Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle: Lagging Subcomponent of GDP
Title | Brave-Butters-Kelley Cycle: Lagging Subcomponent of GDP |
---|---|
Series ID | BBKMCLA |
Source | Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center |
Release | Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes |
Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
Frequency | Monthly |
Units | Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period |
Date Range | 1960-01-01 to 2024-11-01 |
Last Updated | 2024-12-23 7:36 AM CST |
Notes | The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth. The lagging subcomponent of the cycle expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units. The cycle component is the sum of the leading and lagging subcomponents. For more details, see also: ave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422 Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1 |
DATE | VALUE |
---|---|
1960-01-01 | 4.70041707117649800000 |
1960-02-01 | -2.05803440306371230000 |
1960-03-01 | -6.07232351239006800000 |
1960-04-01 | -1.85665147970483600000 |
1960-05-01 | -4.13861443702134600000 |
1960-06-01 | -4.76591290200714000000 |
1960-07-01 | -3.45385661772013150000 |
1960-08-01 | -3.26580506974198100000 |
1960-09-01 | -3.83243398427296500000 |
1960-10-01 | -4.02708358691104100000 |
1960-11-01 | -7.28676535375839700000 |
1960-12-01 | -7.84568480158165400000 |
1961-01-01 | -2.37360963674805800000 |
1961-02-01 | -1.48646709589803950000 |
1961-03-01 | 2.36418885278427000000 |
1961-04-01 | 3.91341292700237600000 |
1961-05-01 | 4.48652850375258800000 |
1961-06-01 | 4.79412550544558700000 |
1961-07-01 | 3.46816270483947740000 |
1961-08-01 | 4.70893013760605950000 |
1961-09-01 | 1.45574882113973270000 |
1961-10-01 | 5.52184193210352300000 |
1961-11-01 | 5.25950682243560400000 |
1961-12-01 | 2.87981380843928440000 |
1962-01-01 | -0.93227437574662250000 |
1962-02-01 | 4.54483700942941600000 |
1962-03-01 | 1.92351674518896830000 |
1962-04-01 | 0.68801235365781690000 |
1962-05-01 | -0.48158485122310990000 |
1962-06-01 | -1.78498016808096830000 |
1962-07-01 | 0.92692444196847590000 |
1962-08-01 | 0.02108626536026456000 |
1962-09-01 | 1.43607192470052700000 |
1962-10-01 | -1.08766590147038530000 |
1962-11-01 | 0.59978543272461620000 |
1962-12-01 | -1.01733484698432970000 |
1963-01-01 | 0.23818044137753733000 |
1963-02-01 | 3.57546720838257230000 |
1963-03-01 | 2.10255600317007100000 |
1963-04-01 | 3.45936712389723800000 |
1963-05-01 | 2.43723666635613020000 |
1963-06-01 | 1.31348878776282030000 |
1963-07-01 | 0.69049149741739490000 |
1963-08-01 | 0.42678714263675680000 |
1963-09-01 | 1.81503470356628260000 |
1963-10-01 | 2.41531258135087500000 |
1963-11-01 | 0.19911705790400450000 |
1963-12-01 | 1.08876036556371880000 |
1964-01-01 | 2.19410195499081900000 |
1964-02-01 | 3.01283593535887340000 |
1964-03-01 | 1.27059580333783080000 |
1964-04-01 | 3.12590990544315430000 |
1964-05-01 | 2.01698674492652300000 |
1964-06-01 | 0.48135473339147600000 |
1964-07-01 | 2.95693132851648730000 |
1964-08-01 | 0.64439245042921260000 |
1964-09-01 | 0.96872474879792250000 |
1964-10-01 | -2.19754561246922300000 |
1964-11-01 | 5.85553735641670950000 |
1964-12-01 | 4.84857054641791700000 |
1965-01-01 | 2.36291955387683530000 |
1965-02-01 | 2.78298214914511600000 |
1965-03-01 | 4.83797412458299600000 |
1965-04-01 | 1.61525278353244700000 |
1965-05-01 | 1.89840268855601900000 |
1965-06-01 | 1.50833453442375090000 |
1965-07-01 | 3.52890643174416940000 |
1965-08-01 | 1.26879040434285000000 |
1965-09-01 | 1.45079958027229280000 |
1965-10-01 | 4.07493762682168200000 |
1965-11-01 | 3.72330574034340100000 |
1965-12-01 | 4.44856333947219100000 |
1966-01-01 | 3.44927465623450140000 |
1966-02-01 | 3.81391811288330770000 |
1966-03-01 | 4.45597235956714850000 |
1966-04-01 | -0.38496596512873610000 |
1966-05-01 | -1.27516345637598620000 |
1966-06-01 | 0.43918452011610337000 |
1966-07-01 | 0.26513413479069290000 |
1966-08-01 | 0.40417082726137890000 |
1966-09-01 | 1.00424263996411820000 |
1966-10-01 | -0.47711811504018115000 |
1966-11-01 | -2.97076510677430500000 |
1966-12-01 | -2.17346321049550360000 |
1967-01-01 | -0.85140721909295060000 |
1967-02-01 | -4.04478009131080450000 |
1967-03-01 | -1.76106142147139890000 |
1967-04-01 | -0.89676388849470370000 |
1967-05-01 | -1.83882303071023530000 |
1967-06-01 | 0.00333639382364739160 |
1967-07-01 | -1.20023108017204570000 |
1967-08-01 | 3.06271437968727400000 |
1967-09-01 | 0.52745175802767710000 |
1967-10-01 | 0.09409317725318990000 |
1967-11-01 | 5.36692890563718900000 |
1967-12-01 | 3.99301307415241570000 |
1968-01-01 | -0.95801912682265170000 |
1968-02-01 | 1.08807564933315560000 |
1968-03-01 | 1.85973697325225880000 |
1968-04-01 | 0.05851339586978302000 |
1968-05-01 | 2.34891373343476140000 |
1968-06-01 | 0.84407081226272610000 |
1968-07-01 | 0.49399910349053570000 |
1968-08-01 | -1.36300876588325200000 |
1968-09-01 | 1.62921450971697320000 |
1968-10-01 | 1.79156702477807950000 |
1968-11-01 | 2.28173842239344940000 |
1968-12-01 | -0.58261115407030020000 |
1969-01-01 | 0.99090225993021110000 |
1969-02-01 | 1.18294507050277970000 |
1969-03-01 | 1.65337665688227650000 |
1969-04-01 | 0.13843507138762540000 |
1969-05-01 | -1.09088949944640310000 |
1969-06-01 | -0.21301932195405524000 |
1969-07-01 | -0.27064345290021885000 |
1969-08-01 | 0.47073984262137086000 |
1969-09-01 | -0.33826041629003460000 |
1969-10-01 | -1.05437415812923200000 |
1969-11-01 | -4.57360373586612500000 |
1969-12-01 | -2.99076877067952500000 |
1970-01-01 | -5.95824686108395200000 |
1970-02-01 | -2.60208233524794740000 |
1970-03-01 | -3.74133943284906900000 |
1970-04-01 | -3.32344969903201100000 |
1970-05-01 | -1.34667585237015430000 |
1970-06-01 | -1.32957514946557630000 |
1970-07-01 | -0.51908694021407250000 |
1970-08-01 | -2.75342591133097400000 |
1970-09-01 | -3.75244972684528800000 |
1970-10-01 | -6.79625226458128200000 |
1970-11-01 | -4.35973235581042600000 |
1970-12-01 | 6.09665737202484800000 |
1971-01-01 | 2.76308958033754240000 |
1971-02-01 | 0.64096584844680330000 |
1971-03-01 | 0.40653791660651030000 |
1971-04-01 | 1.40553276409873600000 |
1971-05-01 | 1.39427813397037560000 |
1971-06-01 | 1.61403938071273250000 |
1971-07-01 | -1.81590391970912800000 |
1971-08-01 | -0.29517098061646780000 |
1971-09-01 | 2.95794148861937560000 |
1971-10-01 | 0.99514805658308900000 |
1971-11-01 | 2.75984267348968840000 |
1971-12-01 | 4.19404646573824400000 |
1972-01-01 | 5.20221539390816000000 |
1972-02-01 | 2.50197899064881920000 |
1972-03-01 | 3.80853180503523570000 |
1972-04-01 | 2.64025067615134020000 |
1972-05-01 | 1.28024008630899470000 |
1972-06-01 | 1.40491293142541380000 |
1972-07-01 | -0.06335390972562062000 |
1972-08-01 | 4.77897393980966450000 |
1972-09-01 | 4.27385412183163700000 |
1972-10-01 | 5.18428379751523050000 |
1972-11-01 | 5.33024460337060900000 |
1972-12-01 | 5.04095823180480400000 |
1973-01-01 | 4.67006673772107300000 |
1973-02-01 | 4.48511487255907200000 |
1973-03-01 | 1.28000657855972370000 |
1973-04-01 | -0.86236922625375740000 |
1973-05-01 | 0.68284210296959290000 |
1973-06-01 | 0.21318373734981050000 |
1973-07-01 | 0.25466635535631604000 |
1973-08-01 | -1.92079492705427000000 |
1973-09-01 | 0.54051702144674100000 |
1973-10-01 | 3.03439029352738030000 |
1973-11-01 | 2.03905819788257950000 |
1973-12-01 | -2.86868305430582400000 |
1974-01-01 | -2.22564243921226300000 |
1974-02-01 | -1.93096389628947220000 |
1974-03-01 | -1.26090237122893780000 |
1974-04-01 | -2.40310766324346900000 |
1974-05-01 | 0.14433640777974935000 |
1974-06-01 | -2.40645231959332200000 |
1974-07-01 | -2.38834286065739130000 |
1974-08-01 | -4.15221931216819100000 |
1974-09-01 | -4.70265926265399200000 |
1974-10-01 | -6.26401970679606900000 |
1974-11-01 | -11.94276142464121200000 |
1974-12-01 | -14.92513220067583000000 |
1975-01-01 | -8.56049661018813300000 |
1975-02-01 | -9.37025539220964500000 |
1975-03-01 | -8.40181136633498200000 |
1975-04-01 | -0.70569446122815980000 |
1975-05-01 | -0.15220637364688305000 |
1975-06-01 | 1.50908051626020550000 |
1975-07-01 | 4.05616297700017700000 |
1975-08-01 | 3.65325535402873360000 |
1975-09-01 | 3.40061976233445670000 |
1975-10-01 | 1.53631324922130990000 |
1975-11-01 | 0.81987928693248660000 |
1975-12-01 | 4.06438738039574700000 |
1976-01-01 | 5.85358797365124200000 |
1976-02-01 | 3.61550326130752750000 |
1976-03-01 | 1.57258380420784220000 |
1976-04-01 | 1.30976454939400130000 |
1976-05-01 | 1.09305272939234550000 |
1976-06-01 | 1.19947167786774410000 |
1976-07-01 | 1.16087770903910850000 |
1976-08-01 | 0.57038646587427040000 |
1976-09-01 | 0.71645539635755000000 |
1976-10-01 | -0.48527888593556760000 |
1976-11-01 | 3.77521158723703400000 |
1976-12-01 | 4.62163486297471900000 |
1977-01-01 | -0.92873566199275340000 |
1977-02-01 | 5.60908814923326500000 |
1977-03-01 | 5.09418668992580600000 |
1977-04-01 | 3.17159184578562850000 |
1977-05-01 | 2.52346828521456250000 |
1977-06-01 | 2.61693110200839000000 |
1977-07-01 | 1.06229358100664740000 |
1977-08-01 | 1.00950635043504120000 |
1977-09-01 | 0.63198266648548780000 |
1977-10-01 | 0.84320271172586920000 |
1977-11-01 | 1.02411210589776200000 |
1977-12-01 | 0.81388421356361520000 |
1978-01-01 | -5.78123127668473700000 |
1978-02-01 | 3.89437652127810140000 |
1978-03-01 | 6.81011035134847000000 |
1978-04-01 | 7.72276986047979400000 |
1978-05-01 | 2.37044132847085680000 |
1978-06-01 | 2.77931206211977800000 |
1978-07-01 | -0.48157428739761160000 |
1978-08-01 | 1.96305347071464960000 |
1978-09-01 | 1.10463533371866120000 |
1978-10-01 | 2.54228610886972300000 |
1978-11-01 | 2.28806513756332800000 |
1978-12-01 | 0.91931998597506950000 |
1979-01-01 | -3.14228469612443100000 |
1979-02-01 | -0.21089965278774130000 |
1979-03-01 | 3.05626574983685370000 |
1979-04-01 | -5.24570334564018300000 |
1979-05-01 | 3.47064227518157240000 |
1979-06-01 | -0.67279884710225950000 |
1979-07-01 | -1.36706777737918970000 |
1979-08-01 | -1.94956022872002300000 |
1979-09-01 | -1.42714748194447100000 |
1979-10-01 | -0.55598195663627170000 |
1979-11-01 | -1.99709685719780600000 |
1979-12-01 | -1.40485213706604160000 |
1980-01-01 | -0.26440091682994044000 |
1980-02-01 | -3.51121857716721500000 |
1980-03-01 | -8.60635683416224900000 |
1980-04-01 | -12.05213669233992300000 |
1980-05-01 | -11.47187641313247400000 |
1980-06-01 | -5.95343573747449500000 |
1980-07-01 | -1.93560018094615140000 |
1980-08-01 | 1.46491177025089310000 |
1980-09-01 | 5.87326299076150500000 |
1980-10-01 | 5.45327626903717000000 |
1980-11-01 | 3.26015586346806470000 |
1980-12-01 | 1.38797653269903740000 |
1981-01-01 | -0.40929805737911473000 |
1981-02-01 | -2.10732792923116800000 |
1981-03-01 | -1.18627296922821770000 |
1981-04-01 | -0.67327030612756430000 |
1981-05-01 | -1.55459970613626490000 |
1981-06-01 | -1.44573481354874310000 |
1981-07-01 | -0.46719870034926070000 |
1981-08-01 | -2.45529131937074400000 |
1981-09-01 | -5.11538591197097150000 |
1981-10-01 | -6.77374864471161100000 |
1981-11-01 | -6.99627187121532400000 |
1981-12-01 | -7.83085673956851800000 |
1982-01-01 | -8.03135645278734200000 |
1982-02-01 | 3.17663521116965700000 |
1982-03-01 | -3.39134918909900170000 |
1982-04-01 | -4.54917479274666300000 |
1982-05-01 | -2.59866024275096800000 |
1982-06-01 | -3.94655023314151000000 |
1982-07-01 | -2.89525170487160160000 |
1982-08-01 | -4.87786716588487200000 |
1982-09-01 | -2.68715756576511120000 |
1982-10-01 | -4.39817174868992500000 |
1982-11-01 | -1.71802626980400920000 |
1982-12-01 | -0.71975095358962070000 |
1983-01-01 | 5.18840226999456000000 |
1983-02-01 | -0.28476801397174606000 |
1983-03-01 | 4.33962773786583100000 |
1983-04-01 | 4.45569570679422200000 |
1983-05-01 | 5.17986883959013960000 |
1983-06-01 | 6.28827886150282700000 |
1983-07-01 | 4.72686216821691800000 |
1983-08-01 | 3.41307792167941000000 |
1983-09-01 | 5.98909733329257500000 |
1983-10-01 | 4.50576352406688800000 |
1983-11-01 | 3.73893848634636900000 |
1983-12-01 | 4.15701323112838500000 |
1984-01-01 | 5.41200935109302100000 |
1984-02-01 | 3.39498648129251500000 |
1984-03-01 | 1.19580412283041610000 |
1984-04-01 | 2.21950855623682660000 |
1984-05-01 | 2.38313835549545300000 |
1984-06-01 | 1.54639780482417300000 |
1984-07-01 | -0.51615453673902120000 |
1984-08-01 | -0.71427075966913230000 |
1984-09-01 | -1.38590555085982100000 |
1984-10-01 | 0.27981038676678810000 |
1984-11-01 | 1.56236434191828130000 |
1984-12-01 | -0.21934141198796916000 |
1985-01-01 | -0.84459080681140200000 |
1985-02-01 | -0.10988897633715282000 |
1985-03-01 | 1.14241571311531540000 |
1985-04-01 | -0.85829358102695390000 |
1985-05-01 | 0.52913100322083800000 |
1985-06-01 | -2.10435086682190000000 |
1985-07-01 | -0.81318639420378980000 |
1985-08-01 | 1.84523943527839700000 |
1985-09-01 | 0.52028804813431880000 |
1985-10-01 | -1.30055789684753980000 |
1985-11-01 | 0.82243272147741220000 |
1985-12-01 | 0.95327894998544340000 |
1986-01-01 | 2.17234288336184600000 |
1986-02-01 | -2.90122983486890900000 |
1986-03-01 | -2.45962213758570460000 |
1986-04-01 | 0.95671162899836350000 |
1986-05-01 | -0.86764186621445140000 |
1986-06-01 | -0.72472909506439190000 |
1986-07-01 | 0.68589761839860260000 |
1986-08-01 | 0.23624427972523860000 |
1986-09-01 | 2.06415770061045000000 |
1986-10-01 | -1.23021692620433830000 |
1986-11-01 | -0.03210814799557387000 |
1986-12-01 | 2.95629155526180030000 |
1987-01-01 | -3.00111430897228540000 |
1987-02-01 | 5.10417530146067800000 |
1987-03-01 | 0.55873198843307400000 |
1987-04-01 | 0.79216908389975700000 |
1987-05-01 | 1.34929218296140750000 |
1987-06-01 | 1.82685169769161100000 |
1987-07-01 | 2.81826218550786000000 |
1987-08-01 | 1.27599291549812890000 |
1987-09-01 | 2.32556870661720750000 |
1987-10-01 | 2.51314587316706060000 |
1987-11-01 | 0.89441909902244590000 |
1987-12-01 | 1.29925294909373810000 |
1988-01-01 | -0.71527570022543750000 |
1988-02-01 | 2.13024252161522250000 |
1988-03-01 | 2.10669926005603300000 |
1988-04-01 | 1.09677507941417930000 |
1988-05-01 | 0.37955524424297510000 |
1988-06-01 | 1.40018150506713800000 |
1988-07-01 | -0.36988249080187500000 |
1988-08-01 | 0.26312642571402600000 |
1988-09-01 | 0.43542254981250744000 |
1988-10-01 | 1.68852707235698190000 |
1988-11-01 | 1.32022332000244850000 |
1988-12-01 | 2.60241850826141930000 |
1989-01-01 | 0.68963519033472820000 |
1989-02-01 | -2.63920516929487770000 |
1989-03-01 | -0.91599435474395790000 |
1989-04-01 | 0.32671102629194276000 |
1989-05-01 | -2.15396139073521550000 |
1989-06-01 | -1.82407015628592800000 |
1989-07-01 | -3.24825073932306950000 |
1989-08-01 | 1.89168604970565780000 |
1989-09-01 | -1.74770183359514260000 |
1989-10-01 | -2.09557446696225250000 |
1989-11-01 | 0.09005644927374262000 |
1989-12-01 | 0.04431768223862310500 |
1990-01-01 | 0.46241322302735700000 |
1990-02-01 | 1.49639303352905200000 |
1990-03-01 | 0.42917838492871896000 |
1990-04-01 | -3.25311025450893250000 |
1990-05-01 | -0.82762977895676200000 |
1990-06-01 | -0.53203551728637820000 |
1990-07-01 | -2.36276107632093200000 |
1990-08-01 | -1.26081658068334700000 |
1990-09-01 | -3.67160460890312250000 |
1990-10-01 | -4.29021233783507700000 |
1990-11-01 | -6.50341629032341900000 |
1990-12-01 | -5.10824447276330400000 |
1991-01-01 | -5.48892986594571000000 |
1991-02-01 | -3.71463016357143030000 |
1991-03-01 | -3.32793420171374740000 |
1991-04-01 | 0.88409364146718530000 |
1991-05-01 | 1.09694678911727100000 |
1991-06-01 | 0.58314533226637140000 |
1991-07-01 | 1.22292357290873090000 |
1991-08-01 | -0.32873965673356940000 |
1991-09-01 | 0.79465171519295560000 |
1991-10-01 | -1.20798349299796960000 |
1991-11-01 | -1.65725631115917920000 |
1991-12-01 | -3.06359216696141000000 |
1992-01-01 | 0.22202197430025472000 |
1992-02-01 | 1.19923125886966250000 |
1992-03-01 | 2.46050564266184860000 |
1992-04-01 | 2.11448271067095500000 |
1992-05-01 | 0.67627823018043440000 |
1992-06-01 | 0.80785451596796500000 |
1992-07-01 | 1.34043661655362830000 |
1992-08-01 | -1.84003711138712860000 |
1992-09-01 | 0.88843674439789280000 |
1992-10-01 | 1.19166219140321400000 |
1992-11-01 | 0.74496957795457600000 |
1992-12-01 | 1.82417789282136520000 |
1993-01-01 | 0.68896448753041610000 |
1993-02-01 | -0.07947171460027477000 |
1993-03-01 | -1.28411167630081910000 |
1993-04-01 | 0.96318984607603740000 |
1993-05-01 | 0.04477539505708463000 |
1993-06-01 | -0.04657497969250204400 |
1993-07-01 | -0.12289031937391161000 |
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