Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle: Leading Subcomponent of GDP
Title | Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle: Leading Subcomponent of GDP |
---|---|
Series ID | BBKMCLE |
Source | Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center |
Release | Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes |
Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
Frequency | Monthly |
Units | Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period |
Date Range | 1960-01-01 to 2024-09-01 |
Last Updated | 2024-11-04 7:31 AM CST |
Notes | The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth. The leading subcomponent of the cycle is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units. The cycle component is the sum of the leading and lagging subcomponents. For more details, see also: Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422 Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1 |
DATE | VALUE |
---|---|
1960-01-01 | 0.1105105415606312000 |
1960-02-01 | 0.1462061320750881000 |
1960-03-01 | 0.1689461744456509400 |
1960-04-01 | 0.1796300536158993700 |
1960-05-01 | 0.1561396880870594100 |
1960-06-01 | 0.1406837833320167300 |
1960-07-01 | 0.1305462927846528800 |
1960-08-01 | 0.1150160312186873600 |
1960-09-01 | 0.0938449741357988100 |
1960-10-01 | 0.0839598436488618700 |
1960-11-01 | 0.0758032560979180200 |
1960-12-01 | 0.0634855508009560800 |
1961-01-01 | 0.0642740756613830700 |
1961-02-01 | 0.0404097673821589600 |
1961-03-01 | 0.0216474747781913900 |
1961-04-01 | -0.0023740446775030863 |
1961-05-01 | -0.0142080289934307280 |
1961-06-01 | -0.0222038686704107100 |
1961-07-01 | -0.0379216454925817850 |
1961-08-01 | -0.0258888068866114820 |
1961-09-01 | -0.0077699969923535440 |
1961-10-01 | 0.0236707631538124150 |
1961-11-01 | 0.0381529485582448700 |
1961-12-01 | 0.0454118143544646400 |
1962-01-01 | 0.0547462618923367900 |
1962-02-01 | 0.0617606864095333050 |
1962-03-01 | 0.0725971577866341100 |
1962-04-01 | 0.0830988709939945400 |
1962-05-01 | 0.0800827783342135000 |
1962-06-01 | 0.0719652052382932800 |
1962-07-01 | 0.0671726549463233000 |
1962-08-01 | 0.0573297075804253000 |
1962-09-01 | 0.0467092223209429800 |
1962-10-01 | 0.0444147825551648600 |
1962-11-01 | 0.0463263010876128760 |
1962-12-01 | 0.0350112813200563400 |
1963-01-01 | 0.0252848186737575160 |
1963-02-01 | 0.0203366582801401500 |
1963-03-01 | 0.0302313123697715640 |
1963-04-01 | 0.0418924885141023500 |
1963-05-01 | 0.0510367787033794100 |
1963-06-01 | 0.0575911764910341660 |
1963-07-01 | 0.0666448741254808100 |
1963-08-01 | 0.0700267964148666200 |
1963-09-01 | 0.0775721115000320600 |
1963-10-01 | 0.0752199506228823500 |
1963-11-01 | 0.0744383184759047200 |
1963-12-01 | 0.0825772127326906400 |
1964-01-01 | 0.0894548514315861700 |
1964-02-01 | 0.0999462360873300100 |
1964-03-01 | 0.0942104757804942000 |
1964-04-01 | 0.0926516953780029500 |
1964-05-01 | 0.0881500784376603900 |
1964-06-01 | 0.0817881702001827500 |
1964-07-01 | 0.0771409227077837200 |
1964-08-01 | 0.0727196796286502800 |
1964-09-01 | 0.0626115752620893800 |
1964-10-01 | 0.0560209315656694600 |
1964-11-01 | 0.0586103284740984800 |
1964-12-01 | 0.0801999727651354900 |
1965-01-01 | 0.0944660018513656100 |
1965-02-01 | 0.1196883260244833200 |
1965-03-01 | 0.1358309769101581400 |
1965-04-01 | 0.1436109819561941800 |
1965-05-01 | 0.1645752832737137600 |
1965-06-01 | 0.1695838566747586400 |
1965-07-01 | 0.1878670316566190300 |
1965-08-01 | 0.1996777392299471400 |
1965-09-01 | 0.1991904041721621600 |
1965-10-01 | 0.1850137427970608700 |
1965-11-01 | 0.1542190054310060800 |
1965-12-01 | 0.1289106378383734000 |
1966-01-01 | 0.1041638817178276400 |
1966-02-01 | 0.0899865563874545600 |
1966-03-01 | 0.0910580428520541600 |
1966-04-01 | 0.0897151463158347300 |
1966-05-01 | 0.0950686309137074200 |
1966-06-01 | 0.1083273874584842900 |
1966-07-01 | 0.1177110460086640400 |
1966-08-01 | 0.1235112265981583400 |
1966-09-01 | 0.1427630656267296300 |
1966-10-01 | 0.1685974924388203000 |
1966-11-01 | 0.1993074333435831700 |
1966-12-01 | 0.2084041297290971700 |
1967-01-01 | 0.2206521242690223000 |
1967-02-01 | 0.1992035233746536300 |
1967-03-01 | 0.1895584742530692000 |
1967-04-01 | 0.1806046781694828600 |
1967-05-01 | 0.1612308681755735300 |
1967-06-01 | 0.1395673385952872800 |
1967-07-01 | 0.1251703080437628000 |
1967-08-01 | 0.1100497995781575300 |
1967-09-01 | 0.0987462151879413400 |
1967-10-01 | 0.0886056911864760000 |
1967-11-01 | 0.0952358330317484000 |
1967-12-01 | 0.1115627509421575900 |
1968-01-01 | 0.1318257182063731500 |
1968-02-01 | 0.1497802091060237400 |
1968-03-01 | 0.1492432562420892800 |
1968-04-01 | 0.1386613895304994500 |
1968-05-01 | 0.1322850355874742300 |
1968-06-01 | 0.1164253944144317100 |
1968-07-01 | 0.1012652277445931900 |
1968-08-01 | 0.0895991681819291500 |
1968-09-01 | 0.0672153212131272900 |
1968-10-01 | 0.0526847815585303900 |
1968-11-01 | 0.0565327733588422000 |
1968-12-01 | 0.0587809573772111300 |
1969-01-01 | 0.0665201946460143900 |
1969-02-01 | 0.0551676461999005100 |
1969-03-01 | 0.0418615637679186300 |
1969-04-01 | 0.0337876679316018100 |
1969-05-01 | 0.0297793640761047500 |
1969-06-01 | 0.0204890029528300850 |
1969-07-01 | 0.0131664928544271210 |
1969-08-01 | 0.0148470865400270530 |
1969-09-01 | 0.0111990682112870530 |
1969-10-01 | 0.0129921543793270230 |
1969-11-01 | 0.0230733589377571870 |
1969-12-01 | 0.0316373357114152140 |
1970-01-01 | 0.0344735950646337250 |
1970-02-01 | 0.0499132723364734700 |
1970-03-01 | 0.0561815687304202500 |
1970-04-01 | 0.0584951344278808040 |
1970-05-01 | 0.0570611889772858340 |
1970-06-01 | 0.0648361100165120200 |
1970-07-01 | 0.0747447148245523900 |
1970-08-01 | 0.0711235762418026000 |
1970-09-01 | 0.0570361638426817000 |
1970-10-01 | 0.0425554475374168100 |
1970-11-01 | 0.0395461404780371940 |
1970-12-01 | 0.0458246391525196900 |
1971-01-01 | 0.0501204303507294800 |
1971-02-01 | 0.0397867825983723700 |
1971-03-01 | 0.0354343096061620700 |
1971-04-01 | 0.0265030179236508800 |
1971-05-01 | 0.0110702712519708640 |
1971-06-01 | -0.0012445994132774878 |
1971-07-01 | -0.0055429433101672920 |
1971-08-01 | -0.0108889854882471640 |
1971-09-01 | -0.0178166766154883200 |
1971-10-01 | -0.0206766710177231400 |
1971-11-01 | -0.0065827266630316240 |
1971-12-01 | 0.0212164580047653200 |
1972-01-01 | 0.0382191463570924700 |
1972-02-01 | 0.0402676432185407540 |
1972-03-01 | 0.0432012076892678300 |
1972-04-01 | 0.0339086964343243560 |
1972-05-01 | 0.0239434094272418300 |
1972-06-01 | 0.0154937536451277100 |
1972-07-01 | 0.0008103570353838047 |
1972-08-01 | -0.0088933243506196600 |
1972-09-01 | -0.0180351772162972960 |
1972-10-01 | -0.0214323470233118950 |
1972-11-01 | -0.0393313350316477700 |
1972-12-01 | -0.0405858790273576560 |
1973-01-01 | -0.0439051467117179900 |
1973-02-01 | -0.0543681609071558700 |
1973-03-01 | -0.0699271623535803300 |
1973-04-01 | -0.0877055642702493000 |
1973-05-01 | -0.0957123061606330900 |
1973-06-01 | -0.1134141378967682300 |
1973-07-01 | -0.1361496760108876000 |
1973-08-01 | -0.1662021637436742500 |
1973-09-01 | -0.1704376509113894000 |
1973-10-01 | -0.1858244774201307000 |
1973-11-01 | -0.1821439965922589400 |
1973-12-01 | -0.1840337361681541000 |
1974-01-01 | -0.1653044960058468500 |
1974-02-01 | -0.1361753263073939800 |
1974-03-01 | -0.1063355484382198800 |
1974-04-01 | -0.0769375578949660400 |
1974-05-01 | -0.0473994226110344500 |
1974-06-01 | -0.0284764795167598900 |
1974-07-01 | -0.0087481497469626290 |
1974-08-01 | 0.0162302813478921800 |
1974-09-01 | 0.0471432668330539600 |
1974-10-01 | 0.0860459223776579400 |
1974-11-01 | 0.1099460121134393200 |
1974-12-01 | 0.1392575419952002700 |
1975-01-01 | 0.1341422752170038400 |
1975-02-01 | 0.1194712510419917400 |
1975-03-01 | 0.1040003047636240300 |
1975-04-01 | 0.0746141491644998900 |
1975-05-01 | 0.0467334303408293400 |
1975-06-01 | 0.0028383756782718915 |
1975-07-01 | -0.0187258776952078130 |
1975-08-01 | -0.0254927894342264270 |
1975-09-01 | -0.0353633209104423700 |
1975-10-01 | -0.0336675705267242700 |
1975-11-01 | -0.0361230082155376900 |
1975-12-01 | -0.0348960617901104500 |
1976-01-01 | -0.0232357419155113970 |
1976-02-01 | -0.0226971522604254700 |
1976-03-01 | -0.0264163064637439400 |
1976-04-01 | -0.0234424160179110730 |
1976-05-01 | -0.0264789222065097800 |
1976-06-01 | -0.0290407078906216800 |
1976-07-01 | -0.0225009011996812230 |
1976-08-01 | -0.0193787619021241340 |
1976-09-01 | -0.0138696406965312470 |
1976-10-01 | -0.0227111438256270560 |
1976-11-01 | -0.0251907028491191200 |
1976-12-01 | -0.0335688479186212750 |
1977-01-01 | -0.0442758006643259600 |
1977-02-01 | -0.0289887268227131570 |
1977-03-01 | -0.0161318451622329500 |
1977-04-01 | 0.0047733645842456760 |
1977-05-01 | 0.0209972238122013780 |
1977-06-01 | 0.0273180370667692200 |
1977-07-01 | 0.0339271958988454700 |
1977-08-01 | 0.0296902786355678450 |
1977-09-01 | 0.0277372067472693370 |
1977-10-01 | 0.0210553663160209760 |
1977-11-01 | 0.0200659348861780830 |
1977-12-01 | 0.0280248217687577000 |
1978-01-01 | 0.0406491840540775250 |
1978-02-01 | 0.0636810647037850800 |
1978-03-01 | 0.0848511327579658100 |
1978-04-01 | 0.0808396334519925200 |
1978-05-01 | 0.0610401808054535800 |
1978-06-01 | 0.0460727895205615900 |
1978-07-01 | 0.0196005679413404770 |
1978-08-01 | -0.0008676264528716793 |
1978-09-01 | -0.0165539536056481250 |
1978-10-01 | -0.0341119354046652560 |
1978-11-01 | -0.0533361648460162800 |
1978-12-01 | -0.0731268461925637700 |
1979-01-01 | -0.0985007385126173000 |
1979-02-01 | -0.1068228936936102800 |
1979-03-01 | -0.1208643301021863300 |
1979-04-01 | -0.1356186070898882000 |
1979-05-01 | -0.1224807466055626800 |
1979-06-01 | -0.1116448737971532700 |
1979-07-01 | -0.1035081391077878300 |
1979-08-01 | -0.0971853632511987000 |
1979-09-01 | -0.1042258465824263000 |
1979-10-01 | -0.1180589042975862700 |
1979-11-01 | -0.1248287928711802500 |
1979-12-01 | -0.1269398769504691800 |
1980-01-01 | -0.1220819474821860800 |
1980-02-01 | -0.1142517099418751400 |
1980-03-01 | -0.1024959841861430400 |
1980-04-01 | -0.0912551389583252200 |
1980-05-01 | -0.0729088753412586400 |
1980-06-01 | -0.0531569209855395560 |
1980-07-01 | -0.0529486005932377600 |
1980-08-01 | -0.0720975413119247800 |
1980-09-01 | -0.0839385097865509900 |
1980-10-01 | -0.0836634320534654500 |
1980-11-01 | -0.0703331324915885400 |
1980-12-01 | -0.0547285765949069000 |
1981-01-01 | -0.0429473636082659750 |
1981-02-01 | -0.0420394845909002100 |
1981-03-01 | -0.0326582078147358800 |
1981-04-01 | -0.0365864470754799360 |
1981-05-01 | -0.0318395336635605400 |
1981-06-01 | -0.0260743599288357700 |
1981-07-01 | -0.0153595444546055370 |
1981-08-01 | -0.0083115338553170460 |
1981-09-01 | -0.0085716770015578130 |
1981-10-01 | 0.0045523843400612130 |
1981-11-01 | 0.0113797569280546220 |
1981-12-01 | 0.0030815237626297984 |
1982-01-01 | -0.0085096964352212050 |
1982-02-01 | -0.0039036949892741826 |
1982-03-01 | -0.0136507538625504770 |
1982-04-01 | -0.0177792644833947540 |
1982-05-01 | -0.0195818503367626100 |
1982-06-01 | -0.0139026724031439810 |
1982-07-01 | 0.0105388253934890620 |
1982-08-01 | 0.0199095023911966300 |
1982-09-01 | 0.0315977219309544300 |
1982-10-01 | 0.0308782890100666350 |
1982-11-01 | 0.0260054858039702740 |
1982-12-01 | 0.0118079289268432990 |
1983-01-01 | -0.0030181228822868254 |
1983-02-01 | -0.0212052889763593640 |
1983-03-01 | -0.0154997811048155130 |
1983-04-01 | -0.0175255187895733100 |
1983-05-01 | -0.0206576577810365800 |
1983-06-01 | -0.0192195356119653530 |
1983-07-01 | -0.0084741242111606480 |
1983-08-01 | -0.0041371567307188390 |
1983-09-01 | 0.0103717518512779550 |
1983-10-01 | 0.0144284508719548790 |
1983-11-01 | 0.0228042981186031940 |
1983-12-01 | 0.0423561962746008060 |
1984-01-01 | 0.0659055974906164600 |
1984-02-01 | 0.0819663649326468300 |
1984-03-01 | 0.0985860472820716700 |
1984-04-01 | 0.1168131006348113000 |
1984-05-01 | 0.1170440537552707400 |
1984-06-01 | 0.1132047178050988300 |
1984-07-01 | 0.1059607629728474600 |
1984-08-01 | 0.1057305910492705200 |
1984-09-01 | 0.1041125439035423100 |
1984-10-01 | 0.0901730226713496800 |
1984-11-01 | 0.0951325808219280000 |
1984-12-01 | 0.0875850341659363800 |
1985-01-01 | 0.0832940755676820000 |
1985-02-01 | 0.0788193864501588200 |
1985-03-01 | 0.0690010567446229800 |
1985-04-01 | 0.0728697576168077800 |
1985-05-01 | 0.0817225857284558400 |
1985-06-01 | 0.0890962463607270900 |
1985-07-01 | 0.0759648928451777500 |
1985-08-01 | 0.0653139821807662100 |
1985-09-01 | 0.0562979767761167100 |
1985-10-01 | 0.0368450667553114900 |
1985-11-01 | 0.0307650983497841800 |
1985-12-01 | 0.0360223334579766100 |
1986-01-01 | 0.0188332434222599180 |
1986-02-01 | 0.0156738693825139860 |
1986-03-01 | 0.0126027049322945100 |
1986-04-01 | -0.0076143282482003100 |
1986-05-01 | -0.0270926073574313950 |
1986-06-01 | -0.0474557928724664850 |
1986-07-01 | -0.0556385168767261400 |
1986-08-01 | -0.0679910374003356300 |
1986-09-01 | -0.0742792567557544500 |
1986-10-01 | -0.0780490121883002400 |
1986-11-01 | -0.0816585638864880400 |
1986-12-01 | -0.0891770502496837500 |
1987-01-01 | -0.1080015581205977400 |
1987-02-01 | -0.0976829460280153500 |
1987-03-01 | -0.0947055103291363500 |
1987-04-01 | -0.0879223081919022200 |
1987-05-01 | -0.0784260942147193000 |
1987-06-01 | -0.0808231660953654800 |
1987-07-01 | -0.0724623518101864300 |
1987-08-01 | -0.0606608170923088750 |
1987-09-01 | -0.0622123184184846940 |
1987-10-01 | -0.0482988790384848800 |
1987-11-01 | -0.0406217379994385500 |
1987-12-01 | -0.0369627896014628400 |
1988-01-01 | -0.0315718419300411000 |
1988-02-01 | -0.0270071086018499950 |
1988-03-01 | -0.0293484275374990600 |
1988-04-01 | -0.0261742802555023840 |
1988-05-01 | -0.0232279235526230400 |
1988-06-01 | -0.0214771380048215180 |
1988-07-01 | -0.0160482224621007960 |
1988-08-01 | -0.0104072504987701430 |
1988-09-01 | -0.0102542203841656310 |
1988-10-01 | 0.0019810946838859683 |
1988-11-01 | 0.0001038376994365846 |
1988-12-01 | 0.0063478777723755240 |
1989-01-01 | 0.0123813025436483210 |
1989-02-01 | 0.0111503663075182440 |
1989-03-01 | 0.0119247759721452990 |
1989-04-01 | 0.0161120272171209330 |
1989-05-01 | 0.0217328256073463900 |
1989-06-01 | 0.0354701348639345150 |
1989-07-01 | 0.0326751759902861500 |
1989-08-01 | 0.0170098912693688250 |
1989-09-01 | 0.0026858698576000290 |
1989-10-01 | -0.0187590905265701230 |
1989-11-01 | -0.0380154423205517000 |
1989-12-01 | -0.0519915336163537600 |
1990-01-01 | -0.0674247730638997400 |
1990-02-01 | -0.0945557968992395400 |
1990-03-01 | -0.0977678728632536700 |
1990-04-01 | -0.1088029060257463800 |
1990-05-01 | -0.1171937400579054400 |
1990-06-01 | -0.1329099782085374500 |
1990-07-01 | -0.1487082851801078000 |
1990-08-01 | -0.1635119990487314000 |
1990-09-01 | -0.1560418826413851300 |
1990-10-01 | -0.1481582772520577400 |
1990-11-01 | -0.1250856334987168000 |
1990-12-01 | -0.1106035741364295700 |
1991-01-01 | -0.0989925125531212600 |
1991-02-01 | -0.0793271725098273500 |
1991-03-01 | -0.0832779565246949700 |
1991-04-01 | -0.1041587418811644200 |
1991-05-01 | -0.1187845333855349000 |
1991-06-01 | -0.1271029019713363600 |
1991-07-01 | -0.1342107819034482000 |
1991-08-01 | -0.1338476534607602500 |
1991-09-01 | -0.1232509608435862100 |
1991-10-01 | -0.1114516827273039500 |
1991-11-01 | -0.0934751342946504000 |
1991-12-01 | -0.0769339916784335500 |
1992-01-01 | -0.0709593374306406000 |
1992-02-01 | -0.0782087844775940100 |
1992-03-01 | -0.0815684100716284700 |
1992-04-01 | -0.0778285387564601300 |
1992-05-01 | -0.0813770393020209500 |
1992-06-01 | -0.0893452676120121000 |
1992-07-01 | -0.0854216850272882100 |
1992-08-01 | -0.0775039073479932000 |
1992-09-01 | -0.0803497753610146200 |
1992-10-01 | -0.0852590424614577400 |
1992-11-01 | -0.0910087539350291500 |
1992-12-01 | -0.0940254251214376500 |
1993-01-01 | -0.1147877610522415200 |
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