Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle Component of GDP
Title | Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle Component of GDP |
---|---|
Series ID | BBKMCY |
Source | Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center |
Release | Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes |
Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
Frequency | Monthly |
Units | Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period |
Date Range | 1960-01-01 to 2024-11-01 |
Last Updated | 2024-12-23 7:36 AM CST |
Notes | The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth. The cycle component of GDP is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units. The cycle component is the sum of the leading and lagging subcomponents. For more details, see also: Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422 Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1 |
DATE | VALUE |
---|---|
1960-01-01 | 4.7305518651631340000 |
1960-02-01 | -2.0181124938259107000 |
1960-03-01 | -6.0260885977277150000 |
1960-04-01 | -1.8075648861621530000 |
1960-05-01 | -4.0954862636109530000 |
1960-06-01 | -4.7267567812888730000 |
1960-07-01 | -3.4174006228984632000 |
1960-08-01 | -3.2334672142917786000 |
1960-09-01 | -3.8057041318399220000 |
1960-10-01 | -4.0030817012676950000 |
1960-11-01 | -7.2650615912444660000 |
1960-12-01 | -7.8274798314698810000 |
1961-01-01 | -2.3556784996093570000 |
1961-02-01 | -1.4750941992917916000 |
1961-03-01 | 2.3702890124124200000 |
1961-04-01 | 3.9129848617053016000 |
1961-05-01 | 4.4828414693161970000 |
1961-06-01 | 4.7882544132316020000 |
1961-07-01 | 3.4582026056060470000 |
1961-08-01 | 4.7020756254104000000 |
1961-09-01 | 1.4537329968749740000 |
1961-10-01 | 5.5279822704503480000 |
1961-11-01 | 5.2695386577975040000 |
1961-12-01 | 2.8919460613767190000 |
1962-01-01 | -0.9174752763959961000 |
1962-02-01 | 4.5614624691830780000 |
1962-03-01 | 1.9431774133907993000 |
1962-04-01 | 0.7105850809562032000 |
1962-05-01 | -0.4596659490742001600 |
1962-06-01 | -1.7650770703409107000 |
1962-07-01 | 0.9455576378124311000 |
1962-08-01 | 0.0372245102680449300 |
1962-09-01 | 1.4494729529377934000 |
1962-10-01 | -1.0747537913870215000 |
1962-11-01 | 0.6131613402411357000 |
1962-12-01 | -1.0069001440757226000 |
1963-01-01 | 0.2459798921091485800 |
1963-02-01 | 3.5818004765006055000 |
1963-03-01 | 2.1114166525442046000 |
1963-04-01 | 3.4711639860369290000 |
1963-05-01 | 2.4514058762922972000 |
1963-06-01 | 1.3293818089022802000 |
1963-07-01 | 0.7087740131779523000 |
1963-08-01 | 0.4460415685730012600 |
1963-09-01 | 1.8363184232811476000 |
1963-10-01 | 2.4360783028621604000 |
1963-11-01 | 0.2198144644917255600 |
1963-12-01 | 1.1116159793323780000 |
1964-01-01 | 2.2187550040548730000 |
1964-02-01 | 3.0402649850646430000 |
1964-03-01 | 1.2966572672474632000 |
1964-04-01 | 3.1515953224178905000 |
1964-05-01 | 2.0416185225930903000 |
1964-06-01 | 0.5044591869851441000 |
1964-07-01 | 2.9788416738461283000 |
1964-08-01 | 0.6652868446267254000 |
1964-09-01 | 0.9870648706996498000 |
1964-10-01 | -2.1807969113646353000 |
1964-11-01 | 5.8727509608309765000 |
1964-12-01 | 4.8714295449068485000 |
1965-01-01 | 2.3896029896505855000 |
1965-02-01 | 2.8162950777002167000 |
1965-03-01 | 4.8755194444649830000 |
1965-04-01 | 1.6549810395127043000 |
1965-05-01 | 1.9436238257754730000 |
1965-06-01 | 1.5548722548731122000 |
1965-07-01 | 3.5801457887513664000 |
1965-08-01 | 1.3231395206303764000 |
1965-09-01 | 1.5049692095781289000 |
1965-10-01 | 4.1252802915456790000 |
1965-11-01 | 3.7656074165023807000 |
1965-12-01 | 4.4842706026228520000 |
1966-01-01 | 3.4786297034079996000 |
1966-02-01 | 3.8396904558105214000 |
1966-03-01 | 4.4821596730653020000 |
1966-04-01 | -0.3588476938921262300 |
1966-05-01 | -1.2475097134902016000 |
1966-06-01 | 0.4703391772644761000 |
1966-07-01 | 0.2988210935082735000 |
1966-08-01 | 0.4394430110905132600 |
1966-09-01 | 1.0445941678870063000 |
1966-10-01 | -0.4298887096364324400 |
1966-11-01 | -2.9153272396428096000 |
1966-12-01 | -2.1155261526976800000 |
1967-01-01 | -0.7901785277856808000 |
1967-02-01 | -3.9889389155512363000 |
1967-03-01 | -1.7077239958801071000 |
1967-04-01 | -0.8457794670442877000 |
1967-05-01 | -1.7929230810930163000 |
1967-06-01 | 0.0434357088993799500 |
1967-07-01 | -1.1640110356384137000 |
1967-08-01 | 3.0947248785593153000 |
1967-09-01 | 0.5564184555757321000 |
1967-10-01 | 0.1202435971348169700 |
1967-11-01 | 5.3944551762659140000 |
1967-12-01 | 4.0246434283709860000 |
1968-01-01 | -0.9211186972183700000 |
1968-02-01 | 1.1295040275950097000 |
1968-03-01 | 1.9009441004774215000 |
1968-04-01 | 0.0969801907878934700 |
1968-05-01 | 2.3856924002207500000 |
1968-06-01 | 0.8768058428407104000 |
1968-07-01 | 0.5228312675606185000 |
1968-08-01 | -1.3372087718177679000 |
1968-09-01 | 1.6490133108763982000 |
1968-10-01 | 1.8074349788301376000 |
1968-11-01 | 2.2984244769401116000 |
1968-12-01 | -0.5654427665224644000 |
1969-01-01 | 1.0098920415625245000 |
1969-02-01 | 1.1988685466601520000 |
1969-03-01 | 1.6657698450792910000 |
1969-04-01 | 0.1487391352602347700 |
1969-05-01 | -1.0816250557708522000 |
1969-06-01 | -0.2062225651523321000 |
1969-07-01 | -0.2657636692464428500 |
1969-08-01 | 0.4760479090378747500 |
1969-09-01 | -0.3338615815824721400 |
1969-10-01 | -1.0494699900942070000 |
1969-11-01 | -4.5659960572351580000 |
1969-12-01 | -2.9809961579532445000 |
1970-01-01 | -5.9477049254229890000 |
1970-02-01 | -2.5876511987644140000 |
1970-03-01 | -3.7252947980934170000 |
1970-04-01 | -3.3068353289647840000 |
1970-05-01 | -1.3304783124163700000 |
1970-06-01 | -1.3113363625724799000 |
1970-07-01 | -0.4982548795691023000 |
1970-08-01 | -2.7334420481930400000 |
1970-09-01 | -3.7360967541882144000 |
1970-10-01 | -6.7836587204153980000 |
1970-11-01 | -4.3481940276779590000 |
1970-12-01 | 6.1093269876145960000 |
1971-01-01 | 2.7767935724175348000 |
1971-02-01 | 0.6520109867464462000 |
1971-03-01 | 0.4164820423383345000 |
1971-04-01 | 1.4131689971418355000 |
1971-05-01 | 1.3979389630420542000 |
1971-06-01 | 1.6145448714415174000 |
1971-07-01 | -1.8163811775421740000 |
1971-08-01 | -0.2970574741946687000 |
1971-09-01 | 2.9541565871445834000 |
1971-10-01 | 0.9906143820392135000 |
1971-11-01 | 2.7588020037266685000 |
1971-12-01 | 4.2000178184432450000 |
1972-01-01 | 5.2123890532684145000 |
1972-02-01 | 2.5125552132387740000 |
1972-03-01 | 3.8196562873695337000 |
1972-04-01 | 2.6488351921119140000 |
1972-05-01 | 1.2861993041678126000 |
1972-06-01 | 1.4086310916685343000 |
1972-07-01 | -0.0634951376427215100 |
1972-08-01 | 4.7760352818715810000 |
1972-09-01 | 4.2683451621079875000 |
1972-10-01 | 5.1776215293640330000 |
1972-11-01 | 5.3186230631604890000 |
1972-12-01 | 5.0287199350145600000 |
1973-01-01 | 4.6567192351247420000 |
1973-02-01 | 4.4689023432542070000 |
1973-03-01 | 1.2597564889171409000 |
1973-04-01 | -0.8872228923825680000 |
1973-05-01 | 0.6558523525689631000 |
1973-06-01 | 0.1815878829934126400 |
1973-07-01 | 0.2171343070945214200 |
1973-08-01 | -1.9661711092541754000 |
1973-09-01 | 0.4938928012760312500 |
1973-10-01 | 2.9836731949286164000 |
1973-11-01 | 1.9894347741426832000 |
1973-12-01 | -2.9184652329528498000 |
1974-01-01 | -2.2703062590956367000 |
1974-02-01 | -1.9677861350206710000 |
1974-03-01 | -1.2896834949745050000 |
1974-04-01 | -2.4239129030685693000 |
1974-05-01 | 0.1314510437366232000 |
1974-06-01 | -2.4140682171799512000 |
1974-07-01 | -2.3905798627056747000 |
1974-08-01 | -4.1477464829380930000 |
1974-09-01 | -4.6900170772813190000 |
1974-10-01 | -6.2410938784238820000 |
1974-11-01 | -11.9133312719126470000 |
1974-12-01 | -14.8879251513618290000 |
1975-01-01 | -8.5247958397238400000 |
1975-02-01 | -9.3384382373883300000 |
1975-03-01 | -8.3741987378436050000 |
1975-04-01 | -0.6861118532335062000 |
1975-05-01 | -0.1400866881274187600 |
1975-06-01 | 1.5095501196214793000 |
1975-07-01 | 4.0507839744379550000 |
1975-08-01 | 3.6459991862542163000 |
1975-09-01 | 3.3907246667184134000 |
1975-10-01 | 1.5268574407355762000 |
1975-11-01 | 0.8097649122370344000 |
1975-12-01 | 4.0544917190497440000 |
1976-01-01 | 5.8467197119923835000 |
1976-02-01 | 3.6089663025955354000 |
1976-03-01 | 1.5653100661048045000 |
1976-04-01 | 1.3034377964367587000 |
1976-05-01 | 1.0860825293115760000 |
1976-06-01 | 1.1919462864507144000 |
1976-07-01 | 1.1551367409566975000 |
1976-08-01 | 0.5655213556599334000 |
1976-09-01 | 0.7130375566058157000 |
1976-10-01 | -0.4909947707969149500 |
1976-11-01 | 3.7686805410828623000 |
1976-12-01 | 4.6128460840316100000 |
1977-01-01 | -0.9402326766463626000 |
1977-02-01 | 5.6013347391617680000 |
1977-03-01 | 5.0897460850142290000 |
1977-04-01 | 3.1726538752572080000 |
1977-05-01 | 2.5288254737609490000 |
1977-06-01 | 2.6240306096059047000 |
1977-07-01 | 1.0713029338813802000 |
1977-08-01 | 1.0176219102450594000 |
1977-09-01 | 0.6397937252625583000 |
1977-10-01 | 0.8493979004456964000 |
1977-11-01 | 1.0300289612369828000 |
1977-12-01 | 0.8217775624811425000 |
1978-01-01 | -5.7700972496219585000 |
1978-02-01 | 3.9109361108632816000 |
1978-03-01 | 6.8317380252752570000 |
1978-04-01 | 7.7430536998551550000 |
1978-05-01 | 2.3855710613133780000 |
1978-06-01 | 2.7904646909982510000 |
1978-07-01 | -0.4773102707916188600 |
1978-08-01 | 1.9618161185384646000 |
1978-09-01 | 1.0991903600615238000 |
1978-10-01 | 2.5320931322882380000 |
1978-11-01 | 2.2727333361673760000 |
1978-12-01 | 0.8987382232854085000 |
1979-01-01 | -3.1695172156153637000 |
1979-02-01 | -0.2405426149371479300 |
1979-03-01 | 3.0227294697082745000 |
1979-04-01 | -5.2830342153234300000 |
1979-05-01 | 3.4363391035764677000 |
1979-06-01 | -0.7043506081514020000 |
1979-07-01 | -1.3965999909767453000 |
1979-08-01 | -1.9775124853036940000 |
1979-09-01 | -1.4570094754807985000 |
1979-10-01 | -0.5895106565928909000 |
1979-11-01 | -2.0323557939989008000 |
1979-12-01 | -1.4406388054282562000 |
1980-01-01 | -0.2988560295109520000 |
1980-02-01 | -3.5433662527763037000 |
1980-03-01 | -8.6350652880376210000 |
1980-04-01 | -12.0775838034812750000 |
1980-05-01 | -11.4923918167682500000 |
1980-06-01 | -5.9688523270631135000 |
1980-07-01 | -1.9510603323180866000 |
1980-08-01 | 1.4442809755617132000 |
1980-09-01 | 5.8493094635304830000 |
1980-10-01 | 5.4293117455515990000 |
1980-11-01 | 3.2397155514062510000 |
1980-12-01 | 1.3717288314915885000 |
1981-01-01 | -0.4222598129826659600 |
1981-02-01 | -2.1197474484889107000 |
1981-03-01 | -1.1959972915627723000 |
1981-04-01 | -0.6837856281578236000 |
1981-05-01 | -1.5637193948151780000 |
1981-06-01 | -1.4532497460515073000 |
1981-07-01 | -0.4718145427220100000 |
1981-08-01 | -2.4577834065028377000 |
1981-09-01 | -5.1175880533793600000 |
1981-10-01 | -6.7722017587344850000 |
1981-11-01 | -6.9926738453747450000 |
1981-12-01 | -7.8291875064641920000 |
1982-01-01 | -8.0326161319071230000 |
1982-02-01 | 3.1762421571322306000 |
1982-03-01 | -3.3942060182506215000 |
1982-04-01 | -4.5531420125773020000 |
1982-05-01 | -2.6031640774924630000 |
1982-06-01 | -3.9495204827485540000 |
1982-07-01 | -2.8918318931818185000 |
1982-08-01 | -4.8719179339920370000 |
1982-09-01 | -2.6782038971355697000 |
1982-10-01 | -4.3894014825667120000 |
1982-11-01 | -1.7107030607930487000 |
1982-12-01 | -0.7163292976051860000 |
1983-01-01 | 5.1876369176731590000 |
1983-02-01 | -0.2902823055602332700 |
1983-03-01 | 4.3353687702458260000 |
1983-04-01 | 4.4508262826342415000 |
1983-05-01 | 5.1741602885949880000 |
1983-06-01 | 6.2829522606714026000 |
1983-07-01 | 4.7244430057911450000 |
1983-08-01 | 3.4119098395277496000 |
1983-09-01 | 5.9917510498624600000 |
1983-10-01 | 4.5096493752947030000 |
1983-11-01 | 3.7451826225267990000 |
1983-12-01 | 4.1684990259750900000 |
1984-01-01 | 5.4297783178857210000 |
1984-02-01 | 3.4171805841697287000 |
1984-03-01 | 1.2225664633320785000 |
1984-04-01 | 2.2511447848877664000 |
1984-05-01 | 2.4149682199004086000 |
1984-06-01 | 1.5773683474024882000 |
1984-07-01 | -0.4869259607902619000 |
1984-08-01 | -0.6850336177015066000 |
1984-09-01 | -1.3570518042106910000 |
1984-10-01 | 0.3049839348763815300 |
1984-11-01 | 1.5887548727606333000 |
1984-12-01 | -0.1949379134239472300 |
1985-01-01 | -0.8213793123773757000 |
1985-02-01 | -0.0879827558021668600 |
1985-03-01 | 1.1616101190670578000 |
1985-04-01 | -0.8381688633936277000 |
1985-05-01 | 0.5513977161034951000 |
1985-06-01 | -2.0802355983615795000 |
1985-07-01 | -0.7926481202661171000 |
1985-08-01 | 1.8628323667019924000 |
1985-09-01 | 0.5354773561916872000 |
1985-10-01 | -1.2904781131683107000 |
1985-11-01 | 0.8307606235636915000 |
1985-12-01 | 0.9628323657998819000 |
1986-01-01 | 2.1772616850543350000 |
1986-02-01 | -2.8971550903632570000 |
1986-03-01 | -2.4565275591711657000 |
1986-04-01 | 0.9542806599343346000 |
1986-05-01 | -0.8753078859408954000 |
1986-06-01 | -0.7379026025915388000 |
1986-07-01 | 0.6703720865992290000 |
1986-08-01 | 0.2173640056125681300 |
1986-09-01 | 2.0434810664684515000 |
1986-10-01 | -1.2519092419500086000 |
1986-11-01 | -0.0548744163972312600 |
1986-12-01 | 2.9314058570989046000 |
1987-01-01 | -3.0308476560918470000 |
1987-02-01 | 5.0768896441433150000 |
1987-03-01 | 0.5322935216527458000 |
1987-04-01 | 0.7674893082370341000 |
1987-05-01 | 1.3270781209317795000 |
1987-06-01 | 1.8040245356451245000 |
1987-07-01 | 2.7976131621387568000 |
1987-08-01 | 1.2584688319122108000 |
1987-09-01 | 2.3076463067346270000 |
1987-10-01 | 2.4988982464297000000 |
1987-11-01 | 0.8823305257205091000 |
1987-12-01 | 1.2882511492245339000 |
1988-01-01 | -0.7247011825974022000 |
1988-02-01 | 2.1220284747247953000 |
1988-03-01 | 2.0979468665073044000 |
1988-04-01 | 1.0889372715254708000 |
1988-05-01 | 0.3725619247426042400 |
1988-06-01 | 1.3936689045634947000 |
1988-07-01 | -0.3749030927615369400 |
1988-08-01 | 0.2595784685214425000 |
1988-09-01 | 0.4319134122628246000 |
1988-10-01 | 1.6881619314578897000 |
1988-11-01 | 1.3193653374859964000 |
1988-12-01 | 2.6031335714173630000 |
1989-01-01 | 0.6919477326009176000 |
1989-02-01 | -2.6371390260833154000 |
1989-03-01 | -0.9137781436372455000 |
1989-04-01 | 0.3299811797643497600 |
1989-05-01 | -2.1491632101099270000 |
1989-06-01 | -1.8156949757675764000 |
1989-07-01 | -3.2406053192778140000 |
1989-08-01 | 1.8950708876925098000 |
1989-09-01 | -1.7480663429645404000 |
1989-10-01 | -2.1016728000044322000 |
1989-11-01 | 0.0786682152735052000 |
1989-12-01 | 0.0290379427327695850 |
1990-01-01 | 0.4428503396016858500 |
1990-02-01 | 1.4695036790799134000 |
1990-03-01 | 0.4012774754501339000 |
1990-04-01 | -3.2839622053448934000 |
1990-05-01 | -0.8608585515580517000 |
1990-06-01 | -0.5694628114210385000 |
1990-07-01 | -2.4043308036628290000 |
1990-08-01 | -1.3062913798214364000 |
1990-09-01 | -3.7150842327478800000 |
1990-10-01 | -4.3316005436459570000 |
1990-11-01 | -6.5387262676743950000 |
1990-12-01 | -5.1397971508058230000 |
1991-01-01 | -5.5174249447433510000 |
1991-02-01 | -3.7380210575588277000 |
1991-03-01 | -3.3523556513921986000 |
1991-04-01 | 0.8541346095281124000 |
1991-05-01 | 1.0631879855341155000 |
1991-06-01 | 0.5472608665972916000 |
1991-07-01 | 1.1851890050888911000 |
1991-08-01 | -0.3663465387220719600 |
1991-09-01 | 0.7597727433333424000 |
1991-10-01 | -1.2397457767768738000 |
1991-11-01 | -1.6843121135346250000 |
1991-12-01 | -3.0862910180495997000 |
1992-01-01 | 0.2008190793544109800 |
1992-02-01 | 1.1761557298700720000 |
1992-03-01 | 2.4365798497801694000 |
1992-04-01 | 2.0916040600910620000 |
1992-05-01 | 0.6525658917718699000 |
1992-06-01 | 0.7821208445419260000 |
1992-07-01 | 1.3157794703167556000 |
1992-08-01 | -1.8624764595074752000 |
1992-09-01 | 0.8652916689677181000 |
1992-10-01 | 1.1673302671986303000 |
1992-11-01 | 0.7192721583987906000 |
1992-12-01 | 1.7977921053615147000 |
1993-01-01 | 0.6573216281114030000 |
1993-02-01 | -0.1096258765092382900 |
1993-03-01 | -1.3111842632427129000 |
1993-04-01 | 0.9404396900067583000 |
1993-05-01 | 0.0223003557348010960 |
1993-06-01 | -0.0646784133428625200 |
1993-07-01 | -0.1377275011059807000 |
1993-08-01 | -0.1604825198136361200 |
1993-09-01 | 1.8288261541024617000 |
1993-10-01 | 2.3651899246905947000 |
1993-11-01 | 1.7250510284460512000 |
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1994-02-01 | 0.9564496245573965000 |
1994-03-01 | 4.5078012384906810000 |
1994-04-01 | 1.7553417683680959000 |
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1996-04-01 | 1.8752513586060557000 |
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1996-06-01 | 1.4893861906197283000 |
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2011-01-01 | 0.7817599684181199000 |
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