000
1988-10-01 1.7984960051232106000
1988-11-01 1.6978202932990358000
1988-12-01 0.9738081877799796000
1989-01-01 0.5010570804875305000
1989-02-01 0.4786914672616812000
1989-03-01 0.6476234052181661000
1989-04-01 0.9238283272700277000
1989-05-01 1.4784981060965050000
1989-06-01 2.1981056372748693000
1989-07-01 2.2272699780780500000
1989-08-01 0.7965565421755236000
1989-09-01 -1.3698560153811046000
1989-10-01 -2.4783255868453090000
1989-11-01 -1.4017771402698176000
1989-12-01 0.7512774352732965000
1990-01-01 2.0240691469819760000
1990-02-01 1.5043092702013272000
1990-03-01 0.1112711380532075000
1990-04-01 -0.8133649748623399000
1990-05-01 -0.8003048634729195000
1990-06-01 -0.3343152576347333500
1990-07-01 -0.2706783765844648000
1990-08-01 -1.0121243373415652000
1990-09-01 -2.1420776280492912000
1990-10-01 -2.6663503809618154000
1990-11-01 -1.9729727233003422000
1990-12-01 -0.6952178832582212000
1991-01-01 0.3668210772939493000
1991-02-01 1.0195177654336430000
1991-03-01 1.4863563793021437000
1991-04-01 1.5016496478528700000
1991-05-01 0.5713358768646123000
1991-06-01 -0.8253993356299936000
1991-07-01 -1.7848712564767784000
1991-08-01 -1.8590521899584331000
1991-09-01 -1.5111815822121746000
1991-10-01 -0.8264010747105206000
1991-11-01 0.5733370664215592000
1991-12-01 2.3345893458480750000
1992-01-01 3.2047358754938380000
1992-02-01 2.2463077301710770000
1992-03-01 0.3966870190582864000
1992-04-01 -0.7837473133383865000
1992-05-01 -0.6255097510158297000
1992-06-01 0.1677915055342383300
1992-07-01 0.8316330499298803000
1992-08-01 1.2836058335393143000
1992-09-01 1.6608882935145306000
1992-10-01 1.3952389740201308000
1992-11-01 -0.2388592575182943700
1992-12-01 -2.5677874036380150000
1993-01-01 -3.8190796812951495000
1993-02-01 -2.8359420277691414000
1993-03-01 -0.7465733557861026000
1993-04-01 0.4989066486042976000
1993-05-01 0.0126989261075135550
1993-06-01 -1.3267793395102838000
1993-07-01 -1.9080761829586916000
1993-08-01 -0.9402354561288270000
1993-09-01 0.7898361577265607000
1993-10-01 1.7167177200379449000
1993-11-01 1.0047441094726595000
1993-12-01 -0.5119645009667999000
1994-01-01 -1.3124501601122525000
1994-02-01 -0.6537337605099680000
1994-03-01 0.7221746786355875000
1994-04-01 1.2451620436673938000
1994-05-01 0.0295677485745321560
1994-06-01 -2.0381169114767030000
1994-07-01 -3.1424380356721486000
1994-08-01 -2.2904425605804260000
1994-09-01 -0.4857457463564967500
1994-10-01 0.4951965200291013000
1994-11-01 -0.1822143066407210800
1994-12-01 -1.6605005120166567000
1995-01-01 -2.5380470139726397000
1995-02-01 -2.2214939849050520000
1995-03-01 -1.3352190813719886000
1995-04-01 -0.5926759398291231000
1995-05-01 -0.1103808755869130800
1995-06-01 0.2561245905472289000
1995-07-01 0.4070171481656066000
1995-08-01 0.1006899054951701800
1995-09-01 -0.4299067757242180000
1995-10-01 -0.7695106274430124000
1995-11-01 -0.7291235767875507000
1995-12-01 -0.5154000288045736000
1996-01-01 -0.0469239230551739500
1996-02-01 0.9728799274010752000
1996-03-01 2.2817066485938975000
1996-04-01 2.8075210491057630000
1996-05-01 1.7018959757742362000
1996-06-01 -0.2179607843880815900
1996-07-01 -1.3054360219742922000
1996-08-01 -0.6736440915852084000
1996-09-01 0.8111397189345109000
1996-10-01 1.3641064088729784000
1996-11-01 0.0032556853985326870
1996-12-01 -2.3020406288907282000
1997-01-01 -3.2696557224296020000
1997-02-01 -1.5087237308964240000
1997-03-01 1.5831111822181390000
1997-04-01 3.4265344338903970000
1997-05-01 2.7546193296080634000
1997-06-01 0.8721649080987649000
1997-07-01 -0.5744698073609343000
1997-08-01 -1.1875305887913257000
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1997-10-01 -1.4088820697292410000
1997-11-01 -0.8687892783385823000
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1998-01-01 0.4963340246628973300
1998-02-01 0.4861487681797745000
1998-03-01 0.1979641775173572600
1998-04-01 0.1453366682889035000
1998-05-01 0.5723451595391784000
1998-06-01 1.2288712725630202000
1998-07-01 1.8254414755090034000
1998-08-01 2.3165922563172185000
1998-09-01 2.7677878349102330000
1998-10-01 2.8234209527648720000
1998-11-01 2.0491272895001886000
1998-12-01 0.8589004712150231000
1999-01-01 -0.0752497103018200800
1999-02-01 -0.4713144415837209000
1999-03-01 -0.5936452616841809000
1999-04-01 -0.5477354214477669000
1999-05-01 -0.1856292021042300300
1999-06-01 0.3058880507611815300
1999-07-01 0.9543178946904420000
1999-08-01 1.9871278602557100000
1999-09-01 3.2524897188637425000
1999-10-01 3.2284228407497664000
1999-11-01 0.4833620709519778600
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2000-04-01 6.4535784236079950000
2000-05-01 3.8466791809963900000
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2003-01-01 0.3586725894842235000
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2003-03-01 1.0191810589537627000
2003-04-01 1.4319660084849080000
2003-05-01 2.1128552474753937000
2003-06-01 2.9283716074419597000
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2009-01-01 4.9933441573907285000
2009-02-01 5.1694321915615510000
2009-03-01 4.3300161550713305000
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2009-11-01 1.7465032378815337000
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2010-01-01 -1.9076292568173185000
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2010-03-01 -0.7838749216933196000
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2010-07-01 0.2071595099866621000
2010-08-01 0.4060509611632413500
2010-09-01 0.6972381604240777000
2010-10-01 0.1960028063872442700
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2011-01-01 -6.2766117204608600000
2011-02-01 -4.0320349745643190000
2011-03-01 -0.0356404949386087340
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2011-07-01 -4.5697257462914400000
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2014-07-01 1.3177383575073498000
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2014-12-01 0.8004999522609344000
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2015-02-01 1.8140483451167686000
2015-03-01 0.7967311574560466000
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2015-05-01 -0.3780601061435037000
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2015-07-01 -0.7038128125212311000
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2016-02-01 0.9069014085762215000
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2017-11-01 -0.4163048876157745500
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2018-02-01 -1.2669927929994176000
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2019-06-01 2.5502679550816265000
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2019-08-01 2.4640650531958490000
2019-09-01 1.0295060088924515000
2019-10-01 0.4502313411852532000
2019-11-01 1.8416377385751155000
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2020-01-01 2.3679921550248210000
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2020-03-01 -25.4858596241332050000
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2020-06-01 15.8124542340147050000
2020-07-01 32.3978387531071700000
2020-08-01 23.8540662451047000000
2020-09-01 3.0906440700432530000
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2020-11-01 -9.8395244809816780000
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2021-01-01 2.6604196862584506000
2021-02-01 2.9849567845106890000
2021-03-01 1.1794851304755363000
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2022-09-01 1.8759878598508901000
2022-10-01 1.8104153944969460000
2022-11-01 1.6508948609368572000
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2023-01-01 1.2135498115611192000
2023-02-01 0.8715222657663303000
2023-03-01 0.4708926067463597400
2023-04-01 0.4515582469546647000
2023-05-01 1.2236050951286916000
2023-06-01 2.3862506920070320000
2023-07-01 3.1034360896251583000
2023-08-01 2.9143989936238350000
2023-09-01 2.2871817214403990000
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2023-12-01 0.4934806855402772000
2024-01-01 0.0582622272520770500
2024-02-01 -0.0501366453167031850
2024-03-01 0.0035866953585445577

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