Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP
Series ID BBKMIR
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2024-12-01
Last Updated 2025-03-03 7:31 AM CST
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The irregular component of GDP is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 7.5855464792510110000
1960-02-01 4.4125757177666220000
1960-03-01 -1.8771531169425506000
1960-04-01 -5.2309106419234960000
1960-05-01 -2.6265827346026014000
1960-06-01 2.9088548879618300000
1960-07-01 5.6046721157977490000
1960-08-01 2.4662185929484144000
1960-09-01 -3.5778582147039195000
1960-10-01 -6.7836244067061770000
1960-11-01 -4.0788626650329730000
1960-12-01 1.6228785101964067000
1961-01-01 5.2383242760957830000
1961-02-01 4.3702543023915960000
1961-03-01 1.1748592258445967000
1961-04-01 -1.0484878648614862000
1961-05-01 -1.0313384567747748000
1961-06-01 0.1835191724316232500
1961-07-01 0.9588093953041743000
1961-08-01 0.6698946011730914000
1961-09-01 -0.1782268722251505200
1961-10-01 -0.4424558998832464600
1961-11-01 0.5235554032417427000
1961-12-01 2.0797251394755776000
1962-01-01 2.6615408782369134000
1962-02-01 1.3045052607562864000
1962-03-01 -0.9664402327920398000
1962-04-01 -1.9889476015975673000
1962-05-01 -0.5488166685351744000
1962-06-01 2.0529343366655484000
1962-07-01 3.1519200276262485000
1962-08-01 1.2815139939051240000
1962-09-01 -1.9988872912794775000
1962-10-01 -3.7225384317288850000
1962-11-01 -2.3678047353392238000
1962-12-01 0.4421559360783748000
1963-01-01 1.7152221424371160000
1963-02-01 -0.0214052593517971360
1963-03-01 -3.1494504823339997000
1963-04-01 -4.0317718083014080000
1963-05-01 -0.5157825109946905000
1963-06-01 5.0700815299364450000
1963-07-01 7.6255974748804740000
1963-08-01 4.1587649215780180000
1963-09-01 -2.2204924701216020000
1963-10-01 -5.5689709062168230000
1963-11-01 -2.7853575579508565000
1963-12-01 3.0137184033628120000
1964-01-01 6.1869607924805020000
1964-02-01 3.9657800517317767000
1964-03-01 -0.9310558224416733000
1964-04-01 -3.6641321209656375000
1964-05-01 -1.9219342738683411000
1964-06-01 2.0332217412418680000
1964-07-01 3.7786360654149690000
1964-08-01 0.9877994164862192000
1964-09-01 -4.0358746113198410000
1964-10-01 -6.4499035182553480000
1964-11-01 -3.5153510621894735000
1964-12-01 2.0786086617211260000
1965-01-01 5.2867885416943330000
1965-02-01 3.5323293857810256000
1965-03-01 -0.7242214287321649000
1965-04-01 -3.0791060135130626000
1965-05-01 -1.4014275809922103000
1965-06-01 2.3366964436229924000
1965-07-01 4.7965781590217120000
1965-08-01 4.4831904820625560000
1965-09-01 2.7431149065268383000
1965-10-01 1.7391493474949624000
1965-11-01 2.3473153578853910000
1965-12-01 3.7613907677173340000
1966-01-01 3.8690441932443145000
1966-02-01 1.2996102071992464000
1966-03-01 -2.5881267903592353000
1966-04-01 -4.8576202757127900000
1966-05-01 -3.8043631683802720000
1966-06-01 -1.0877739624274350000
1966-07-01 0.7848140451786823000
1966-08-01 0.8649034912770428000
1966-09-01 0.0510232443677425600
1966-10-01 -0.0690413180284336500
1966-11-01 1.2328396803948598000
1966-12-01 3.2053020909144774000
1967-01-01 3.8453302106222450000
1967-02-01 1.8346151382522693000
1967-03-01 -1.4471060159944926000
1967-04-01 -3.2185507627085355000
1967-05-01 -1.9616106974164873000
1967-06-01 0.7649311815514913000
1967-07-01 1.9994071566363283000
1967-08-01 0.2140107228181100400
1967-09-01 -3.0473320764230327000
1967-10-01 -4.4794921412865150000
1967-11-01 -2.1729867981650420000
1967-12-01 2.0012505844182993000
1968-01-01 4.8040951822373570000
1968-02-01 4.7192624119964070000
1968-03-01 3.1623818799463310000
1968-04-01 1.8581904265503262000
1968-05-01 1.1644890148745708000
1968-06-01 0.7644938253102606000
1968-07-01 -0.1301605504901871800
1968-08-01 -1.9757139944667441000
1968-09-01 -4.2141147219537975000
1968-10-01 -4.7539150891948050000
1968-11-01 -1.9933757556518237000
1968-12-01 2.3202089913287254000
1969-01-01 4.4775893052572020000
1969-02-01 2.3468937361222575000
1969-03-01 -1.8665809906478397000
1969-04-01 -4.2832667944946360000
1969-05-01 -3.0553341391448130000
1969-06-01 -0.0413820577397967000
1969-07-01 1.4036866327388282000
1969-08-01 -0.3500138238340984000
1969-09-01 -3.6652804665611867000
1969-10-01 -5.3057693522862400000
1969-11-01 -3.5483836286627497000
1969-12-01 -0.1352849573343564000
1970-01-01 1.9147286404150277000
1970-02-01 1.2194122997298420000
1970-03-01 -0.7781829485554365000
1970-04-01 -1.4024126135448487000
1970-05-01 0.6522547003057781000
1970-06-01 3.9189643379208454000
1970-07-01 4.7484414404408230000
1970-08-01 0.8331462667458934000
1970-09-01 -5.2997755293629885000
1970-10-01 -7.7652462683880760000
1970-11-01 -2.9420802060931940000
1970-12-01 5.4239027407769670000
1971-01-01 9.9371173900594340000
1971-02-01 6.5883413903118650000
1971-03-01 -0.6959312515272522000
1971-04-01 -5.2682315192366280000
1971-05-01 -4.0932259045965700000
1971-06-01 0.0360119918725704200
1971-07-01 2.2845325773270218000
1971-08-01 0.4002891928932351000
1971-09-01 -3.6661814092237326000
1971-10-01 -6.1719710264806240000
1971-11-01 -5.1584338102265990000
1971-12-01 -2.2258535541006386000
1972-01-01 0.5728214747513828000
1972-02-01 2.6997175278237333000
1972-03-01 4.3215767606912480000
1972-04-01 4.6940004023044650000
1972-05-01 2.8299238924188250000
1972-06-01 -0.0554857289524510700
1972-07-01 -2.1368965706099505000
1972-08-01 -2.6762341271184678000
1972-09-01 -2.4680348660493630000
1972-10-01 -1.8644758906410450000
1972-11-01 -0.4356799425249579500
1972-12-01 1.4493103498154410000
1973-01-01 2.9022069303503355000
1973-02-01 3.3174381383883382000
1973-03-01 3.0821992809023255000
1973-04-01 1.7318878052414408000
1973-05-01 -1.5721782723575626000
1973-06-01 -5.6762438105293890000
1973-07-01 -7.4431193137192000000
1973-08-01 -4.7437455035973330000
1973-09-01 0.0446348382898291700
1973-10-01 2.3838720699050560000
1973-11-01 -0.1057015179243833600
1973-12-01 -4.9179069562125120000
1974-01-01 -7.3603995054034130000
1974-02-01 -5.0322408999061965000
1974-03-01 -0.3701799995881214000
1974-04-01 2.0131463880794147000
1974-05-01 -0.2627016421125288300
1974-06-01 -4.8504324314084375000
1974-07-01 -6.9704561124641510000
1974-08-01 -3.9695948707182890000
1974-09-01 1.6310060788650553000
1974-10-01 5.4245659208417410000
1974-11-01 5.3160234899543220000
1974-12-01 3.1594865461482873000
1975-01-01 1.6525334814158843000
1975-02-01 1.7513288525123614000
1975-03-01 2.7596806873706200000
1975-04-01 3.3639308128124340000
1975-05-01 2.9043684577317680000
1975-06-01 1.8103054057219954000
1975-07-01 0.7286775666824301000
1975-08-01 -0.1018252175627829500
1975-09-01 -0.7032538772136158000
1975-10-01 -0.6252838409391307000
1975-11-01 0.6379752464981412000
1975-12-01 2.4123590396764490000
1976-01-01 3.0963925502260228000
1976-02-01 1.6648284834688698000
1976-03-01 -0.7954907650846879000
1976-04-01 -2.5182928518499370000
1976-05-01 -2.7215401229976286000
1976-06-01 -2.1478282286667625000
1976-07-01 -1.6874832356578684000
1976-08-01 -1.5310701762186438000
1976-09-01 -1.5510801163982126000
1976-10-01 -1.5872500364861006000
1976-11-01 -1.6101466113982168000
1976-12-01 -1.6158030446951894000
1977-01-01 -1.4520856177554653000
1977-02-01 -0.9485354748523974000
1977-03-01 -0.2589552190673435000
1977-04-01 0.7013308406922564000
1977-05-01 2.1639412214982148000
1977-06-01 3.8492402996803534000
1977-07-01 4.1537868807299310000
1977-08-01 1.6545251937482512000
1977-09-01 -2.2879496184762370000
1977-10-01 -5.2148428262585890000
1977-11-01 -5.8580827555757010000
1977-12-01 -5.1995346697844300000
1978-01-01 -3.1216821081503356000
1978-02-01 1.4601327456118380000
1978-03-01 7.1155273725086210000
1978-04-01 9.8667670221528460000
1978-05-01 6.9386706622449275000
1978-06-01 1.2345896523994235000
1978-07-01 -2.5216010614385005000
1978-08-01 -2.2421108155050130000
1978-09-01 0.1053264130040135600
1978-10-01 1.5349507010602312000
1978-11-01 0.8750031953715337000
1978-12-01 -0.9330020723103759000
1979-01-01 -2.4547243951909690000
1979-02-01 -3.1300063333423570000
1979-03-01 -3.2558721963585624000
1979-04-01 -2.7355184160677090000
1979-05-01 -1.1615312627703485000
1979-06-01 0.8255535396027480000
1979-07-01 1.8141952343388674000
1979-08-01 0.9511940686710076000
1979-09-01 -0.7584708187565683000
1979-10-01 -1.5906651565141534000
1979-11-01 -0.7394194992092383000
1979-12-01 0.8951239562020159000
1980-01-01 1.6083733697622720000
1980-02-01 0.5219335839555381000
1980-03-01 -1.4120508660828661000
1980-04-01 -2.5698788373715113000
1980-05-01 -2.2209600327236805000
1980-06-01 -1.1852286656811915000
1980-07-01 -0.6970360675385007000
1980-08-01 -1.1902944445966073000
1980-09-01 -2.0518733278999988000
1980-10-01 -1.3773437768283620000
1980-11-01 2.1717250307825120000
1980-12-01 6.9914401744318660000
1981-01-01 8.4811679665531830000
1981-02-01 3.4305331726619825000
1981-03-01 -4.7829593059521756000
1981-04-01 -9.1405887528989460000
1981-05-01 -5.6295675318995570000
1981-06-01 1.8605215862018236000
1981-07-01 6.6904769439005810000
1981-08-01 5.7521277225505880000
1981-09-01 1.7340675394167024000
1981-10-01 -1.9727756611327856000
1981-11-01 -4.4960038693986590000
1981-12-01 -6.1772235494222940000
1982-01-01 -6.1377071895160850000
1982-02-01 -3.0769142003489930000
1982-03-01 1.3137153490312485000
1982-04-01 3.7744194512730670000
1982-05-01 2.5286189759065962000
1982-06-01 -0.5007351336891371000
1982-07-01 -2.3693806458337887000
1982-08-01 -1.8887654328348190000
1982-09-01 -0.2370699220132636000
1982-10-01 0.8549546256660818000
1982-11-01 0.7556769340367720000
1982-12-01 0.0533860503446982000
1983-01-01 -0.1705638274405576200
1983-02-01 0.6133504162417739000
1983-03-01 1.8997795712763017000
1983-04-01 2.4985884978206480000
1983-05-01 1.6775821906020214000
1983-06-01 0.1434908792520184500
1983-07-01 -0.7923900740027823000
1983-08-01 -0.4660663081859972000
1983-09-01 0.5074662678253770000
1983-10-01 1.1353069228548829000
1983-11-01 0.9976418826593663000
1983-12-01 0.4569656832393403400
1984-01-01 0.2374040817655907000
1984-02-01 0.7296438597925003000
1984-03-01 1.6017483228965452000
1984-04-01 2.1213609024229036000
1984-05-01 1.8512698305040510000
1984-06-01 1.1457256121442787000
1984-07-01 0.4998669200129340400
1984-08-01 0.0839580907926890100
1984-09-01 -0.1590985930223611800
1984-10-01 -0.1139360620159835200
1984-11-01 0.3937967452244226000
1984-12-01 1.0683794611343274000
1985-01-01 1.2848544745476413000
1985-02-01 0.6892689981360223000
1985-03-01 -0.2431804932092282200
1985-04-01 -0.3097850572092031300
1985-05-01 1.2695514672412016000
1985-06-01 3.6091594280673487000
1985-07-01 4.6481870483951780000
1985-08-01 3.1084330620543680000
1985-09-01 0.3071195950202320600
1985-10-01 -1.4453626572208922000
1985-11-01 -1.0391697163714304000
1985-12-01 0.4550783683276870000
1986-01-01 1.3146917331327124000
1986-02-01 0.8094802339864048000
1986-03-01 -0.4006491171357940400
1986-04-01 -1.0591725566640890000
1986-05-01 -0.5171814078429463000
1986-06-01 0.6549413976217471000
1986-07-01 1.2605871329051725000
1986-08-01 0.6161243764443132000
1986-09-01 -0.7045728798997198000
1986-10-01 -1.6905475029073505000
1986-11-01 -1.8476739854663666000
1986-12-01 -1.5076752637593789000
1987-01-01 -0.9637673009753146000
1987-02-01 -0.2012946013896832200
1987-03-01 0.5649560558787263000
1987-04-01 0.5889054606185967000
1987-05-01 -0.6891990154818507000
1987-06-01 -2.5064101478496200000
1987-07-01 -2.9760054364952704000
1987-08-01 -0.8863398542884968000
1987-09-01 2.3888665911180250000
1987-10-01 3.9176809478029666000
1987-11-01 1.9966544966219513000
1987-12-01 -1.5992917864017906000
1988-01-01 -3.5824457383262620000
1988-02-01 -2.2772321157755533000
1988-03-01 0.6706664158167347000
1988-04-01 2.3771274597195937000
1988-05-01 1.4670452389119997000
1988-06-01 -0.7844310889017955000
1988-07-01 -2.0985418544570726000
1988-08-01 -1.3674970080022708000
1988-09-01 0.4445448453129058000
1988-10-01 1.7307404412018340000
1988-11-01 1.7763170572252147000
1988-12-01 1.1258394333619237000
1989-01-01 0.5859358396130051000
1989-02-01 0.4524356717309679400
1989-03-01 0.6056142344702441000
1989-04-01 0.9833655898802139000
1989-05-01 1.6430445213838272000
1989-06-01 2.3579171218578290000
1989-07-01 2.2899199205113105000
1989-08-01 0.7821976296068150000
1989-09-01 -1.3772435028342447000
1989-10-01 -2.4680923858746950000
1989-11-01 -1.4634104064137627000
1989-12-01 0.5608181520486403000
1990-01-01 1.7783608464080160000
1990-02-01 1.3424810610051356000
1990-03-01 0.0740092746306630900
1990-04-01 -0.8187401493586263000
1990-05-01 -0.8941932427146058000
1990-06-01 -0.5483976990896671000
1990-07-01 -0.5354699102393984000
1990-08-01 -1.2396179337970710000
1990-09-01 -2.3109877451775325000
1990-10-01 -2.8048941219253254000
1990-11-01 -2.0821519815943903000
1990-12-01 -0.7259053300232479000
1991-01-01 0.4174706645683075000
1991-02-01 1.0408357302469993000
1991-03-01 1.3630385691836053000
1991-04-01 1.2346636737928773000
1991-05-01 0.2686782027762309500
1991-06-01 -1.0991500963466843000
1991-07-01 -2.0347764226335046000
1991-08-01 -2.0766103379225855000
1991-09-01 -1.6415873506849314000
1991-10-01 -0.8459490218035687000
1991-11-01 0.5951701064716929000
1991-12-01 2.3177042334747617000
1992-01-01 3.1368179093941513000
1992-02-01 2.1612885193589104000
1992-03-01 0.2887749314601509000
1992-04-01 -0.9488112679320430000
1992-05-01 -0.8219650172743700000
1992-06-01 0.0402424568910948540
1992-07-01 0.8439524386542153000
1992-08-01 1.3713333152748328000
1992-09-01 1.6730808460235553000
1992-10-01 1.2446848649462800000
1992-11-01 -0.4914267505250704000
1992-12-01 -2.7980675207727490000
1993-01-01 -3.9713274538650080000
1993-02-01 -2.9530880270103355000
1993-03-01 -0.8869414361268687000
1993-04-01 0.3428128394706054000
1993-05-01 -0.0988499128530056500
1993-06-01 -1.3526632161767271000
1993-07-01 -1.8869964811327720000
1993-08-01 -0.9641027189998181000
1993-09-01 0.6691236440486621000
1993-10-01 1.5423017994887030000
1993-11-01 0.8721868648666070000
1993-12-01 -0.5540685602227974000
1994-01-01 -1.3054531347020493000
1994-02-01 -0.6817254806895499000
1994-03-01 0.6126063630786100000
1994-04-01 1.0868900518017732000
1994-05-01 -0.1052792750030362400
1994-06-01 -2.1175529010464715000
1994-07-01 -3.2176740151602260000
1994-08-01 -2.4416602462708523000
1994-09-01 -0.7236811830187779000
1994-10-01 0.2491655882044839500
1994-11-01 -0.3544118208920661000
1994-12-01 -1.7690614927437094000
1995-01-01 -2.6478989608504597000
1995-02-01 -2.3481001823523964000
1995-03-01 -1.4216104683730737000
1995-04-01 -0.5995017951193207000
1995-05-01 -0.0878339781391155500
1995-06-01 0.2345098428947808600
1995-07-01 0.3304179071605255000
1995-08-01 0.0222858793675377450
1995-09-01 -0.4823903851205752000
1995-10-01 -0.8110489341497180000
1995-11-01 -0.7581518902424907000
1995-12-01 -0.4799432113390154000
1996-01-01 0.0724646826986485900
1996-02-01 1.0888113962066726000
1996-03-01 2.2768203550838835000
1996-04-01 2.6666666458999370000
1996-05-01 1.5407617882145912000
1996-06-01 -0.2861457834841471000
1996-07-01 -1.2728585353017379000
1996-08-01 -0.6225664895334295000
1996-09-01 0.7999946372072625000
1996-10-01 1.2793431295876188000
1996-11-01 -0.1102298848639212500
1996-12-01 -2.3973186723334643000
1997-01-01 -3.3408248748349270000
1997-02-01 -1.5628992211865607000
1997-03-01 1.5733818733418990000
1997-04-01 3.5056465146293534000
1997-05-01 2.9009710598597818000
1997-06-01 0.9777333122989250000
1997-07-01 -0.6005743881521375000
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1998-02-01 0.5440161746663651000
1998-03-01 0.2900710174288166400
1998-04-01 0.2666818489602375000
1998-05-01 0.7113955914179635000
1998-06-01 1.4025947423427056000
1998-07-01 2.0484684461832860000
1998-08-01 2.5529654833109907000
1998-09-01 2.9521413781995545000
1998-10-01 2.9222853016657560000
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2011-01-01 -6.5125100977930250000
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2024-10-01 0.6395920396267206000
2024-11-01 0.2967255114281053000
2024-12-01 -0.0222631835550211400

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