Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Real Gross Domestic Product

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Real Gross Domestic Product
Series ID BBKMGDP
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2024-09-01
Last Updated 2024-11-04 7:31 AM CST
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The BBK Monthly GDP Growth is indexed to the quarterly estimates of real GDP growth from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and consists of three components: cycle, trend, and irregular components.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 15.736726224701432000
1960-02-01 5.944250749526062000
1960-03-01 -4.395573344583532000
1960-04-01 -3.817574111293550000
1960-05-01 -3.394048128567371600
1960-06-01 1.587709615872762000
1960-07-01 5.580614379511948000
1960-08-01 2.591135384276243000
1960-09-01 -4.048326309261978000
1960-10-01 -7.463317256696608000
1960-11-01 -7.918629249096036000
1960-12-01 -2.751448974168419600
1961-01-01 6.138558160201001000
1961-02-01 6.187108806712738000
1961-03-01 6.824718687588590000
1961-04-01 6.246983863845652000
1961-05-01 6.859750768535100500
1961-06-01 8.294494454040237000
1961-07-01 7.718569067008584000
1961-08-01 8.611199462271582000
1961-09-01 4.719891472812365000
1961-10-01 8.439239419032690000
1961-11-01 9.128821610817774000
1961-12-01 8.273029897432446000
1962-01-01 5.135740081820707000
1962-02-01 9.082722987661715000
1962-03-01 4.342637904500080000
1962-04-01 2.098323351133330000
1962-05-01 2.345369459252061000
1962-06-01 3.669493572475624400
1962-07-01 7.405031140306794000
1962-08-01 4.696737465901169000
1962-09-01 2.770579712814864000
1962-10-01 -1.413366697758184500
1962-11-01 1.517913561136757300
1962-12-01 2.763218967801002000
1963-01-01 5.310164232008089000
1963-02-01 6.882633101931869000
1963-03-01 2.398288499885659500
1963-04-01 2.780439972555579000
1963-05-01 5.239523140873451000
1963-06-01 9.681156755736218000
1963-07-01 11.628676871385561000
1963-08-01 7.949508342140899000
1963-09-01 2.938024449501732700
1963-10-01 0.172511177728559950
1963-11-01 0.815407498777830600
1963-12-01 7.479526863246575000
1964-01-01 11.717821869442343000
1964-02-01 10.280367741084710000
1964-03-01 3.718392495751779800
1964-04-01 2.778663376061089000
1964-05-01 3.472123311499234000
1964-06-01 5.963092746747350000
1964-07-01 10.065366672910484000
1964-08-01 5.000272528832909000
1964-09-01 0.201570391406185050
1964-10-01 -5.231257968863079000
1964-11-01 5.551191778878939000
1964-12-01 10.278063292299436000
1965-01-01 11.087538236349811000
1965-02-01 9.687952210227007000
1965-03-01 7.363289128218022000
1965-04-01 1.911301439763480000
1965-05-01 3.886683133876208500
1965-06-01 7.266905224242482000
1965-07-01 11.640866236003987000
1965-08-01 9.122538729605573000
1965-09-01 7.567785441643608000
1965-10-01 9.128110765023465000
1965-11-01 9.433537102474306000
1965-12-01 11.544195272027924000
1966-01-01 10.683100748990520000
1966-02-01 8.434803300656338000
1966-03-01 5.104384087839172000
1966-04-01 -1.889971470250887200
1966-05-01 -1.712027842535048800
1966-06-01 2.678387464361812400
1966-07-01 4.398116724319602000
1966-08-01 4.611178077659654000
1966-09-01 4.365622842962379000
1966-10-01 2.786166534689393000
1966-11-01 1.642855914729558500
1966-12-01 4.365219408660881000
1967-01-01 6.283972676311475000
1967-02-01 1.208097153994135600
1967-03-01 0.135078400767525420
1967-04-01 -0.802468568787334300
1967-05-01 -0.450622621050521300
1967-06-01 4.047236834734885500
1967-07-01 4.154322920628964000
1967-08-01 6.489043931047693000
1967-09-01 0.809978515120862000
1967-10-01 -1.019885890997254600
1967-11-01 6.392684094251849000
1967-12-01 9.213077237152127000
1968-01-01 7.180972949988332000
1968-02-01 9.036175871286066000
1968-03-01 8.257868397147712000
1968-04-01 5.241639018551640000
1968-05-01 6.730233805091279000
1968-06-01 4.842869580718164000
1968-07-01 3.582885668870704300
1968-08-01 -0.004646874519436128
1968-09-01 0.671495725348517000
1968-10-01 0.279865350406933700
1968-11-01 3.454479337032677000
1968-12-01 4.988483850917936000
1969-01-01 8.674573881908730000
1969-02-01 6.740387551184746000
1969-03-01 2.957910117150840000
1969-04-01 -0.946345380105092700
1969-05-01 -0.925896145574510900
1969-06-01 2.919805445307882800
1969-07-01 4.324891846632640500
1969-08-01 3.300007542797945000
1969-09-01 -0.791191670282606700
1969-10-01 -3.175054599145111600
1969-11-01 -4.875708808405637000
1969-12-01 -0.029772905033047525
1970-01-01 -0.847766002694840400
1970-02-01 1.723028437947405200
1970-03-01 -1.328839164259500500
1970-04-01 -1.537986759367767000
1970-05-01 2.430729014896723800
1970-06-01 5.777218874938704000
1970-07-01 7.441712425739283000
1970-08-01 1.327467867986342000
1970-09-01 -5.953278824307989000
1970-10-01 -11.466352897098691000
1970-11-01 -4.161809137889356000
1970-12-01 14.520519403889114000
1971-01-01 15.947973947315909000
1971-02-01 10.445798928253215000
1971-03-01 2.830660109375801000
1971-04-01 -0.777644537130004900
1971-05-01 0.449616232002886030
1971-06-01 4.783058500332086000
1971-07-01 3.642458664991045000
1971-08-01 3.147979781573011500
1971-09-01 2.239223875308817400
1971-10-01 -2.021863623384322600
1971-11-01 0.827831428985168500
1971-12-01 5.189618824598027000
1972-01-01 8.868052267362910000
1972-02-01 8.284548659703190000
1972-03-01 11.148735335449630000
1972-04-01 10.439237546942081000
1972-05-01 7.254219861497721000
1972-06-01 4.423093510802403000
1972-07-01 0.906000337292626900
1972-08-01 5.069535004081555000
1972-09-01 4.880046816886162000
1972-10-01 6.412960445855231000
1972-11-01 8.021237841660312000
1972-12-01 9.628939498602612000
1973-01-01 10.647323816373788000
1973-02-01 10.733457878299916000
1973-03-01 7.311231574529233000
1973-04-01 3.910835076461211000
1973-05-01 2.158612563613002200
1973-06-01 -2.400098661785462700
1973-07-01 -4.216035966853319000
1973-08-01 -3.643668889544080000
1973-09-01 3.599840269854859700
1973-10-01 8.429226698619969000
1973-11-01 4.939904510516193000
1973-12-01 -4.729913545674361500
1974-01-01 -6.639467726475675000
1974-02-01 -3.993594249341898000
1974-03-01 1.385264474316454400
1974-04-01 2.724822329418099500
1974-05-01 2.887425716666958000
1974-06-01 -4.175250255399704000
1974-07-01 -6.291754378733153000
1974-08-01 -4.963573669533502000
1974-09-01 0.057859691044312545
1974-10-01 2.205475147095055000
1974-11-01 -3.557126065325881000
1974-12-01 -8.655743433310160000
1975-01-01 -3.965089203846187000
1975-02-01 -4.481136077402161000
1975-03-01 -2.420385922309282700
1975-04-01 5.663021872204062000
1975-05-01 5.803781957979645000
1975-06-01 6.378164482510771000
1975-07-01 7.842136167946887000
1975-08-01 6.652405749179067000
1975-09-01 5.711285314049860000
1975-10-01 3.884450276154838300
1975-11-01 4.472009415757132000
1975-12-01 9.497139101390296000
1976-01-01 12.006275020190070000
1976-02-01 8.375969778684553000
1976-03-01 3.835963628608001700
1976-04-01 1.788546550276922000
1976-05-01 1.395422671550292400
1976-06-01 2.114510009200087000
1976-07-01 2.536611177686785500
1976-08-01 2.109906195592380000
1976-09-01 2.215781610693927700
1976-10-01 1.047456420220773700
1976-11-01 5.150478262906025500
1976-12-01 5.945420122292630000
1977-01-01 0.768172736423674800
1977-02-01 7.610933950156230000
1977-03-01 7.870897934048462000
1977-04-01 6.969176044562914000
1977-05-01 7.756973539423540000
1977-06-01 9.484959524903374000
1977-07-01 8.269059276939714000
1977-08-01 5.693118733721239000
1977-09-01 1.419776848052492800
1977-10-01 -1.230996399198130800
1977-11-01 -1.693938271376743500
1977-12-01 -1.398666628512360000
1978-01-01 -5.792821497840658500
1978-02-01 8.203865332932821000
1978-03-01 16.974884616832670000
1978-04-01 20.755616987069853000
1978-05-01 12.544770347088410000
1978-06-01 6.969161762362734000
1978-07-01 -0.042606572186700830
1978-08-01 2.668794727405052000
1978-09-01 4.335853884864593000
1978-10-01 7.171039892275822000
1978-11-01 6.165753955866423000
1978-12-01 2.913553462103959400
1979-01-01 -2.540435579686163500
1979-02-01 -0.321511187448154430
1979-03-01 2.692708140191376000
1979-04-01 -4.824850659679432500
1979-05-01 5.083038200028110000
1979-06-01 3.121631584832127400
1979-07-01 3.461588946261213000
1979-08-01 2.053602283285344700
1979-09-01 0.810385496624263200
1979-10-01 0.758371755233710600
1979-11-01 0.244353683541073790
1979-12-01 2.525608760159466000
1980-01-01 4.361780387003627000
1980-02-01 0.013919441437285407
1980-03-01 -7.063662356856825000
1980-04-01 -11.708932026752027000
1980-05-01 -10.759309135451420000
1980-06-01 -4.207245730050016000
1980-07-01 0.400535011160500170
1980-08-01 3.392422208632509300
1980-09-01 6.878973230080369000
1980-10-01 7.102197285802519000
1980-11-01 8.393809674178097000
1980-12-01 11.307179537136456000
1981-01-01 11.047389420142533000
1981-02-01 4.345871090390258000
1981-03-01 -3.006999311846901600
1981-04-01 -6.844459034262775000
1981-05-01 -4.085226288121792000
1981-06-01 3.582623015830544000
1981-07-01 9.275210203055716000
1981-08-01 6.225015293285549000
1981-09-01 -0.482207463104984400
1981-10-01 -5.725374198227727000
1981-11-01 -8.342784895856173000
1981-12-01 -10.821707865846221000
1982-01-01 -11.009124795731225000
1982-02-01 2.826400771374298200
1982-03-01 0.959685122335113500
1982-04-01 2.343260140676715500
1982-05-01 2.988646045753031000
1982-06-01 -1.358408549566037800
1982-07-01 -2.242727707476998200
1982-08-01 -3.684258903430860600
1982-09-01 0.044762469518858870
1982-10-01 -0.503941635046103000
1982-11-01 2.045530152201847000
1982-12-01 2.445175331816211300
1983-01-01 7.978179549000266500
1983-02-01 3.523289554832284200
1983-03-01 9.238512122603321000
1983-04-01 9.958914332314360000
1983-05-01 9.860194148157479000
1983-06-01 9.407535824048669000
1983-07-01 6.980042447652338000
1983-08-01 6.049224634015522500
1983-09-01 9.496339039763818000
1983-10-01 8.685944437884490000
1983-11-01 7.789492303893750000
1983-12-01 7.675385537865877000
1984-01-01 8.697761898560358000
1984-02-01 7.237565195185120000
1984-03-01 5.960990922452559500
1984-04-01 7.426638429513443000
1984-05-01 7.270792273466109000
1984-06-01 5.721422955554164000
1984-07-01 3.073893491447953000
1984-08-01 2.489639824556707700
1984-09-01 1.625608941888770500
1984-10-01 3.264926955081243000
1984-11-01 4.983284917948505000
1984-12-01 3.910181328417405400
1985-01-01 3.533814710105351400
1985-02-01 3.677727687756524000
1985-03-01 3.945779973460546300
1985-04-01 1.928347793978210500
1985-05-01 4.801191634082425000
1985-06-01 4.615698845291251000
1985-07-01 6.924915354417413000
1985-08-01 7.951932969622975000
1985-09-01 3.841045763571218000
1985-10-01 0.315381038829913400
1985-11-01 2.806147144363934300
1985-12-01 4.486060415003148000
1986-01-01 6.481973677840282000
1986-02-01 1.016470867594485600
1986-03-01 0.185721415833842050
1986-04-01 2.836325686829110000
1986-05-01 1.652166600939396300
1986-06-01 2.974334681881609000
1986-07-01 4.928297639200132000
1986-08-01 3.827723987129692400
1986-09-01 4.244602448303429500
1986-10-01 0.097862568456688950
1986-11-01 1.144563399990203000
1986-12-01 4.362126405911406000
1987-01-01 -0.879262331622216600
1987-02-01 7.654279341012613500
1987-03-01 4.078651829026772000
1987-04-01 4.363014643750149000
1987-05-01 3.685154925735875300
1987-06-01 2.339924930113020700
1987-07-01 2.772750004765220500
1987-08-01 3.357863968951899000
1987-09-01 7.657975179518615500
1987-10-01 9.397856418351406000
1987-11-01 5.895274896417671000
1987-12-01 2.624949842142617400
1988-01-01 -1.308640519347976600
1988-02-01 2.786237969509834000
1988-03-01 5.779710216457373000
1988-04-01 6.492914589939859500
1988-05-01 4.836539528129261000
1988-06-01 3.502618955106878500
1988-07-01 0.493005611994766100
1988-08-01 1.894969253266220100
1988-09-01 3.918071339694652000
1988-10-01 6.404618493831391000
1988-11-01 6.052038546583809000
1988-12-01 6.603007146573866000
1989-01-01 4.214968081247371000
1989-02-01 0.894519370981730500
1989-03-01 2.706172822592257400
1989-04-01 4.237457086476319500
1989-05-01 2.451703412772898300
1989-06-01 3.456426576721581600
1989-07-01 2.076070743462294500
1989-08-01 5.545532721316934000
1989-09-01 -0.128352211139270100
1989-10-01 -1.604480904941346400
1989-11-01 1.528320937009710800
1989-12-01 3.574430685869066000
1990-01-01 5.219967205535669000
1990-02-01 5.719581813896987000
1990-03-01 3.347132363837948000
1990-04-01 -1.142488103789340000
1990-05-01 1.136252406199859600
1990-06-01 1.795425792129522500
1990-07-01 0.033347388250604570
1990-08-01 0.337791513530338400
1990-09-01 -3.111591767538931700
1990-10-01 -4.249534232037564000
1990-11-01 -5.660999437901451000
1990-12-01 -2.981172741752436300
1991-01-01 -2.201231282759682300
1991-02-01 0.182072835526537520
1991-03-01 0.973144516087610200
1991-04-01 4.978304046201098000
1991-05-01 4.256302297890632000
1991-06-01 2.386266641948217000
1991-07-01 2.048223875919864800
1991-08-01 0.501318539889038700
1991-09-01 1.976328071680579800
1991-10-01 0.786636399808616100
1991-11-01 1.762003293865539200
1991-12-01 2.175800919397519600
1992-01-01 6.224191285549899500
1992-02-01 6.234407699932657000
1992-03-01 5.588123918199196000
1992-04-01 4.036452791852405000
1992-05-01 2.784095769432489000
1992-06-01 3.738820999909778000
1992-07-01 4.989260803513154500
1992-08-01 2.410556826751524300
1992-09-01 5.366128153587230000
1992-10-01 5.305978441730071000
1992-11-01 3.183868987412753000
1992-12-01 1.894239486665817900
1993-01-01 -0.426191134341807200
1993-02-01 -0.197849331732299570
1993-03-01 0.731762420292144900
1993-04-01 4.166067376062042000
1993-05-01 2.829845895699978000
1993-06-01 1.449399044389510000
1993-07-01 0.834726094869916700
1993-08-01 1.763544315425109100
1993-09-01 5.390695474376237000
1993-10-01 6.819185572267383000
1993-11-01 5.526382720752196500
1993-12-01 4.586446030618148000
1994-01-01 1.939458399128994900
1994-02-01 3.157393424120509000
1994-03-01 7.922645241342600000
1994-04-01 5.770730364614858000
1994-05-01 4.640100801036223000
1994-06-01 2.881809625244515300
1994-07-01 0.276295451765156600
1994-08-01 3.118528755899796500
1994-09-01 3.509190032717260300
1994-10-01 5.550956246084157000
1994-11-01 5.148236131299109000
1994-12-01 3.901884697610219700
1995-01-01 0.226575820420380500
1995-02-01 -0.690805094349070000
1995-03-01 0.525168374445290600
1995-04-01 0.451291160441777530
1995-05-01 2.673446314633278300
1995-06-01 3.641095420460441500
1995-07-01 1.985819363763501000
1995-08-01 5.435159003308288000
1995-09-01 3.716681480161271000
1995-10-01 1.140043730693157500
1995-11-01 2.557340460007867700
1995-12-01 2.974435503147609000
1996-01-01 -0.197443298799653280
1996-02-01 6.195275586502788000
1996-03-01 6.544994943248417000
1996-04-01 7.474010762310763000
1996-05-01 6.863564566949623000
1996-06-01 4.109677896793004000
1996-07-01 1.817617512068240300
1996-08-01 3.416168707028554700
1996-09-01 4.804499292726729000
1996-10-01 4.755550947198331000
1996-11-01 4.591378324637373000
1996-12-01 0.710277803584454600
1997-01-01 0.284662232787779250
1997-02-01 4.986687417720908000
1997-03-01 6.322836824887784000
1997-04-01 7.677815235719788000
1997-05-01 6.596758541075028000
1997-06-01 5.580402069098788000
1997-07-01 5.322193384951312000
1997-08-01 3.662568956111623000
1997-09-01 3.624161060776790000
1997-10-01 2.909689396552644000
1997-11-01 3.699600293217117000
1997-12-01 3.573636147262035000
1998-01-01 4.209269468237968000
1998-02-01 4.593407847800757000
1998-03-01 3.280133750892480400
1998-04-01 3.434017122877945000
1998-05-01 4.344182654008677000
1998-06-01 3.028326822314018000
1998-07-01 4.006611843096226000
1998-08-01 8.000555472668651000
1998-09-01 6.641411957028244000
1998-10-01 7.246160898008648000
1998-11-01 5.076341120399409000
1998-12-01 4.290237677359676000
1999-01-01 3.106074873687337000
1999-02-01 4.151535734119736500
1999-03-01 2.376257997855662000
1999-04-01 2.807535192373001000
1999-05-01 4.347242601735461000
1999-06-01 3.891191213533996300
1999-07-01 5.270399277550230000
1999-08-01 6.338505749958297000
1999-09-01 6.820841093493922000
1999-10-01 9.018208480537500000
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1999-12-01 1.348514553576627000
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2000-02-01 0.495895997582761700
2000-03-01 8.742041902930499000
2000-04-01 10.796120104261025000
2000-05-01 6.240942011117164500
2000-06-01 2.136366867291644500
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2000-09-01 4.485975854794288500
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2002-02-01 3.586532405271808600
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2004-07-01 4.528225180191217400
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2006-01-01 7.266760381978792000
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2010-01-01 1.073636917005896100
2010-02-01 0.953845038532931800
2010-03-01 4.244024114677371000
2010-04-01 4.743939327458086600
2010-05-01 3.972759356246883500
2010-06-01 3.056770825588229500
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2011-03-01 4.568354982385484000
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2011-05-01 2.411567346455987700
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2012-02-01 2.299782699894618700
2012-03-01 1.661885500709675100
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2012-07-01 0.701657128005551500
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2014-07-01 5.503245279339202000
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2015-02-01 3.383985867502902000
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2015-06-01 1.713063118524807000
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2015-08-01 0.993107677715985700
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2016-02-01 2.495586684036323400
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2016-04-01 0.852633070194870800
2016-05-01 0.898866606709687800
2016-06-01 3.243830589421960000
2016-07-01 3.430392450688189300
2016-08-01 2.663998889514435300
2016-09-01 2.436764052893990700
2016-10-01 2.072126178430415000
2016-11-01 1.749675626197865000
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2017-02-01 1.399548981947906000
2017-03-01 1.512342392449630400
2017-04-01 2.598714991571768000
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2017-06-01 3.345093016969952000
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2017-10-01 5.179404973346002000
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2017-12-01 3.832510334108127000
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2018-02-01 3.773477037169508000
2018-03-01 1.701315092925487400
2018-04-01 1.784286035864923500
2018-05-01 1.757723458871606000
2018-06-01 3.014908888802157300
2018-07-01 2.890244604840692200
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2018-11-01 0.440228716842159700
2018-12-01 1.986807977636820800
2019-01-01 3.023284762419380400
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2019-04-01 2.382815085795187000
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2019-06-01 5.092296212051501000
2019-07-01 5.155460629320809000
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2019-09-01 1.836653017936298300
2019-10-01 1.015905971900015900
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2020-06-01 33.896541209197390000
2020-07-01 45.512000853518390000
2020-08-01 32.387306393998770000
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2021-01-01 8.872903166357613000
2021-02-01 3.840355128884296000
2021-03-01 12.028004865159826000
2021-04-01 6.091934996793144000
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2022-11-01 1.713801382267448300
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2023-02-01 2.205475376981311000
2023-03-01 1.074584174697574600
2023-04-01 2.739289949672612000
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2023-07-01 4.871444055011672000
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2023-11-01 2.977603752490649600
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2024-01-01 -0.375013988102490100
2024-02-01 3.583613710202122600
2024-03-01 2.266123177835080000
2024-04-01 2.617652950779971300
2024-05-01 3.736513034429921600
2024-06-01 3.069703734272933600
2024-07-01 2.929177020219979000
2024-08-01 2.497320460417261400
2024-09-01 1.412969858503701200

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