Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle: Leading Subcomponent of GDP
Title | Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle: Leading Subcomponent of GDP |
---|---|
Series ID | BBKMCLE |
Source | Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center |
Release | Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes |
Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
Frequency | Monthly |
Units | Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period |
Date Range | 1960-01-01 to 2024-11-01 |
Last Updated | 2024-12-23 9:23 AM CST |
Notes | The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth. The leading subcomponent of the cycle is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units. The cycle component is the sum of the leading and lagging subcomponents. For more details, see also: Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422 Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1 |
DATE | VALUE |
---|---|
1960-01-01 | 0.03013479398663575600 |
1960-02-01 | 0.03992190923780141600 |
1960-03-01 | 0.04623491466235344500 |
1960-04-01 | 0.04908659354268305000 |
1960-05-01 | 0.04312817341039271000 |
1960-06-01 | 0.03915612071826787000 |
1960-07-01 | 0.03645599482166848000 |
1960-08-01 | 0.03233785545020218000 |
1960-09-01 | 0.02672985243304269400 |
1960-10-01 | 0.02400188564334530500 |
1960-11-01 | 0.02170376251393079500 |
1960-12-01 | 0.01820497011177274500 |
1961-01-01 | 0.01793113713870059600 |
1961-02-01 | 0.01137289660624777600 |
1961-03-01 | 0.00610015962815036160 |
1961-04-01 | -0.00042806529707431640 |
1961-05-01 | -0.00368703443639046330 |
1961-06-01 | -0.00587109221398501700 |
1961-07-01 | -0.00996009923343039500 |
1961-08-01 | -0.00685451219565941700 |
1961-09-01 | -0.00201582426475867660 |
1961-10-01 | 0.00614033834682508800 |
1961-11-01 | 0.01003183536190042000 |
1961-12-01 | 0.01213225293743482600 |
1962-01-01 | 0.01479909935062642500 |
1962-02-01 | 0.01662545975366258200 |
1962-03-01 | 0.01966066820183091200 |
1962-04-01 | 0.02257272729838635800 |
1962-05-01 | 0.02191890214890973200 |
1962-06-01 | 0.01990309774005763800 |
1962-07-01 | 0.01863319584395518000 |
1962-08-01 | 0.01613824490778036800 |
1962-09-01 | 0.01340102823726657500 |
1962-10-01 | 0.01291211008336388000 |
1962-11-01 | 0.01337590751651955400 |
1962-12-01 | 0.01043470290860717400 |
1963-01-01 | 0.00779945073161125000 |
1963-02-01 | 0.00633326811803315100 |
1963-03-01 | 0.00886064937413338400 |
1963-04-01 | 0.01179686213969130900 |
1963-05-01 | 0.01416920993616680800 |
1963-06-01 | 0.01589302113945985700 |
1963-07-01 | 0.01828251576055742200 |
1963-08-01 | 0.01925442593624443000 |
1963-09-01 | 0.02128371971486489300 |
1963-10-01 | 0.02076572151128537600 |
1963-11-01 | 0.02069740658772106000 |
1963-12-01 | 0.02285561376865940400 |
1964-01-01 | 0.02465304906405380000 |
1964-02-01 | 0.02742904970576949000 |
1964-03-01 | 0.02606146390963236000 |
1964-04-01 | 0.02568541697473613800 |
1964-05-01 | 0.02463177766656741600 |
1964-06-01 | 0.02310445359366818500 |
1964-07-01 | 0.02191034532964118700 |
1964-08-01 | 0.02089439419751284700 |
1964-09-01 | 0.01834012190172730500 |
1964-10-01 | 0.01674870110458787400 |
1964-11-01 | 0.01721360441426698600 |
1964-12-01 | 0.02285899848893194000 |
1965-01-01 | 0.02668343577375002800 |
1965-02-01 | 0.03331292855510062400 |
1965-03-01 | 0.03754531988198612000 |
1965-04-01 | 0.03972825598025719000 |
1965-05-01 | 0.04522113721945403000 |
1965-06-01 | 0.04653772044936123000 |
1965-07-01 | 0.05123935700719679000 |
1965-08-01 | 0.05434911628752646400 |
1965-09-01 | 0.05416962930583609000 |
1965-10-01 | 0.05034266472399696000 |
1965-11-01 | 0.04230167615897975000 |
1965-12-01 | 0.03570726315066041000 |
1966-01-01 | 0.02935504717349838000 |
1966-02-01 | 0.02577234292721380200 |
1966-03-01 | 0.02618731349815423300 |
1966-04-01 | 0.02611827123660986200 |
1966-05-01 | 0.02765374288578457300 |
1966-06-01 | 0.03115465714837274000 |
1966-07-01 | 0.03368695871758060000 |
1966-08-01 | 0.03527218382913439000 |
1966-09-01 | 0.04035152792288801000 |
1966-10-01 | 0.04722940540374872400 |
1966-11-01 | 0.05543786713149552500 |
1966-12-01 | 0.05793705779782374500 |
1967-01-01 | 0.06122869130726988000 |
1967-02-01 | 0.05584117575956828000 |
1967-03-01 | 0.05333742559129165000 |
1967-04-01 | 0.05098442145041589000 |
1967-05-01 | 0.04589994961721896600 |
1967-06-01 | 0.04009931507573255600 |
1967-07-01 | 0.03622004453363196000 |
1967-08-01 | 0.03201049887204163000 |
1967-09-01 | 0.02896669754805497600 |
1967-10-01 | 0.02615041988162707500 |
1967-11-01 | 0.02752627062872432000 |
1967-12-01 | 0.03163035421857021000 |
1968-01-01 | 0.03690042960428159000 |
1968-02-01 | 0.04142837826185407500 |
1968-03-01 | 0.04120712722516266000 |
1968-04-01 | 0.03846679491811045400 |
1968-05-01 | 0.03677866678598846000 |
1968-06-01 | 0.03273503057798435000 |
1968-07-01 | 0.02883216407008281000 |
1968-08-01 | 0.02579999406548396500 |
1968-09-01 | 0.01979880115942496800 |
1968-10-01 | 0.01586795405205818400 |
1968-11-01 | 0.01668605454666225000 |
1968-12-01 | 0.01716838754783575600 |
1969-01-01 | 0.01898978163231351000 |
1969-02-01 | 0.01592347615737228000 |
1969-03-01 | 0.01239318819701449400 |
1969-04-01 | 0.01030406387260938600 |
1969-05-01 | 0.00926444367555087000 |
1969-06-01 | 0.00679675680172315300 |
1969-07-01 | 0.00487978365377599550 |
1969-08-01 | 0.00530806641650391300 |
1969-09-01 | 0.00439883470756247100 |
1969-10-01 | 0.00490416803502503450 |
1969-11-01 | 0.00760767863096668650 |
1969-12-01 | 0.00977261272628077700 |
1970-01-01 | 0.01054193566096263000 |
1970-02-01 | 0.01443113648353336500 |
1970-03-01 | 0.01604463475565183500 |
1970-04-01 | 0.01661437006722714700 |
1970-05-01 | 0.01619753995378439600 |
1970-06-01 | 0.01823878689309650300 |
1970-07-01 | 0.02083206064497023000 |
1970-08-01 | 0.01998386313793381800 |
1970-09-01 | 0.01635297265707327000 |
1970-10-01 | 0.01259354416588365600 |
1970-11-01 | 0.01153832813246692700 |
1970-12-01 | 0.01266961558974752900 |
1971-01-01 | 0.01370399207999242000 |
1971-02-01 | 0.01104513829964292600 |
1971-03-01 | 0.00994412573182423000 |
1971-04-01 | 0.00763623304309938700 |
1971-05-01 | 0.00366082907167863570 |
1971-06-01 | 0.00050549072878498600 |
1971-07-01 | -0.00047725783304612766 |
1971-08-01 | -0.00188649357820089550 |
1971-09-01 | -0.00378490147479214770 |
1971-10-01 | -0.00453367454387557100 |
1971-11-01 | -0.00104066976301976820 |
1971-12-01 | 0.00597135270500070000 |
1972-01-01 | 0.01017365936025456000 |
1972-02-01 | 0.01057622258995477400 |
1972-03-01 | 0.01112448233429796200 |
1972-04-01 | 0.00858451596057392200 |
1972-05-01 | 0.00595921785881783100 |
1972-06-01 | 0.00371816024312037660 |
1972-07-01 | -0.00014122791710089250 |
1972-08-01 | -0.00293865793808331400 |
1972-09-01 | -0.00550895972364970900 |
1972-10-01 | -0.00666226815119735200 |
1972-11-01 | -0.01162154021012023500 |
1972-12-01 | -0.01223829679024365000 |
1973-01-01 | -0.01334750259633083300 |
1973-02-01 | -0.01621252930486480300 |
1973-03-01 | -0.02025008964258269800 |
1973-04-01 | -0.02485366612881060000 |
1973-05-01 | -0.02698975040062980700 |
1973-06-01 | -0.03159585435639787000 |
1973-07-01 | -0.03753204826179462000 |
1973-08-01 | -0.04537618219990551000 |
1973-09-01 | -0.04662422017070972500 |
1973-10-01 | -0.05071709859876384000 |
1973-11-01 | -0.04962342373989619000 |
1973-12-01 | -0.04978217864702570000 |
1974-01-01 | -0.04466381988337372000 |
1974-02-01 | -0.03682223873119861000 |
1974-03-01 | -0.02878112374556734300 |
1974-04-01 | -0.02080523982510025500 |
1974-05-01 | -0.01288536404312615200 |
1974-06-01 | -0.00761589758662930200 |
1974-07-01 | -0.00223700204828347800 |
1974-08-01 | 0.00447282923009884900 |
1974-09-01 | 0.01264218537267259800 |
1974-10-01 | 0.02292582837218643000 |
1974-11-01 | 0.02943015272856589600 |
1974-12-01 | 0.03720704931399985000 |
1975-01-01 | 0.03570077046429314000 |
1975-02-01 | 0.03181715482131506000 |
1975-03-01 | 0.02761262849137673500 |
1975-04-01 | 0.01958260799465357700 |
1975-05-01 | 0.01211968551946430300 |
1975-06-01 | 0.00046960336127398845 |
1975-07-01 | -0.00537900256222230860 |
1975-08-01 | -0.00725616777451727400 |
1975-09-01 | -0.00989509561604321600 |
1975-10-01 | -0.00945580848573361800 |
1975-11-01 | -0.01011437469545214800 |
1975-12-01 | -0.00989566134600301400 |
1976-01-01 | -0.00686826165885871550 |
1976-02-01 | -0.00653695871199227800 |
1976-03-01 | -0.00727373810303760540 |
1976-04-01 | -0.00632675295724269000 |
1976-05-01 | -0.00697020008076959200 |
1976-06-01 | -0.00752539141702979100 |
1976-07-01 | -0.00574096808241094000 |
1976-08-01 | -0.00486511021433699000 |
1976-09-01 | -0.00341783975173430570 |
1976-10-01 | -0.00571588486134730800 |
1976-11-01 | -0.00653104615417170700 |
1976-12-01 | -0.00878877894310826000 |
1977-01-01 | -0.01149701465360923400 |
1977-02-01 | -0.00775341007149644900 |
1977-03-01 | -0.00444060491157703900 |
1977-04-01 | 0.00106202947157953190 |
1977-05-01 | 0.00535718854638669100 |
1977-06-01 | 0.00709950759751509000 |
1977-07-01 | 0.00900935287473278300 |
1977-08-01 | 0.00811555981001810800 |
1977-09-01 | 0.00781105877707049660 |
1977-10-01 | 0.00619518871982711500 |
1977-11-01 | 0.00591685533922071700 |
1977-12-01 | 0.00789334891752736100 |
1978-01-01 | 0.01113402706277912300 |
1978-02-01 | 0.01655958958518028600 |
1978-03-01 | 0.02162767392678703600 |
1978-04-01 | 0.02028383937536118000 |
1978-05-01 | 0.01512973284252142800 |
1978-06-01 | 0.01115262887847270700 |
1978-07-01 | 0.00426401660599273900 |
1978-08-01 | -0.00123735217618503530 |
1978-09-01 | -0.00544497365713728700 |
1978-10-01 | -0.01019297658148506000 |
1978-11-01 | -0.01533180139595188300 |
1978-12-01 | -0.02058176268966096000 |
1979-01-01 | -0.02723251949093271500 |
1979-02-01 | -0.02964296214940661700 |
1979-03-01 | -0.03353628012857916000 |
1979-04-01 | -0.03733086968324715600 |
1979-05-01 | -0.03430317160510465000 |
1979-06-01 | -0.03155176104914257700 |
1979-07-01 | -0.02953221359755560700 |
1979-08-01 | -0.02795225658367087000 |
1979-09-01 | -0.02986199353632751400 |
1979-10-01 | -0.03352869995661920000 |
1979-11-01 | -0.03525893680109458400 |
1979-12-01 | -0.03578666836221465500 |
1980-01-01 | -0.03445511268101156000 |
1980-02-01 | -0.03214767560908865000 |
1980-03-01 | -0.02870845387537238800 |
1980-04-01 | -0.02544711114135277000 |
1980-05-01 | -0.02051540363577686300 |
1980-06-01 | -0.01541658958861894100 |
1980-07-01 | -0.01546015137193521200 |
1980-08-01 | -0.02063079468917999200 |
1980-09-01 | -0.02395352723102168300 |
1980-10-01 | -0.02396452348557090400 |
1980-11-01 | -0.02044031206181414600 |
1980-12-01 | -0.01624770120744895400 |
1981-01-01 | -0.01296175560355122000 |
1981-02-01 | -0.01241951925774260900 |
1981-03-01 | -0.00972432233455466700 |
1981-04-01 | -0.01051532203025928300 |
1981-05-01 | -0.00911968867891319900 |
1981-06-01 | -0.00751493250276413900 |
1981-07-01 | -0.00461584237274933200 |
1981-08-01 | -0.00249208713209379950 |
1981-09-01 | -0.00220214140838881400 |
1981-10-01 | 0.00154688597712610990 |
1981-11-01 | 0.00359802584057866170 |
1981-12-01 | 0.00166923310432686380 |
1982-01-01 | -0.00125967911977967590 |
1982-02-01 | -0.00039305403742647100 |
1982-03-01 | -0.00285682915161999700 |
1982-04-01 | -0.00396721983063956500 |
1982-05-01 | -0.00450383474149502100 |
1982-06-01 | -0.00297024960704426020 |
1982-07-01 | 0.00341981168978301850 |
1982-08-01 | 0.00594923189283514400 |
1982-09-01 | 0.00895366862954157100 |
1982-10-01 | 0.00877026612321293300 |
1982-11-01 | 0.00732320901096053200 |
1982-12-01 | 0.00342165598443465500 |
1983-01-01 | -0.00076535232140127080 |
1983-02-01 | -0.00551429158848720600 |
1983-03-01 | -0.00425896762000462700 |
1983-04-01 | -0.00486942415998053800 |
1983-05-01 | -0.00570855099515069800 |
1983-06-01 | -0.00532660083142489700 |
1983-07-01 | -0.00241916242577334270 |
1983-08-01 | -0.00116808215166020600 |
1983-09-01 | 0.00265371656988449900 |
1983-10-01 | 0.00388585122781608800 |
1983-11-01 | 0.00624413618042968100 |
1983-12-01 | 0.01148579484670530000 |
1984-01-01 | 0.01776896679270002000 |
1984-02-01 | 0.02219410287721354500 |
1984-03-01 | 0.02676234050166247800 |
1984-04-01 | 0.03163622865093973500 |
1984-05-01 | 0.03182986440495578000 |
1984-06-01 | 0.03097054257831515300 |
1984-07-01 | 0.02922857594875934000 |
1984-08-01 | 0.02923714196762574000 |
1984-09-01 | 0.02885374664913006500 |
1984-10-01 | 0.02517354810959343500 |
1984-11-01 | 0.02639053084235203000 |
1984-12-01 | 0.02440349856402193000 |
1985-01-01 | 0.02321149443402627000 |
1985-02-01 | 0.02190622053498596600 |
1985-03-01 | 0.01919440595174228300 |
1985-04-01 | 0.02012471763332615200 |
1985-05-01 | 0.02226671288265713000 |
1985-06-01 | 0.02411526846032075000 |
1985-07-01 | 0.02053827393767266400 |
1985-08-01 | 0.01759293142359537700 |
1985-09-01 | 0.01518930805736837300 |
1985-10-01 | 0.01007978367922899400 |
1985-11-01 | 0.00832790208627936900 |
1985-12-01 | 0.00955341581443850200 |
1986-01-01 | 0.00491880169248912000 |
1986-02-01 | 0.00407474450565190660 |
1986-03-01 | 0.00309457841453876200 |
1986-04-01 | -0.00243096906402880550 |
1986-05-01 | -0.00766601972644393400 |
1986-06-01 | -0.01317350752714693500 |
1986-07-01 | -0.01552553179937362500 |
1986-08-01 | -0.01888027411267044500 |
1986-09-01 | -0.02067663414199856500 |
1986-10-01 | -0.02169231574567042500 |
1986-11-01 | -0.02276626840165738700 |
1986-12-01 | -0.02488569816289580200 |
1987-01-01 | -0.02973334711956172000 |
1987-02-01 | -0.02728565731736362600 |
1987-03-01 | -0.02643846678032823300 |
1987-04-01 | -0.02467977566272296000 |
1987-05-01 | -0.02221406202962794600 |
1987-06-01 | -0.02282716204648635800 |
1987-07-01 | -0.02064902336910335000 |
1987-08-01 | -0.01752408358591811000 |
1987-09-01 | -0.01792239988258047000 |
1987-10-01 | -0.01424762673736099500 |
1987-11-01 | -0.01208857330193684000 |
1987-12-01 | -0.01100179986920425500 |
1988-01-01 | -0.00942548237196470800 |
1988-02-01 | -0.00821404689042706800 |
1988-03-01 | -0.00875239354872852300 |
1988-04-01 | -0.00783780788870840800 |
1988-05-01 | -0.00699331950037087500 |
1988-06-01 | -0.00651260050364330200 |
1988-07-01 | -0.00502060195966190200 |
1988-08-01 | -0.00354795719258350340 |
1988-09-01 | -0.00350913754968283560 |
1988-10-01 | -0.00036514089909212114 |
1988-11-01 | -0.00085798251645217800 |
1988-12-01 | 0.00071506315594367480 |
1989-01-01 | 0.00231254226618939640 |
1989-02-01 | 0.00206614321156228100 |
1989-03-01 | 0.00221621110671233350 |
1989-04-01 | 0.00327015347240698770 |
1989-05-01 | 0.00479818062528874350 |
1989-06-01 | 0.00837518051835161600 |
1989-07-01 | 0.00764542004525574900 |
1989-08-01 | 0.00338483798685191950 |
1989-09-01 | -0.00036450936939782434 |
1989-10-01 | -0.00609833304217964000 |
1989-11-01 | -0.01138823400023741700 |
1989-12-01 | -0.01527973950585351800 |
1990-01-01 | -0.01956288342567115400 |
1990-02-01 | -0.02688935444913865000 |
1990-03-01 | -0.02790090947858501700 |
1990-04-01 | -0.03085195083596087300 |
1990-05-01 | -0.03322877260128961000 |
1990-06-01 | -0.03742729413466026000 |
1990-07-01 | -0.04156972734189709500 |
1990-08-01 | -0.04547479913808940000 |
1990-09-01 | -0.04347962384475751600 |
1990-10-01 | -0.04138820581087944400 |
1990-11-01 | -0.03530997735097611600 |
1990-12-01 | -0.03155267804251895000 |
1991-01-01 | -0.02849507879764070400 |
1991-02-01 | -0.02339089398739726800 |
1991-03-01 | -0.02442144967845135500 |
1991-04-01 | -0.02995903193907295200 |
1991-05-01 | -0.03375880358315548000 |
1991-06-01 | -0.03588446566907987000 |
1991-07-01 | -0.03773456781983973400 |
1991-08-01 | -0.03760688198850254500 |
1991-09-01 | -0.03487897185961324000 |
1991-10-01 | -0.03176228377890432500 |
1991-11-01 | -0.02705580237544590700 |
1991-12-01 | -0.02269885108818977700 |
1992-01-01 | -0.02120289494584373700 |
1992-02-01 | -0.02307552899959050200 |
1992-03-01 | -0.02392579288167921000 |
1992-04-01 | -0.02287865057989309600 |
1992-05-01 | -0.02371233840856455300 |
1992-06-01 | -0.02573367142603903400 |
1992-07-01 | -0.02465714623687278000 |
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