Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Real Gross Domestic Product

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Real Gross Domestic Product
Series ID BBKMGDP
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2024-09-01
Last Updated 2024-12-23 7:36 AM CST
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The BBK Monthly GDP Growth is indexed to the quarterly estimates of real GDP growth from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and consists of three components: cycle, trend, and irregular components.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 15.7828126143344750000
1960-02-01 5.8510208056225340000
1960-03-01 -4.5187020361360720000
1960-04-01 -3.7037835578632246000
1960-05-01 -3.3802832245707384000
1960-06-01 1.5582954745971098000
1960-07-01 5.5772022164281890000
1960-08-01 2.6074041465270272000
1960-09-01 -4.0255639659575990000
1960-10-01 -7.4221174659099530000
1960-11-01 -7.9660432276055980000
1960-12-01 -2.8420138383688025000
1961-01-01 6.2009168265925750000
1961-02-01 6.1879222969696475000
1961-03-01 6.8645594148103815000
1961-04-01 6.2342289194508590000
1961-05-01 6.8314376832381360000
1961-06-01 8.3088905131180550000
1961-07-01 7.7093181582895000000
1961-08-01 8.6729112519084670000
1961-09-01 4.6237415868371900000
1961-10-01 8.4632689575351650000
1961-11-01 9.1503316753496400000
1961-12-01 8.2885091351747620000
1962-01-01 5.0470046658255210000
1962-02-01 9.1934441476198680000
1962-03-01 4.3349332925528350000
1962-04-01 2.0860188525732184000
1962-05-01 2.3392143422937810000
1962-06-01 3.6234053660088614000
1962-07-01 7.4396806587486340000
1962-08-01 4.6749783059718455000
1962-09-01 2.8084810072397914000
1962-10-01 -1.4562567551651382000
1962-11-01 1.5634887797855401000
1962-12-01 2.7466952738037690000
1963-01-01 5.2937309827957860000
1963-02-01 6.9285825748276350000
1963-03-01 2.3431614710767210000
1963-04-01 2.7945633194245425000
1963-05-01 5.2467961644698110000
1963-06-01 9.6885452526587300000
1963-07-01 11.6331620776166780000
1963-08-01 7.9256759296322480000
1963-09-01 2.9501836383843110000
1963-10-01 0.2060887629714396300
1963-11-01 0.7740835704306459000
1963-12-01 7.4609559989558020000
1964-01-01 11.7298521141389680000
1964-02-01 10.3202398472889740000
1964-03-01 3.6810232061821053000
1964-04-01 2.8171777365136905000
1964-05-01 3.4658316449656237000
1964-06-01 5.8949994713918450000
1964-07-01 10.1100343635847450000
1964-08-01 4.9812961626244565000
1964-09-01 0.2479982690449382700
1964-10-01 -5.3425402428302170000
1964-11-01 5.6719928915403310000
1964-12-01 10.2964284998090100000
1965-01-01 11.0227799602310520000
1965-02-01 9.6650618226167350000
1965-03-01 7.4458132041142955000
1965-04-01 1.8824743244005269000
1965-05-01 3.8761215743050617000
1965-06-01 7.2323519252913580000
1965-07-01 11.6944785420071500000
1965-08-01 9.0982611531307710000
1965-09-01 7.5351718340571160000
1965-10-01 9.1635371332560500000
1965-11-01 9.4201348388888030000
1965-12-01 11.5542254861489970000
1966-01-01 10.6530367429789500000
1966-02-01 8.4370764345081820000
1966-03-01 5.1833716735135730000
1966-04-01 -1.9255420965564207000
1966-05-01 -1.7473396738592957000
1966-06-01 2.6954747007262716000
1966-07-01 4.3918868067021450000
1966-08-01 4.6063174542147490000
1966-09-01 4.3951712012998820000
1966-10-01 2.7958543517833490000
1966-11-01 1.6003499256177127000
1966-12-01 4.3669318423725985000
1967-01-01 6.3395403234833605000
1967-02-01 1.1407970539019132000
1967-03-01 0.1420567811247219800
1967-04-01 -0.7760103499011675000
1967-05-01 -0.4783528655185316000
1967-06-01 4.0766660063902400000
1967-07-01 4.1006080133288940000
1967-08-01 6.5732173589035730000
1967-09-01 0.7716482824666100000
1967-10-01 -1.0979852967289280000
1967-11-01 6.4790186376933310000
1967-12-01 9.2671934049168190000
1968-01-01 7.0985625762101040000
1968-02-01 9.0517849289614210000
1968-03-01 8.2793145241608230000
1968-04-01 5.1885861600753940000
1968-05-01 6.7766147272537545000
1968-06-01 4.8507650001203840000
1968-07-01 3.6054074046538753000
1968-08-01 -0.0751470851667304100
1968-09-01 0.6827591783266822000
1968-10-01 0.2800636098589182000
1968-11-01 3.5019358106141480000
1968-12-01 4.9409494300900200000
1969-01-01 8.6795021654113210000
1969-02-01 6.7410922026551730000
1969-03-01 2.9893283317765826000
1969-04-01 -0.9507385939114736000
1969-05-01 -0.9567688045540241000
1969-06-01 2.9311893239641313000
1969-07-01 4.3186860989535030000
1969-08-01 3.3165923379356372000
1969-09-01 -0.7976391158535692000
1969-10-01 -3.1553691804163257000
1969-11-01 -4.9374226033357800000
1969-12-01 0.0309085246450946370
1970-01-01 -0.8985839415446559000
1970-02-01 1.7784109926597291000
1970-03-01 -1.3467995215608450000
1970-04-01 -1.5617070817878824000
1970-05-01 2.4598853549885450000
1970-06-01 5.7706053219057690000
1970-07-01 7.4506863239365330000
1970-08-01 1.2890906610578348000
1970-09-01 -5.9193753390686590000
1970-10-01 -11.4950233335368420000
1970-11-01 -4.2149398849469940000
1970-12-01 14.6833624437686690000
1971-01-01 15.9003125076506320000
1971-02-01 10.3876052325924770000
1971-03-01 2.8174764869916853000
1971-04-01 -0.7540634277281084000
1971-05-01 0.4458643679952470000
1971-06-01 4.8043798405706380000
1971-07-01 3.5805547543604916000
1971-08-01 3.1660925507365674000
1971-09-01 2.3498192524038910000
1971-10-01 -2.0612098560054637000
1971-11-01 0.7835697811497049000
1971-12-01 5.1568772947786625000
1972-01-01 8.9017963133535720000
1972-02-01 8.2661113505194300000
1972-03-01 11.1941225233193650000
1972-04-01 10.4342999234864620000
1972-05-01 7.2206838725155470000
1972-06-01 4.4326412925779090000
1972-07-01 0.8530197129466970000
1972-08-01 5.1569793691022310000
1972-09-01 4.8785403853137550000
1972-10-01 6.4127723222334780000
1972-11-01 7.9988046547211160000
1972-12-01 9.5899387414703910000
1973-01-01 10.6305576565074670000
1973-02-01 10.7979880269342980000
1973-03-01 7.3329044580630630000
1973-04-01 3.8747081958389080000
1973-05-01 2.1646166651400050000
1973-06-01 -2.4116021386745974000
1973-07-01 -4.1809890696484470000
1973-08-01 -3.6834277538997810000
1973-09-01 3.5912201592029067000
1973-10-01 8.4540191767110870000
1973-11-01 4.9645248531677610000
1973-12-01 -4.7965325795912350000
1974-01-01 -6.6202880671765480000
1974-02-01 -3.9761472781640110000
1974-03-01 1.4014492792454670000
1974-04-01 2.6729528176755520000
1974-05-01 2.9488905994270658000
1974-06-01 -4.1923880667281910000
1974-07-01 -6.2748590673154070000
1974-08-01 -5.0034126809800300000
1974-09-01 0.0596625195809958900
1974-10-01 2.2604033678026190000
1974-11-01 -3.5810466250743422000
1974-12-01 -8.7364536215627740000
1975-01-01 -3.8481476175766387000
1975-02-01 -4.5128049554420010000
1975-03-01 -2.5225319887845260000
1975-04-01 5.7454983803471710000
1975-05-01 5.8037134307558240000
1975-06-01 6.3668330235194120000
1975-07-01 7.8585249703109670000
1975-08-01 6.6295220758092395000
1975-09-01 5.7306176989038190000
1975-10-01 3.8945155854767800000
1975-11-01 4.4418452615948120000
1975-12-01 9.5114903854110260000
1976-01-01 12.0307810483841320000
1976-02-01 8.3525696040519300000
1976-03-01 3.8107074794119153000
1976-04-01 1.8081162054716151000
1976-05-01 1.4052812853992747000
1976-06-01 2.1099962889428320000
1976-07-01 2.5403489738525726000
1976-08-01 2.1003281440377988000
1976-09-01 2.2228931519712445000
1976-10-01 0.9806064024268495000
1976-11-01 5.2069708601237200000
1976-12-01 6.0283399502389570000
1977-01-01 0.6327273412406900000
1977-02-01 7.6934254346107100000
1977-03-01 7.8899188975781060000
1977-04-01 6.9343150669070590000
1977-05-01 7.7384333270821940000
1977-06-01 9.5060894710398660000
1977-07-01 8.2531750322264670000
1977-08-01 5.7058557782650870000
1977-09-01 1.4182358131729131000
1977-10-01 -1.2507291520333794000
1977-11-01 -1.7048058528256522000
1977-12-01 -1.3273881818934967000
1978-01-01 -5.9334134947741050000
1978-02-01 8.3315632436758660000
1978-03-01 17.0095754743580870000
1978-04-01 20.7535016349355100000
1978-05-01 12.4250938176148650000
1978-06-01 7.0177812519189960000
1978-07-01 -0.0531324738698177900
1978-08-01 2.7216636655835806000
1978-09-01 4.2841312639179100000
1978-10-01 7.1575958064988710000
1978-11-01 6.1865560654481030000
1978-12-01 2.9628578039862930000
1979-01-01 -2.6151332074999250000
1979-02-01 -0.3276395125057543000
1979-03-01 2.8096468804015050000
1979-04-01 -5.0131271555140735000
1979-05-01 5.2545896103032920000
1979-06-01 3.1156090964230230000
1979-07-01 3.4442246466018815000
1979-08-01 2.0079568268061650000
1979-09-01 0.7942628751036382000
1979-10-01 0.8060446845597284000
1979-11-01 0.2265239548560975500
1979-12-01 2.4961401290717890000
1980-01-01 4.3803619838436150000
1980-02-01 0.0246755813497059330
1980-03-01 -7.0641524363413000000
1980-04-01 -11.7140301197030900000
1980-05-01 -10.7761332857270420000
1980-06-01 -4.1680791315890810000
1980-07-01 0.4021034637321503300
1980-08-01 3.3517343054977310000
1980-09-01 6.8941346319887310000
1980-10-01 7.0976767246849860000
1980-11-01 8.3950561572634000000
1980-12-01 11.3286133536365100000
1981-01-01 11.0456178381188580000
1981-02-01 4.3130897473322190000
1981-03-01 -2.9802359957451980000
1981-04-01 -6.8076333904292340000
1981-05-01 -4.1186885635543640000
1981-06-01 3.5183253460496850000
1981-07-01 9.2843525574272140000
1981-08-01 6.2690819922308005000
1981-09-01 -0.4357103091156937500
1981-10-01 -5.7234723463664130000
1981-11-01 -8.3790638270460360000
1981-12-01 -10.8919165659742840000
1982-01-01 -11.1233713423236010000
1982-02-01 3.0988480128774567000
1982-03-01 0.9342266105519075000
1982-04-01 2.2765166697971450000
1982-05-01 2.9947873029867400000
1982-06-01 -1.3919908693314964000
1982-07-01 -2.2154666303204564000
1982-08-01 -3.7249835930801938000
1982-09-01 0.1054519996451155400
1982-10-01 -0.5255002210005881000
1982-11-01 2.0660333008319287000
1982-12-01 2.3881904218163180000
1983-01-01 8.0892747670408620000
1983-02-01 3.3864989799518037000
1983-03-01 9.2722742896122180000
1983-04-01 9.9653868342171780000
1983-05-01 9.8640705547573510000
1983-06-01 9.4496317460031620000
1983-07-01 6.9709071646884055000
1983-08-01 5.9945478919093510000
1983-09-01 9.5450301223591050000
1983-10-01 8.6811069452723720000
1983-11-01 7.7772476218591960000
1983-12-01 7.6716819566869300000
1984-01-01 8.7323135658561540000
1984-02-01 7.2250732566747360000
1984-03-01 5.9019716419783870000
1984-04-01 7.4344135364631970000
1984-05-01 7.3068617155529200000
1984-06-01 5.7564892499900130000
1984-07-01 3.0632503287811317000
1984-08-01 2.4775477486923667000
1984-09-01 1.5755205506594063000
1984-10-01 3.2684631915008180000
1984-11-01 5.0332525462944950000
1984-12-01 3.9119062207897746000
1985-01-01 3.5124879130258350000
1985-02-01 3.6658892616306500000
1985-03-01 3.9800198038601210000
1985-04-01 1.8940675516837457000
1985-05-01 4.8499955113993250000
1985-06-01 4.5642905828675660000
1985-07-01 6.9000964174723230000
1985-08-01 8.0069645604281940000
1985-09-01 3.8594520403265262000
1985-10-01 0.2774153090550242000
1985-11-01 2.8244020149474210000
1985-12-01 4.4716037188450140000
1986-01-01 6.5444508854819730000
1986-02-01 0.9435454193224366000
1986-03-01 0.1547992111856477700
1986-04-01 2.9063937381668070000
1986-05-01 1.6300874399675456000
1986-06-01 2.9430587073806533000
1986-07-01 4.9402774989795315000
1986-08-01 3.8172941260929490000
1986-09-01 4.3141537010124760000
1986-10-01 0.0510744109055050200
1986-11-01 1.1140391006893708000
1986-12-01 4.4348668327852705000
1987-01-01 -1.0192411271278345000
1987-02-01 7.8207901705812874000
1987-03-01 4.0506100019593830000
1987-04-01 4.3494714428595160000
1987-05-01 3.6625120707513332000
1987-06-01 2.3154130673201080000
1987-07-01 2.8068473504208056000
1987-08-01 3.3365425906745587000
1987-09-01 7.6699924796769040000
1987-10-01 9.4069700393848330000
1987-11-01 5.8652742591549880000
1987-12-01 2.6548970315284720000
1988-01-01 -1.3467235879577437000
1988-02-01 2.8285035516383030000
1988-03-01 5.7795345165207050000
1988-04-01 6.4745295452295810000
1988-05-01 4.8155872539360140000
1988-06-01 3.5577644553690706000
1988-07-01 0.4829413579505051000
1988-08-01 1.8817405354737775000
1988-09-01 3.8853828110811810000
1988-10-01 6.4098426034990460000
1988-11-01 6.0506210494913260000
1988-12-01 6.6687755867752630000
1989-01-01 4.2377022521145800000
1989-02-01 0.8050775835730972000
1989-03-01 2.6867345014975910000
1989-04-01 4.2827116112723580000
1989-05-01 2.4350873281943040000
1989-06-01 3.4822136010886190000
1989-07-01 2.0092910052621393000
1989-08-01 5.6477575371355540000
1989-09-01 -0.1674205923315339500
1989-10-01 -1.6278221771901666000
1989-11-01 1.5617468664269392000
1989-12-01 3.5535145903469734000
1990-01-01 5.1869653349532765000
1990-02-01 5.7533869613770370000
1990-03-01 3.3869339422519830000
1990-04-01 -1.2010000640663270000
1990-05-01 1.1588612666979607000
1990-06-01 1.8123356476561560000
1990-07-01 -0.0070151257073707285
1990-08-01 0.3745096600511703700
1990-09-01 -3.1203690902580368000
1990-10-01 -4.2334726045112910000
1990-11-01 -5.7092086227596710000
1990-12-01 -2.9521027556974424000
1991-01-01 -2.1970175770471414000
1991-02-01 0.1987328023338621500
1991-03-01 0.9172526780835693000
1991-04-01 5.0130087260086090000
1991-05-01 4.2599453247173550000
1991-06-01 2.3699902580729920000
1991-07-01 2.0677741471824370000
1991-08-01 0.4690456131983644600
1991-09-01 2.0111328521979350000
1991-10-01 0.7833101831219467000
1991-11-01 1.7771730971528994000
1991-12-01 2.1181033285387723000
1992-01-01 6.2428219404734680000
1992-02-01 6.2402898931010930000
1992-03-01 5.6206929455217540000
1992-04-01 4.0443795418126560000
1992-05-01 2.7431701878920040000
1992-06-01 3.7258716652964425000
1992-07-01 5.0324566394357450000
1992-08-01 2.3602378325399997000
1992-09-01 5.4040028850096730000
1992-10-01 5.3143184555118200000
1992-11-01 3.1505526267862680000
1992-12-01 1.9104216979401811000
1993-01-01 -0.4263011964137457500
1993-02-01 -0.1800770596026581800
1993-03-01 0.6975000003264245000
1993-04-01 4.1879809611788140000
1993-05-01 2.8186616525357430000
1993-06-01 1.4567793431694510000
1993-07-01 0.8386504991677892000
1993-08-01 1.7514210553147210000
1993-09-01 5.3995924273077470000
1993-10-01 6.8227925443412810000
1993-11-01 5.5000835139484145000
1993-12-01 4.6225528822513880000
1994-01-01 1.9130266493033052000
1994-02-01 3.1373038781545404000
1994-03-01 7.9962050862889040000
1994-04-01 5.7250584772135600000
1994-05-01 4.6358387733792630000
1994-06-01 2.9003191988356760000
1994-07-01 0.2504618257583577400
1994-08-01 3.1562970470701193000
1994-09-01 3.4783972088716473000
1994-10-01 5.5398921339487430000
1994-11-01 5.1523228108292550000
1994-12-01 3.9507210314770780000
1995-01-01 0.2071195926008897500
1995-02-01 -0.7113646988252094000
1995-03-01 0.5228969195921791000
1995-04-01 0.4353308887064102400
1995-05-01 2.6941166647500716000
1995-06-01 3.6727380496153192000
1995-07-01 1.9186736014523810000
1995-08-01 5.4849255672932244000
1995-09-01 3.7346300306982076000
1995-10-01 1.0924719862655492000
1995-11-01 2.5585783913458418000
1995-12-01 3.0290112086956760000
1996-01-01 -0.2837058940447021400
1996-02-01 6.2760723337946660000
1996-03-01 6.5317998919657010000
1996-04-01 7.4588605823946730000
1996-05-01 6.8607911424094630000
1996-06-01 4.1062686408951630000
1996-07-01 1.7991329225739200000
1996-08-01 3.4415243243401540000
1996-09-01 4.8188337629223310000
1996-10-01 4.7300381222427745000
1996-11-01 4.6167703438623220000
1996-12-01 0.6820076822984191000
1997-01-01 0.2622747044090432000
1997-02-01 5.0456983429083540000
1997-03-01 6.3031257829962170000
1997-04-01 7.6782655262758580000
1997-05-01 6.5820662078145205000
1997-06-01 5.5888470225472880000
1997-07-01 5.3405329528444690000
1997-08-01 3.6364409429810167000
1997-09-01 3.6192008097220440000
1997-10-01 2.9043743394190560000
1997-11-01 3.7324275223757164000
1997-12-01 3.5599753755856938000
1998-01-01 4.2097486483817850000
1998-02-01 4.6030762784293880000
1998-03-01 3.2538536633978543000
1998-04-01 3.4403916597169210000
1998-05-01 4.3736406567737590000
1998-06-01 2.9931789506275530000
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1998-08-01 8.0737454438685730000
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1999-02-01 4.1957255645963870000
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2024-07-01 3.2972318738254045000
2024-08-01 2.7940354303493415000
2024-09-01 1.1675334565901438000

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