Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle: Lagging Subcomponent of GDP
Title | Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle: Lagging Subcomponent of GDP |
---|---|
Series ID | BBKMCLA |
Source | Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center |
Release | Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes |
Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
Frequency | Monthly |
Units | Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period |
Date Range | 1960-01-01 to 2024-09-01 |
Last Updated | 2024-11-04 7:31 AM CST |
Notes | The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth. The lagging subcomponent of the cycle expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units. The cycle component is the sum of the leading and lagging subcomponents. For more details, see also: ave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422 Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1 |
DATE | VALUE |
---|---|
1960-01-01 | 4.5593179355101780000 |
1960-02-01 | -2.0605138819265907000 |
1960-03-01 | -5.9999796038741930000 |
1960-04-01 | -1.9898046554540443000 |
1960-05-01 | -4.1653107928480910000 |
1960-06-01 | -4.7721121044460760000 |
1960-07-01 | -3.4960921711842870000 |
1960-08-01 | -3.3110680077049160000 |
1960-09-01 | -3.8621299174927140000 |
1960-10-01 | -4.0784128634540160000 |
1960-11-01 | -7.2584398945713300000 |
1960-12-01 | -7.7597473685740470000 |
1961-01-01 | -2.4197189076847505000 |
1961-02-01 | -1.4534415216959553000 |
1961-03-01 | 2.3312717466551030000 |
1961-04-01 | 3.8965177509235023000 |
1961-05-01 | 4.4735335243309660000 |
1961-06-01 | 4.7639837380580550000 |
1961-07-01 | 3.5002837928585230000 |
1961-08-01 | 4.6626869970046510000 |
1961-09-01 | 1.5343468373131175000 |
1961-10-01 | 5.4475312198049940000 |
1961-11-01 | 5.1982634165708760000 |
1961-12-01 | 2.8523668125669850000 |
1962-01-01 | -0.8464173624378280000 |
1962-02-01 | 4.4178123699744860000 |
1962-03-01 | 1.8959947842148848000 |
1962-04-01 | 0.6598595040916788000 |
1962-05-01 | -0.5028869697471844000 |
1962-06-01 | -1.7567272663674450000 |
1962-07-01 | 0.8683753238743590000 |
1962-08-01 | 0.0120641784004788700 |
1962-09-01 | 1.3700402712435025000 |
1962-10-01 | -1.0632464463094806000 |
1962-11-01 | 0.5465010113359570000 |
1962-12-01 | -0.9990505897620673000 |
1963-01-01 | 0.2450956540091811200 |
1963-02-01 | 3.4944962193756886000 |
1963-03-01 | 2.1015222608230120000 |
1963-04-01 | 3.3974314936456986000 |
1963-05-01 | 2.4130219795012320000 |
1963-06-01 | 1.3109943564458957000 |
1963-07-01 | 0.6856215984980544000 |
1963-08-01 | 0.4337895204648597500 |
1963-09-01 | 1.7691305905359123000 |
1963-10-01 | 2.3463335490595430000 |
1963-11-01 | 0.2082138524173402500 |
1963-12-01 | 1.0759602479542578000 |
1964-01-01 | 2.1549286247020367000 |
1964-02-01 | 2.9419003789952040000 |
1964-03-01 | 1.2756277532367821000 |
1964-04-01 | 3.0434807005437340000 |
1964-05-01 | 1.9714079673012719000 |
1964-06-01 | 0.4956317326682081500 |
1964-07-01 | 2.8628270973242147000 |
1964-08-01 | 0.6259154805311421000 |
1964-09-01 | 0.9031562447728599000 |
1964-10-01 | -2.1008041694744146000 |
1964-11-01 | 5.7024227960113390000 |
1964-12-01 | 4.7670605030152790000 |
1965-01-01 | 2.3615607866566464000 |
1965-02-01 | 2.7499724823679250000 |
1965-03-01 | 4.7111283967418640000 |
1965-04-01 | 1.5950347939901930000 |
1965-05-01 | 1.8366643308555872000 |
1965-06-01 | 1.4741478623387398000 |
1965-07-01 | 3.4169121965154420000 |
1965-08-01 | 1.2438654162108143000 |
1965-09-01 | 1.4337427196924937000 |
1965-10-01 | 3.9833203136347524000 |
1965-11-01 | 3.6804802446324000000 |
1965-12-01 | 4.3788315192534060000 |
1966-01-01 | 3.4235304122773620000 |
1966-02-01 | 3.7640511417748814000 |
1966-03-01 | 4.3313674652377530000 |
1966-04-01 | -0.3956634840134343000 |
1966-05-01 | -1.2953674987861374000 |
1966-06-01 | 0.3573368249736828500 |
1966-07-01 | 0.2100672843277544600 |
1966-08-01 | 0.3566664731113491400 |
1966-09-01 | 0.9194145876778951000 |
1966-10-01 | -0.5470449068625883000 |
1966-11-01 | -2.9896835074724080000 |
1966-12-01 | -2.2248749613332013000 |
1967-01-01 | -0.9622573288639781000 |
1967-02-01 | -4.0284019658869270000 |
1967-03-01 | -1.8238666207027265000 |
1967-04-01 | -0.9791492116179223000 |
1967-05-01 | -1.8600191799001960000 |
1967-06-01 | -0.0707068060011913800 |
1967-07-01 | -1.1944812153565298000 |
1967-08-01 | 2.9278268614192955000 |
1967-09-01 | 0.5113528193510053000 |
1967-10-01 | 0.1190844626360278000 |
1967-11-01 | 5.2309111778314500000 |
1967-12-01 | 3.9006633258008274000 |
1968-01-01 | -0.9022395795495621000 |
1968-02-01 | 1.0427480375477993000 |
1968-03-01 | 1.7981609816653430000 |
1968-04-01 | 0.0640844694917805200 |
1968-05-01 | 2.2582839785602946000 |
1968-06-01 | 0.8076203779924507000 |
1968-07-01 | 0.4423043361155105000 |
1968-08-01 | -1.3434600199804234000 |
1968-09-01 | 1.5614014452726912000 |
1968-10-01 | 1.7489216683418662000 |
1968-11-01 | 2.2061327235346555000 |
1968-12-01 | -0.5566318534138597000 |
1969-01-01 | 0.9533830711237191000 |
1969-02-01 | 1.1501621708332892000 |
1969-03-01 | 1.5956272870095787000 |
1969-04-01 | 0.1195547952135590600 |
1969-05-01 | -1.0846972443016720000 |
1969-06-01 | -0.2478997006659025800 |
1969-07-01 | -0.2882572074723122600 |
1969-08-01 | 0.4225509797079447500 |
1969-09-01 | -0.3656279738430097000 |
1969-10-01 | -1.1040346307818987000 |
1969-11-01 | -4.5270516472658695000 |
1969-12-01 | -3.0452197214268680000 |
1970-01-01 | -5.8886692906647250000 |
1970-02-01 | -2.6551025818570886000 |
1970-03-01 | -3.7294987242997686000 |
1970-04-01 | -3.2984885826404273000 |
1970-05-01 | -1.3661572127424917000 |
1970-06-01 | -1.3366689860649514000 |
1970-07-01 | -0.5764594478361224000 |
1970-08-01 | -2.7556317196955100000 |
1970-09-01 | -3.7693082596955850000 |
1970-10-01 | -6.7013603566533920000 |
1970-11-01 | -4.2612108796075425000 |
1970-12-01 | 5.9130868005565600000 |
1971-01-01 | 2.7536859501338860000 |
1971-02-01 | 0.6708276850766025000 |
1971-03-01 | 0.4240874369623643400 |
1971-04-01 | 1.3836937672100063000 |
1971-05-01 | 1.3754623150857626000 |
1971-06-01 | 1.5620864444322735000 |
1971-07-01 | -1.7601734619089455000 |
1971-08-01 | -0.2872561307652375000 |
1971-09-01 | 2.8737836179620170000 |
1971-10-01 | 1.0196674309689542000 |
1971-11-01 | 2.7365763782545980000 |
1971-12-01 | 4.1424578180162490000 |
1972-01-01 | 5.1211914461251010000 |
1972-02-01 | 2.5202140535534916000 |
1972-03-01 | 3.7671620970694053000 |
1972-04-01 | 2.6311822249371737000 |
1972-05-01 | 1.2916766630179393000 |
1972-06-01 | 1.3866020277277236000 |
1972-07-01 | -0.0004443522166449043 |
1972-08-01 | 4.6951999578085980000 |
1972-09-01 | 4.2600088292223770000 |
1972-10-01 | 5.1469880006258610000 |
1972-11-01 | 5.3107551708404666000 |
1972-12-01 | 5.0368540773682210000 |
1973-01-01 | 4.6693431061617280000 |
1973-02-01 | 4.4482275211978260000 |
1973-03-01 | 1.3085144000748665000 |
1973-04-01 | -0.7945665302743771000 |
1973-05-01 | 0.6710611967582706000 |
1973-06-01 | 0.2205088667709195000 |
1973-07-01 | 0.2466639118308483800 |
1973-08-01 | -1.8344229597442090000 |
1973-09-01 | 0.5634549670452894000 |
1973-10-01 | 3.0013336903566800000 |
1973-11-01 | 2.0106873740255313000 |
1973-12-01 | -2.7655834671151010000 |
1974-01-01 | -2.1893104131755114000 |
1974-02-01 | -1.9074363540197314000 |
1974-03-01 | -1.2657090651667110000 |
1974-04-01 | -2.3596219744353943000 |
1974-05-01 | 0.0701180139603904100 |
1974-06-01 | -2.3967558267321340000 |
1974-07-01 | -2.4201179819001903000 |
1974-08-01 | -4.1412392061821880000 |
1974-09-01 | -4.7324719254414720000 |
1974-10-01 | -6.3201063824114090000 |
1974-11-01 | -11.8693906272562280000 |
1974-12-01 | -14.7740159558771860000 |
1975-01-01 | -8.6135499111172450000 |
1975-02-01 | -9.3141995695708650000 |
1975-03-01 | -8.3054742229455250000 |
1975-04-01 | -0.7854952899484111000 |
1975-05-01 | -0.1399529896968298200 |
1975-06-01 | 1.5285754331018178000 |
1975-07-01 | 4.0176083813635660000 |
1975-08-01 | 3.6458629342492173000 |
1975-09-01 | 3.3864509156657134000 |
1975-10-01 | 1.5635517500340703000 |
1975-11-01 | 0.8860206804274189000 |
1975-12-01 | 4.0472617619006140000 |
1976-01-01 | 5.7868679416732280000 |
1976-02-01 | 3.6049081126963265000 |
1976-03-01 | 1.5967731417378401000 |
1976-04-01 | 1.3018112435947760000 |
1976-05-01 | 1.0848176009552840000 |
1976-06-01 | 1.1893082671813062000 |
1976-07-01 | 1.1334425537848685000 |
1976-08-01 | 0.5611134928898928000 |
1976-09-01 | 0.6926417100580837000 |
1976-10-01 | -0.4288890407985775000 |
1976-11-01 | 3.7072803246199277000 |
1976-12-01 | 4.5321065136750250000 |
1977-01-01 | -0.7932805154386847000 |
1977-02-01 | 5.5124047975786770000 |
1977-03-01 | 5.0528936498275145000 |
1977-04-01 | 3.1796046999678050000 |
1977-05-01 | 2.5210110763943288000 |
1977-06-01 | 2.5855277352020770000 |
1977-07-01 | 1.0715942814674324000 |
1977-08-01 | 0.9905653831153233000 |
1977-09-01 | 0.6046705835503917000 |
1977-10-01 | 0.8044735045429612000 |
1977-11-01 | 0.9719515565369783000 |
1977-12-01 | 0.7255823093301988000 |
1978-01-01 | -5.6012877320115620000 |
1978-02-01 | 3.7903788985261130000 |
1978-03-01 | 6.7168665911607580000 |
1978-04-01 | 7.6145245768165490000 |
1978-05-01 | 2.4201231378940036000 |
1978-06-01 | 2.7394010427376316000 |
1978-07-01 | -0.4195215523648433400 |
1978-08-01 | 1.9251528730433323000 |
1978-09-01 | 1.1152306145188065000 |
1978-10-01 | 2.5076344825154457000 |
1978-11-01 | 2.2590301820692993000 |
1978-12-01 | 0.8955455742305783000 |
1979-01-01 | -3.0413473301727962000 |
1979-02-01 | -0.2044087066608775700 |
1979-03-01 | 2.9429610794947430000 |
1979-04-01 | -5.0195601001970690000 |
1979-05-01 | 3.3493852550389605000 |
1979-06-01 | -0.6268830275522942000 |
1979-07-01 | -1.3331497677544193000 |
1979-08-01 | -1.8967472881430840000 |
1979-09-01 | -1.3826896876191550000 |
1979-10-01 | -0.5505412895846639000 |
1979-11-01 | -1.9337496591663080000 |
1979-12-01 | -1.3642931599018366000 |
1980-01-01 | -0.2953886633827793600 |
1980-02-01 | -3.5090323090740365000 |
1980-03-01 | -8.5368680107794430000 |
1980-04-01 | -11.9348587582253940000 |
1980-05-01 | -11.3501185920391720000 |
1980-06-01 | -5.9310499940468230000 |
1980-07-01 | -1.9223734031880595000 |
1980-08-01 | 1.4841487308687210000 |
1980-09-01 | 5.8202265885310070000 |
1980-10-01 | 5.4391551838244230000 |
1980-11-01 | 3.2797321301867304000 |
1980-12-01 | 1.4066673439533060000 |
1981-01-01 | -0.3755818403179136000 |
1981-02-01 | -2.0468457680006575000 |
1981-03-01 | -1.1870063752467670000 |
1981-04-01 | -0.6910949034412593000 |
1981-05-01 | -1.5433207515607308000 |
1981-06-01 | -1.4312129287550720000 |
1981-07-01 | -0.4986530149329027000 |
1981-08-01 | -2.4544889565998638000 |
1981-09-01 | -5.0853135095542280000 |
1981-10-01 | -6.7497218171060490000 |
1981-11-01 | -6.9973669944419290000 |
1981-12-01 | -7.7968223172617765000 |
1982-01-01 | -7.9011506490397310000 |
1982-02-01 | 2.9442177004966810000 |
1982-03-01 | -3.3346592138167330000 |
1982-04-01 | -4.4786494380381200000 |
1982-05-01 | -2.6060152084088606000 |
1982-06-01 | -3.9041995652727928000 |
1982-07-01 | -2.9155369461422507000 |
1982-08-01 | -4.8203892240310170000 |
1982-09-01 | -2.7188230904337730000 |
1982-10-01 | -4.3350529229502195000 |
1982-11-01 | -1.7116584416989538000 |
1982-12-01 | -0.6628792959652378000 |
1983-01-01 | 5.0585558769761180000 |
1983-02-01 | -0.1582203517432025600 |
1983-03-01 | 4.3001634100733230000 |
1983-04-01 | 4.4523815550687710000 |
1983-05-01 | 5.1810988497341510000 |
1983-06-01 | 6.2421762783601750000 |
1983-07-01 | 4.7141947306697105000 |
1983-08-01 | 3.4393411957849107000 |
1983-09-01 | 5.9075466811192290000 |
1983-10-01 | 4.4872128778202920000 |
1983-11-01 | 3.7318754964031730000 |
1983-12-01 | 4.1296790546669655000 |
1984-01-01 | 5.3281011726377410000 |
1984-02-01 | 3.3515638235089913000 |
1984-03-01 | 1.2021304173768190000 |
1984-04-01 | 2.1669681208838610000 |
1984-05-01 | 2.3189054145345955000 |
1984-06-01 | 1.4891153750303647000 |
1984-07-01 | -0.5349359595611591000 |
1984-08-01 | -0.7502243199095294000 |
1984-09-01 | -1.3902525764763982000 |
1984-10-01 | 0.2415330067900488300 |
1984-11-01 | 1.4884914647148246000 |
1984-12-01 | -0.2366116903812341400 |
1985-01-01 | -0.8475023256084007000 |
1985-02-01 | -0.1317759898328050600 |
1985-03-01 | 1.0831598162655820000 |
1985-04-01 | -0.8376846952624102000 |
1985-05-01 | 0.4718959258734049500 |
1985-06-01 | -2.0674134686356530000 |
1985-07-01 | -0.8006938513151437000 |
1985-08-01 | 1.7810724013600128000 |
1985-09-01 | 0.4971524956239483000 |
1985-10-01 | -1.2627038076591823000 |
1985-11-01 | 0.7886961553191851000 |
1985-12-01 | 0.9305766547005210000 |
1986-01-01 | 2.0842578206911430000 |
1986-02-01 | -2.8360329594964380000 |
1986-03-01 | -2.4191056209777160000 |
1986-04-01 | 0.9071577873961305000 |
1986-05-01 | -0.8349205701141471000 |
1986-06-01 | -0.6923430747599767000 |
1986-07-01 | 0.6754958911256640000 |
1986-08-01 | 0.2680108228364933000 |
1986-09-01 | 2.0243544354921090000 |
1986-10-01 | -1.1670879345906418000 |
1986-11-01 | -0.0052417774980474640 |
1986-12-01 | 2.8809286924400890000 |
1987-01-01 | -2.8310088071338930000 |
1987-02-01 | 4.9794096596288515000 |
1987-03-01 | 0.6218552158024210000 |
1987-04-01 | 0.8106218497073807000 |
1987-05-01 | 1.3522253952911634000 |
1987-06-01 | 1.8431139677920803000 |
1987-07-01 | 2.7947258492124942000 |
1987-08-01 | 1.3113996930867928000 |
1987-09-01 | 2.3180879945547180000 |
1987-10-01 | 2.4857175585309050000 |
1987-11-01 | 0.9096933452109524000 |
1987-12-01 | 1.2760849592060760000 |
1988-01-01 | -0.6624716393719069000 |
1988-02-01 | 2.0864543548784895000 |
1988-03-01 | 2.0889292935672983000 |
1988-04-01 | 1.0963621350102530000 |
1988-05-01 | 0.4005587222918992000 |
1988-06-01 | 1.3608649184002257000 |
1988-07-01 | -0.3534143154408824000 |
1988-08-01 | 0.2590989084798424000 |
1988-09-01 | 0.4426577799657071000 |
1988-10-01 | 1.6647514872821545000 |
1988-11-01 | 1.3294635160022540000 |
1988-12-01 | 2.5485264920114616000 |
1989-01-01 | 0.6595037788304373000 |
1989-02-01 | -2.5760344487136140000 |
1989-03-01 | -0.9250414095400776000 |
1989-04-01 | 0.2712084415019947000 |
1989-05-01 | -2.1252945301467094000 |
1989-06-01 | -1.8388820676079807000 |
1989-07-01 | -3.1804014680857290000 |
1989-08-01 | 1.7839557391254643000 |
1989-09-01 | -1.7115766316531948000 |
1989-10-01 | -2.0637018093229873000 |
1989-11-01 | 0.0634319940623413900 |
1989-12-01 | 0.0587984055231154450 |
1990-01-01 | 0.4880210151691651300 |
1990-02-01 | 1.4832475611977867000 |
1990-03-01 | 0.4254493811343968400 |
1990-04-01 | -3.1517095133172566000 |
1990-05-01 | -0.8198722563840305000 |
1990-06-01 | -0.5293774735630877000 |
1990-07-01 | -2.3017498381670540000 |
1990-08-01 | -1.2615916302468250000 |
1990-09-01 | -3.6239960112379780000 |
1990-10-01 | -4.2658603147709620000 |
1990-11-01 | -6.4174439424790330000 |
1990-12-01 | -5.0840252347821280000 |
1991-01-01 | -5.4236007962657350000 |
1991-02-01 | -3.6747564879403500000 |
1991-03-01 | -3.2334420187986050000 |
1991-04-01 | 0.8784019868098664000 |
1991-05-01 | 1.1192561129853622000 |
1991-06-01 | 0.6253702276965638000 |
1991-07-01 | 1.2290170344981841000 |
1991-08-01 | -0.2722858930655663000 |
1991-09-01 | 0.7862174230211547000 |
1991-10-01 | -1.1672774946256197000 |
1991-11-01 | -1.6304093065827658000 |
1991-12-01 | -2.9674834864710110000 |
1992-01-01 | 0.2384146058119698500 |
1992-02-01 | 1.2305577634182998000 |
1992-03-01 | 2.4584037157396206000 |
1992-04-01 | 2.1182749309048450000 |
1992-05-01 | 0.7188015880421896000 |
1992-06-01 | 0.8328553297631613000 |
1992-07-01 | 1.3276359205717245000 |
1992-08-01 | -1.7474495995485730000 |
1992-09-01 | 0.8892955606373728000 |
1992-10-01 | 1.2009132086255105000 |
1992-11-01 | 0.7791792251821196000 |
1992-12-01 | 1.8089187588563290000 |
1993-01-01 | 0.7143592077819814000 |
1993-02-01 | -0.0722042358810588400 |
1993-03-01 | -1.2386057309593825000 |
1993-04-01 | 0.9382434601134497000 |
1993-05-01 | 0.0648072083832539600 |
1993-06-01 | -0.0360695761081121640 |
1993-07-01 | -0.1041422149833416800 |
1993-08-01 | -0.1139666185904935600 |
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1993-10-01 | 2.3753583569827280000 |
1993-11-01 | 1.7690319277979236000 |
1993-12-01 | 2.2941543162435365000 |
1994-01-01 | 0.4413058968225234700 |
1994-02-01 | 1.0342308978069346000 |
1994-03-01 | 4.4742656015299080000 |
1994-04-01 | 1.8345489297999578000 |
1994-05-01 | 1.9127514294242984000 |
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1996-01-01 | -3.1254708396321700000 |
1996-02-01 | 2.2473362632907494000 |
1996-03-01 | 1.3813785020204044000 |
1996-04-01 | 1.8806894643884469000 |
1996-05-01 | 2.3828459506141770000 |
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1997-01-01 | 0.7088994535834681000 |
1997-02-01 | 3.6162366517463680000 |
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2011-03-01 | 2.1561968334010110000 |
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