Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP
Series ID BBKMIR
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2024-12-01
Last Updated 2025-02-03 7:31 AM CST
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The irregular component of GDP is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 7.60856039583854700000
1960-02-01 4.44342733609193700000
1960-03-01 -1.85275309583925900000
1960-04-01 -5.21316755903969100000
1960-05-01 -2.61177445785585150000
1960-06-01 2.92232597352715160000
1960-07-01 5.61397461460239400000
1960-08-01 2.47012756799865800000
1960-09-01 -3.57553932177671060000
1960-10-01 -6.77529579199284800000
1960-11-01 -4.06285371917861900000
1960-12-01 1.63670768945819380000
1961-01-01 5.23801763519386100000
1961-02-01 4.35748632113190750000
1961-03-01 1.16468129909020580000
1961-04-01 -1.04586543694074830000
1961-05-01 -1.02433381820800240000
1961-06-01 0.17985516061923054000
1961-07-01 0.94324534666524800000
1961-08-01 0.65872208017141090000
1961-09-01 -0.17297483248652196000
1961-10-01 -0.42625459290499496000
1961-11-01 0.53509205354724920000
1961-12-01 2.08050762327171200000
1962-01-01 2.65952364097350600000
1962-02-01 1.31071803282101530000
1962-03-01 -0.95078618981067790000
1962-04-01 -1.97227238861926880000
1962-05-01 -0.53932904508518090000
1962-06-01 2.05640294242917000000
1962-07-01 3.15651644071003860000
1962-08-01 1.29165249836725800000
1962-09-01 -1.98627031523662400000
1962-10-01 -3.71388093364738260000
1962-11-01 -2.36592496326658840000
1962-12-01 0.44212325704607460000
1963-01-01 1.72184244334590740000
1963-02-01 -0.00438621635357535660
1963-03-01 -3.13002275180754100000
1963-04-01 -4.02192110602474500000
1963-05-01 -0.51961092023756040000
1963-06-01 5.06075537544139700000
1963-07-01 7.62082343306130800000
1963-08-01 4.16164463125519900000
1963-09-01 -2.21329074506887970000
1963-10-01 -5.56034338221315400000
1963-11-01 -2.77657641408526100000
1963-12-01 3.02116829027678470000
1964-01-01 6.19104620926330700000
1964-02-01 3.96787608051857200000
1964-03-01 -0.92684991669802970000
1964-04-01 -3.65433368891341200000
1964-05-01 -1.90753207569140700000
1964-06-01 2.04970481900614000000
1964-07-01 3.79353681938542660000
1964-08-01 0.99781761276076930000
1964-09-01 -4.03160953809535900000
1964-10-01 -6.44658388932652600000
1964-11-01 -3.50675268878933630000
1964-12-01 2.09168020855883930000
1965-01-01 5.29655412723070550000
1965-02-01 3.53440827548831570000
1965-03-01 -0.72447456140649610000
1965-04-01 -3.07217628413121000000
1965-05-01 -1.38581751776757870000
1965-06-01 2.35251579848801900000
1965-07-01 4.80370254656287500000
1965-08-01 4.48264193791474150000
1965-09-01 2.74278297390253800000
1965-10-01 1.74336176953739040000
1965-11-01 2.35224569722975870000
1965-12-01 3.76367022256184260000
1966-01-01 3.87012306648932960000
1966-02-01 1.30388334930458070000
1966-03-01 -2.57806111895789900000
1966-04-01 -4.84088062748614300000
1966-05-01 -3.78207964560558270000
1966-06-01 -1.06433500357192060000
1966-07-01 0.80531598419800930000
1966-08-01 0.88273695033691470000
1966-09-01 0.06798807658437292000
1966-10-01 -0.05342403403347653000
1966-11-01 1.24510942000034720000
1966-12-01 3.21641221855529440000
1967-01-01 3.85872808026024900000
1967-02-01 1.84991852852126070000
1967-03-01 -1.43354567134596510000
1967-04-01 -3.20881314660987770000
1967-05-01 -1.95430823806765170000
1967-06-01 0.77242181616656720000
1967-07-01 2.00757094552783680000
1967-08-01 0.22146622358962234000
1967-09-01 -3.04203846867727700000
1967-10-01 -4.47474903012255400000
1967-11-01 -2.16673056235468130000
1967-12-01 2.00628794657349330000
1968-01-01 4.80363274142913000000
1968-02-01 4.71532763110752900000
1968-03-01 3.16235153936445860000
1968-04-01 1.86447266881680360000
1968-05-01 1.17073312171959440000
1968-06-01 0.76817355134644540000
1968-07-01 -0.12410266412465051000
1968-08-01 -1.96350638737455200000
1968-09-01 -4.20233531960018800000
1968-10-01 -4.74997551395844600000
1968-11-01 -1.99406828769013500000
1968-12-01 2.32406467032756450000
1969-01-01 4.48896149642247400000
1969-02-01 2.35986049421750540000
1969-03-01 -1.85738115700749400000
1969-04-01 -4.27721122159415700000
1969-05-01 -3.04935588300597130000
1969-06-01 -0.03365934909163403000
1969-07-01 1.41345727447573900000
1969-08-01 -0.33730518946770490000
1969-09-01 -3.65014463539793430000
1969-10-01 -5.29126814453706100000
1969-11-01 -3.53925216454481200000
1969-12-01 -0.13269723810808476000
1970-01-01 1.91461858348910000000
1970-02-01 1.22141567723344920000
1970-03-01 -0.77648367308268930000
1970-04-01 -1.40661781674827880000
1970-05-01 0.64350894137255130000
1970-06-01 3.91777127796747940000
1970-07-01 4.76034564032534750000
1970-08-01 0.84476694106651030000
1970-09-01 -5.30759295826431400000
1970-10-01 -7.79165643862506300000
1970-11-01 -2.96440731916048600000
1970-12-01 5.42083969158348300000
1971-01-01 9.94323351997112900000
1971-02-01 6.58407066415125900000
1971-03-01 -0.71161082013916670000
1971-04-01 -5.27779772896491400000
1971-05-01 -4.08583423606134500000
1971-06-01 0.05070320955740700000
1971-07-01 2.28707589141798940000
1971-08-01 0.38486730187984640000
1971-09-01 -3.68513987392014200000
1971-10-01 -6.17322770045580500000
1971-11-01 -5.13692531198524900000
1971-12-01 -2.20080040138699400000
1972-01-01 0.57864008544151260000
1972-02-01 2.68507859085212750000
1972-03-01 4.30566309812667500000
1972-04-01 4.69059202841530500000
1972-05-01 2.83228292420037600000
1972-06-01 -0.05899123087587774400
1972-07-01 -2.14717406128795350000
1972-08-01 -2.68491581438413300000
1972-09-01 -2.47029171253148270000
1972-10-01 -1.85993575682261780000
1972-11-01 -0.42524136587828200000
1972-12-01 1.45947534879717010000
1973-01-01 2.90095149343236300000
1973-02-01 3.29983501526222240000
1973-03-01 3.06199443167810560000
1973-04-01 1.72815909891744530000
1973-05-01 -1.55691805341173150000
1973-06-01 -5.65882142372187700000
1973-07-01 -7.43786161787095800000
1973-08-01 -4.74635519548826600000
1973-09-01 0.04775435273434109500
1973-10-01 2.39641047966740040000
1973-11-01 -0.09407021809257819000
1973-12-01 -4.91742273897027400000
1974-01-01 -7.36759874770566800000
1974-02-01 -5.03384660841481500000
1974-03-01 -0.35883901122883670000
1974-04-01 2.03096737125203900000
1974-05-01 -0.24981367108969998000
1974-06-01 -4.84537491309800000000
1974-07-01 -6.96445275849391200000
1974-08-01 -3.95499362038609200000
1974-09-01 1.64820082939843740000
1974-10-01 5.42846549038879600000
1974-11-01 5.29920021807978350000
1974-12-01 3.13336136318097000000
1975-01-01 1.63521136132426030000
1975-02-01 1.74774564056193900000
1975-03-01 2.75867959324118850000
1975-04-01 3.35193135445507330000
1975-05-01 2.88051588991042930000
1975-06-01 1.78668012914927980000
1975-07-01 0.71607989505736610000
1975-08-01 -0.10653062611880017000
1975-09-01 -0.71342502645268780000
1975-10-01 -0.64670890710954840000
1975-11-01 0.61580346990312710000
1975-12-01 2.40256318259206170000
1976-01-01 3.09904642434450260000
1976-02-01 1.66802182670685160000
1976-03-01 -0.79874234761057830000
1976-04-01 -2.52349515719676200000
1976-05-01 -2.72124441537107130000
1976-06-01 -2.14176606012160330000
1976-07-01 -1.68025500132310810000
1976-08-01 -1.52416248454957360000
1976-09-01 -1.54243308493412280000
1976-10-01 -1.57785656925181650000
1976-11-01 -1.60664353152719700000
1976-12-01 -1.62238497911407790000
1977-01-01 -1.46398836682670770000
1977-02-01 -0.95596300220686800000
1977-03-01 -0.25953804051884216000
1977-04-01 0.70281818571796780000
1977-05-01 2.16389383451769660000
1977-06-01 3.84896765378236740000
1977-07-01 4.15334768942128000000
1977-08-01 1.65215421023487030000
1977-09-01 -2.28581346818936250000
1977-10-01 -5.19913256499440650000
1977-11-01 -5.83408738071363300000
1977-12-01 -5.19035878890714200000
1978-01-01 -3.13855697921081860000
1978-02-01 1.43841016583648760000
1978-03-01 7.11706313870882100000
1978-04-01 9.88945644229724000000
1978-05-01 6.95096978273801500000
1978-06-01 1.21966344245185640000
1978-07-01 -2.54666483274955620000
1978-08-01 -2.24977378673322730000
1978-09-01 0.11898609369548746000
1978-10-01 1.55073983792338920000
1978-11-01 0.87789898466878610000
1978-12-01 -0.93699875936324760000
1979-01-01 -2.45073925727470380000
1979-02-01 -3.11648569035121040000
1979-03-01 -3.24679951162149100000
1979-04-01 -2.74164050591412600000
1979-05-01 -1.17573837113785700000
1979-06-01 0.81819531309957780000
1979-07-01 1.81921561592285740000
1979-08-01 0.95978264747877140000
1979-09-01 -0.75737987143786540000
1979-10-01 -1.59833514679620150000
1979-11-01 -0.74713649834908480000
1979-12-01 0.89629848053780750000
1980-01-01 1.61787743651433340000
1980-02-01 0.53018344830415910000
1980-03-01 -1.41372752572519530000
1980-04-01 -2.58213679593427700000
1980-05-01 -2.23676010101579250000
1980-06-01 -1.19507304669673960000
1980-07-01 -0.69441703549510000000
1980-08-01 -1.17738387550222970000
1980-09-01 -2.04289792431370240000
1980-10-01 -1.38559633144020730000
1980-11-01 2.14878147918277750000
1980-12-01 6.97136258484240750000
1981-01-01 8.47404341338046800000
1981-02-01 3.42840270284543600000
1981-03-01 -4.78952827392559900000
1981-04-01 -9.14408577398787700000
1981-05-01 -5.61583754083320800000
1981-06-01 1.88503355851856700000
1981-07-01 6.70018998326045000000
1981-08-01 5.73469094637398400000
1981-09-01 1.71186043464777040000
1981-10-01 -1.96848896862517030000
1981-11-01 -4.46434907029303800000
1981-12-01 -6.14760365779174100000
1982-01-01 -6.13369149751758100000
1982-02-01 -3.09112769100724050000
1982-03-01 1.30225134792356330000
1982-04-01 3.77432086023829800000
1982-05-01 2.53185773846548570000
1982-06-01 -0.50201531376948580000
1982-07-01 -2.37434113387012860000
1982-08-01 -1.89413721596784220000
1982-09-01 -0.24336889810290063000
1982-10-01 0.84594737309913980000
1982-11-01 0.74621790744812320000
1982-12-01 0.04664687757640342000
1983-01-01 -0.17469823975489426000
1983-02-01 0.60785098489098630000
1983-03-01 1.89012282588163630000
1983-04-01 2.48582164480185150000
1983-05-01 1.66592162272320430000
1983-06-01 0.13689085719520460000
1983-07-01 -0.79275163869645350000
1983-08-01 -0.46285766448173490000
1983-09-01 0.50968332169941260000
1983-10-01 1.13399180442100730000
1983-11-01 0.99480295482716980000
1983-12-01 0.45679425784454590000
1984-01-01 0.24322458412479528000
1984-02-01 0.74147996460538120000
1984-03-01 1.61605182157964360000
1984-04-01 2.13231068285351540000
1984-05-01 1.85529325335821160000
1984-06-01 1.14656349244882600000
1984-07-01 0.50508372173037950000
1984-08-01 0.09658893383984407000
1984-09-01 -0.14438474742367150000
1984-10-01 -0.10530976798795708000
1984-11-01 0.39380681831167560000
1984-12-01 1.06528955638456900000
1985-01-01 1.28571092345480450000
1985-02-01 0.69484945606036810000
1985-03-01 -0.23939994099836812000
1985-04-01 -0.31272064244142230000
1985-05-01 1.26310229929057850000
1985-06-01 3.60608400524229870000
1985-07-01 4.64931680067806200000
1985-08-01 3.10754554201823650000
1985-09-01 0.30081295148620835000
1985-10-01 -1.45206599994619500000
1985-11-01 -1.03870336119545240000
1985-12-01 0.46313506708244880000
1986-01-01 1.32318652837208360000
1986-02-01 0.81199332333684720000
1986-03-01 -0.40340671969516284000
1986-04-01 -1.06116906472439800000
1986-05-01 -0.51449957573968300000
1986-06-01 0.65979740410435360000
1986-07-01 1.26140860324597080000
1986-08-01 0.61067504759115370000
1986-09-01 -0.71049249562297460000
1986-10-01 -1.68913411161644960000
1986-11-01 -1.83927204580700290000
1986-12-01 -1.50255837494455440000
1987-01-01 -0.97060118948873560000
1987-02-01 -0.21563298924613380000
1987-03-01 0.55700471473693100000
1987-04-01 0.59614297447853460000
1987-05-01 -0.67271222271559690000
1987-06-01 -2.49499720144851600000
1987-07-01 -2.97691034689226100000
1987-08-01 -0.89297812634964050000
1987-09-01 2.38782242658895560000
1987-10-01 3.92478433090867630000
1987-11-01 2.00460857369525460000
1987-12-01 -1.59619966244316510000
1988-01-01 -3.58138055455392200000
1988-02-01 -2.27256080557243050000
1988-03-01 0.67847991030058550000
1988-04-01 2.38137642121061170000
1988-05-01 1.46387642121276020000
1988-06-01 -0.79046786271932290000
1988-07-01 -2.09878596703173400000
1988-08-01 -1.35954768189844270000
1988-09-01 0.45315415578753730000
1988-10-01 1.73048191692069890000
1988-11-01 1.76688295410781440000
1988-12-01 1.11693373103836600000
1989-01-01 0.58735855937168420000
1989-02-01 0.46366003044790670000
1989-03-01 0.61651373165306310000
1989-04-01 0.98467572757394060000
1989-05-01 1.63576985017425000000
1989-06-01 2.35196976295504620000
1989-07-01 2.29215971073199750000
1989-08-01 0.78900693310451580000
1989-09-01 -1.37381981524936950000
1989-10-01 -2.47013706906667200000
1989-11-01 -1.46600679093304000000
1989-12-01 0.56097704902500440000
1990-01-01 1.77901699583316080000
1990-02-01 1.34041890886224930000
1990-03-01 0.07022939799523090000
1990-04-01 -0.82028780281374590000
1990-05-01 -0.89174073012031620000
1990-06-01 -0.54356646370230270000
1990-07-01 -0.53269787791129130000
1990-08-01 -1.24310339993544200000
1990-09-01 -2.32084551252184350000
1990-10-01 -2.81426830667886000000
1990-11-01 -2.08205617430382500000
1990-12-01 -0.71631200528121160000
1991-01-01 0.42601283919313454000
1991-02-01 1.03711390119384260000
1991-03-01 1.34696141683849760000
1991-04-01 1.21554235481307420000
1991-05-01 0.25604981167082080000
1991-06-01 -1.10164737564275270000
1991-07-01 -2.03073447630055200000
1991-08-01 -2.07498847209233200000
1991-09-01 -1.65134708733089530000
1991-10-01 -0.86622677943944760000
1991-11-01 0.57685546319958570000
1991-12-01 2.31186144333439200000
1992-01-01 3.14036777994143800000
1992-02-01 2.16189459371078650000
1992-03-01 0.28182838335239650000
1992-04-01 -0.95710041028620850000
1992-05-01 -0.82616101956142310000
1992-06-01 0.03567546932412641000
1992-07-01 0.83182735136430450000
1992-08-01 1.35424224154922660000
1992-09-01 1.66234277114969900000
1992-10-01 1.24714020006333600000
1992-11-01 -0.48199358962827954000
1992-12-01 -2.79268058787251360000
1993-01-01 -3.97285676255210100000
1993-02-01 -2.95424177043106000000
1993-03-01 -0.88116824853652920000
1993-04-01 0.35269609129915370000
1993-05-01 -0.09401418741052694000
1993-06-01 -1.35824991036853300000
1993-07-01 -1.89938039931497400000
1993-08-01 -0.97489448646530930000
1993-09-01 0.66472544552979430000
1993-10-01 1.54273786624305640000
1993-11-01 0.87334588408224820000
1993-12-01 -0.55454106297596580000
1994-01-01 -1.30763698317924230000
1994-02-01 -0.68541684068579940000
1994-03-01 0.60817210773002620000
1994-04-01 1.08239831800244480000
1994-05-01 -0.10924350973249251000
1994-06-01 -2.12056184129897040000
1994-07-01 -3.21815312392036960000
1994-08-01 -2.43821336906853950000
1994-09-01 -0.71794531212673920000
1994-10-01 0.25326158184639364000
1994-11-01 -0.35352262791910244000
1994-12-01 -1.76802277850982680000
1995-01-01 -2.64238218724083040000
1995-02-01 -2.33890144929403080000
1995-03-01 -1.41446072318334600000
1995-04-01 -0.59759780055105220000
1995-05-01 -0.08686386481594102000
1995-06-01 0.24068464653949180000
1995-07-01 0.33955394181294374000
1995-08-01 0.02361631851939952800
1995-09-01 -0.49421098757948645000
1995-10-01 -0.82777327227176860000
1995-11-01 -0.76573946617044330000
1995-12-01 -0.47582216572394276000
1996-01-01 0.07855350426368436000
1996-02-01 1.08765026360526760000
1996-03-01 2.27013411000018900000
1996-04-01 2.66180670596066600000
1996-05-01 1.54045324341218830000
1996-06-01 -0.28527635737421460000
1996-07-01 -1.27473847086539060000
1996-08-01 -0.62701502278496260000
1996-09-01 0.79651297563675250000
1996-10-01 1.27930067120204800000
1996-11-01 -0.10765848533435142000
1996-12-01 -2.39477475740411450000
1997-01-01 -3.33846152900238820000
1997-02-01 -1.55920903334343450000
1997-03-01 1.57649081292881530000
1997-04-01 3.50343815561778940000
1997-05-01 2.89353508210407240000
1997-06-01 0.97371379456946030000
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